In this section you will find fundamental analysis reports for major currency pairs and commodity instruments. All the reports are written by professional traders with much experience in the market. There reports are based on the market latest events and news and are being updated daily. Find here many points of view in order to make more educated decisions.
Time Frame: All Daily Weekly Monthly
Instrument:
FX Empire Analyst - Barry Norman

NZD/USD Weekly Fundamental Analysis, May 25-29, 2015 – Forecast

Weekly Analysis and Recommendation: The NZD/USD tumbled to trade at 0.7313 seeing a huge decline late on Friday as the US dollar regained its footing.  While the Fed has all but ruled out a rate hike for its next meeting in June, the data makes a move in the next few meetings more likely. "The 0.3 per cent month-on-month increase in core consumer prices in April, which pushed the three-month annualized rate of core inflation up to a four-year high...
FX Empire Analyst - Barry Norman

NZD/USD Weekly Fundamental Analysis, May 18-22, 2015 – Forecast

Weekly Analysis and Recommendation: The NZD/USD dipped 26 points to 0.7474 after trading above 75 this week. The US dollar weakened most of the week, while a lack of stimulus from China weighed on the commodity currency as traders had been pushing up prices on expectations.  The New Zealand economy is overly reliant on "milk, houses and disaster" and will see a significant slowdown in economic growth rates in the near future as recent one-off stimulus wear off, said Labour...
FX Empire Analyst - Barry Norman

NZD/USD Weekly Fundamental Analysis, May 11 – 15, 2015 – Forecast

Weekly Analysis and Recommendation: The NZD/USD ended the week at 0.7495 gaining on Friday as traders watched central bank action and dairy prices last week. Also the possibility of stimulus from the PBOC in the near term helped buoy the currency over the week.  THE New Zealand dollar slipped to its lowest in more than three weeks as traders anticipate better US jobless numbers point to a good employment report, boding well for the world's largest economy. US data on...
FX Empire Analyst - Barry Norman

NZD/USD Weekly Fundamental Analysis, May 4-8, 2015 – Forecast

Weekly Analysis and Recommendation:  The NZD/USD is trading at 0.7543 after the Reserve Bank kept interest rates on hold and dairy prices moved a bit upward.  The New Zealand dollar is heading for a 0.2 percent weekly decline against the greenback as markets digest the Reserve Bank's formal shift to an easing bias, and ahead of next week's monetary policy review in Australia. Investors are assessing the prospects of lower rates in Australia and New Zealand as tepid inflation provides...
FX Empire Analyst - Barry Norman

NZD/USD Weekly Fundamental Analysis, April 27 – May 1, 2015 – Forecast

Weekly Analysis and Recommendation: The NZD/USD had a mixed week to close at 0.7595 off its highest levels this week. News from the central bank indicated that there were no interest rates in the short term.  The Reserve Bank of New Zealand is expected to leave its cash rate unchanged at 3.5% on Thursday. The New Zealand dollar is heading for a 1.7 percent decline this week after Reserve Bank assistant governor John McDermott ruled out interest rate hikes ahead...
FX Empire Analyst - Barry Norman

NZD/USD Weekly Fundamental Analysis, April 19 – 24, 2015 – Forecast

Weekly Analysis and Recommendation: The NZD/USD had an awkward week with diary prices falling, intervention from the central bank and lackluster Chinese data to close at 0.7688 gaining on the weakness of the US dollar.  The greenback had rallied by as much as 30 per cent since May last year, hitting 12-year highs in March and getting close to them again last week as investors bet the Fed would start hiking rates as early as June. But as economic data...
FX Empire Analyst - Barry Norman

NZD/USD Weekly Fundamental Analysis, April 13-17, 2015 – Forecast

Weekly Analysis and Recommendation: The NZD/USD dipped to 0.7540 against the soaring US dollar. Chinese data due over the next few days is keeping pressures on the kiwi. The New Zealand dollar (NZD) is expected to be contained within a range. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand has shifted to a more neutral stance, as it faces strong growth that is vulnerable to drought and falling inflation expectations, juxtaposed against a more aggressive US Fed. The currency does face challenges...
FX Empire Analyst - Barry Norman

NZD/USD Weekly Fundamental Analysis, March 30 – April 3, 2015 – Forecast

Weekly Analysis and Recommendation: The NZD/USD closed the week at 0.7564 climbing a bit off its lows after warning from the reserve bank. A drop in dairy prices also weighed on the currency but the weak US dollar and a shift in commodity currencies helped the kiwi to revive. The New Zealand dollar fell as dairy futures weakened, raising concern about the outlook for the country's largest export commodity. New Zealand whole milk powder futures dropped after Fonterra Cooperative Group...
FX Empire Analyst - Barry Norman

NZD/USD Weekly Fundamental Analysis, March 23-27, 2015 – Forecast

Weekly Analysis and Recommendation:  The NZD/USD like its cousins soared on Friday adding 151 points as the US dollar gave up 140 points while trades continued to adjust to the FOMC statement.  The US dollar had surged to a 12-year high ahead of the Federal Reserve meeting this week where the US central bank was expected to remove the word 'patient' from its statement, paving the way for interest rate hikes at future meetings. However the greenback suffered a broad-based...
FX Empire Analyst - Barry Norman

NZD/USD Weekly Fundamental Analysis, March 16-20, 2015 – Forecast

Weekly Analysis and Recommendation: The NZD/USD bounced around all week ahead of the Reserve Bank meeting but was under the control of the US dollar. At the end of the week the greenback started to rally and ended the week at a historic high over the 1.00 price level.  The kiwi ended at 0.7344. Both the Australian dollar and the kiwi have benefited from the Reserve Bank New Zealand’s decision to keep rates on hold. At 3.5%, the New Zealand...
FX Empire Analyst - Barry Norman

NZD/USD Weekly Fundamental Analysis, March 9-13, 2015 – Forecast

Weekly Analysis and Recommendation:  The NZD/USD plunged 121 points to trade at 0.7362 after the US dollar soared and the Chinese downgraded growth.  Despite poor weather that appears to have effected other February data, the US jobs report is stronger than expected.  The economy grew 295k net new jobs, nearly all accounted for by the private sector (+288k).  Some of the other details were not as impressive, but should be sufficient to boost confidence that the Federal Reserve drops the...
FX Empire Analyst - Barry Norman

NZD/USD Weekly Fundamental Analysis, March 2-6, 2015 – Forecast

Weekly Analysis and Recommendation:  The NZD/USD added 36 points to close out at 0.7568 as traders continued to evaluate the Reserve Bank rate increase possibility which will diverge from the RBA which is meeting this week. The kiwi is heading for a 0.4 per cent gain against the greenback this week, ahead of what might be an extended rally for The US dollar index, a measure of the greenback against a basket of currencies, climbed to a five-week high as...
FX Empire Analyst - Barry Norman

NZD/USD Weekly Fundamental Analysis, February 23-27, 2015 – Forecast

Weekly Analysis and Recommendation: The NZD/USD added 9 points but remains near its lowest trading level at 0.7526. The New Zealand dollar is heading for a 1 per cent weekly gain against the greenback as recent data and upbeat dairy auctions paint a strong picture of the local economy. The New Zealand dollar rallied to a three-week high on 16 February helped by better than expected retail sales data, and with that the currency has reversed most of its losses...
FX Empire Analyst - Barry Norman

NZD/USD Weekly Fundamental Analysis February 16-20, 2015 -Forecast

Weekly Analysis and Recommendation:  The NZD/USD recovered this week as the US dollar fell. The pair ended the week at 0.7445 adding 31 points on Friday after US consumer data dipped for the first time in 11 years.  The kiwi has rallied against its Australian counterpart since Australia's central bank cut its cash rate to 2.25 percent and New Zealand's Reserve Bank kept its official cash rate unchanged at 3.5 percent and said monetary policy was in neutral. On a...
FX Empire Analyst - Barry Norman

NZD/USD Weekly Fundamental Analysis for February 9-13, 2015 – Forecast

Weekly Analysis and Recommendation:  The NZD/USD could not combat the strength of the US dollar late Friday to tumble 46 points at close the week at 0.7362. Stimulus from the PBoC and strong data from kiwi land helped the currency trade on a positive note all week until the US dollar rally late on Friday. It was only the second time in the last 11 years that January's numbers beat Wall Street expectations and came amid a powerful run for...
FX Empire Analyst - Barry Norman

NZD/USD Weekly Fundamental Analysis, February 2-6, 2015 – Forecast

Weekly Analysis and Recommendation: The NZD/USD dipped another 13 points on Friday to close the week at the bottom of its trading range as the US dollar continued to surge weighing heavily on the commodity currencies.  The dollar traded mixed on Friday after weaker-than-expected headline US fourth-quarter gross domestic product data, which included the fastest pace of consumer spending since 2006 and left intact market expectations of long-term greenback gains. US economic activity in the fourth quarter rose 2.6 per...
FX Empire Analyst - Barry Norman

NZD/USD Weekly Fundamental Analysis, January 26-30, 2015 – Forecast

Weekly Analysis and Recommendation: The NZD/USD dipped to 0.7448 down on the week as the US dollar soared and Chinese data weighed on the commodity currencies, while on the other hand the ECB stimulus program helped support export currencies. Deterioration in the outlook for monetary policy sent the New Zealand Dollar sharply lower last week. The currency fell nearly 2.6 percent on average against its leading counterparts, making for the worst five-day performance since August 2013. A dismal set of...
FX Empire Analyst - Barry Norman

NZD/USD Weekly Fundamental Analysis, January 19 – 23, 2015 – Forecast

Weekly Analysis and Recommendation: The NZD/USD eased by 29 points at the end of the week at 0.7795 as the US dollar hit a record high. The New Zealand dollar rose to its highest in more than six weeks by investors seeking yield after Switzerland's central bank dropped its cap on the Swiss franc's value against the euro and moved deposit rates further into negative territory. The kiwi rose to a record against the euro on speculation the Swiss expect...
FX Empire Analyst - Barry Norman

NZD/USD Weekly Fundamental Analysis, January 12-16, 2015 – Forecast

Weekly Analysis and Recommendation: The NZD/USD gained at the end of the week as the US dollar dipped after a strong jobs report. The kiwi closed the week at 0.7839. The greenback reversed course from recent gains as the slowdown in wage growth in December to 1.7 per cent year-on-year, barely keeping up with inflation, pointed to some frailty in consumer spending power. Analysts also took that as a possible pointer to the Federal Reserve taking its time on raising...
FX Empire Analyst - Barry Norman

NZD/USD Weekly Fundamental Analysis January 5-9, 2015 – Forecast

Weekly Analysis and Recommendation: The NZD/USD  closed the week down 96 points at 0.7704 although the local markets have been closed for extended holiday; Chinese data continues to weigh down the value of the commodity along with lower dairy prices. Consumer price inflation eased to 1.4% y/y in November from 2½% in the early months of 2014, reflecting lower oil prices and persistent producer price deflation due to industrial overcapacity. Traders can expect consumer price inflation to close the year...
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