In this section you will find fundamental analysis reports for major currency pairs and commodity instruments. All the reports are written by professional traders with much experience in the market. There reports are based on the market latest events and news and are being updated daily. Find here many points of view in order to make more educated decisions.
Time Frame: All Daily Weekly Monthly
Instrument:
FX Empire Analyst - James Hyerczyk

NZD/USD Weekly Fundamental Analysis, September 1-5, 2014 Forecast

The NZD/USD finished lower for the week after reaching its lowest level since late February. The selling pressure was generated by traders who still believe the currency is overvalued. This thought was put into the minds of traders after the Reserve Bank of New Zealand mentioned it in a monetary policy statement. This “verbal intervention” has taken the market from .8835 to .8301. There are no major reports this week affecting the New Zealand Dollar so the U.S. data will...
FX Empire Analyst - James Hyerczyk

NZD/USD Weekly Fundamental Analysis, August 25-29, 2014 Forecast

The NZD/USD retreated to its lowest level since early March, changing the main trend to down on the daily chart in the process. Last week’s U.S. Federal Reserve events helped trigger selling pressure. These events included the July minutes that suggested policy makers are moving closer to raising interest rates. On Friday, Fed Chair Janet Yellen reiterated the Fed’s stance in her speech at the central bankers’ conference at Jackson Hole, Wy. Despite the current prolonged sell-off by the New...
FX Empire Analyst - Barry Norman

NZD/USD Weekly Fundamental Analysis, August 18-25, 2014 Forecast

Weekly Analysis and Recommendation:  The NZD/USD slumped most of the week to end at 0.8485 against a strong US dollar. The New Zealand dollar is heading for a 0.4 percent weekly gain in what's been lackluster trading, with little hard economic data driving direction. Geopolitical tensions in Iraq and Ukraine kept investors nervous through the start of the week, weighing on investor sentiment and keeping risk-sensitive assets, such as the kiwi, under pressure. That eased after better-than-expected New Zealand retail...
FX Empire Analyst - Barry Norman

NZD/USD Weekly Fundamental Analysis, August 11 – 15, 2014 Forecast

Weekly Analysis and Recommendation: The NZD/USD tumbled most of the week to close at 0.8462 as the US dollar gave up some of its gains at the end of the week. The biggest mover was the New Zealand dollar . It skidded to a six-week low after the country's central bank switched to a wait-and-see stance following its fourth straight rate hike and Governor Graeme Wheeler warned against a strong currency.  The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) raised its...
FX Empire Analyst - Barry Norman

NZD/USD Weekly Fundamental Analysis August 4 – 8, 2014 Forecast

Weekly Analysis and Recommendation:   The NZD/USD ended a bit down for the week as the US dollar gained momentum to close at 0.8516. The US dollar gained momentum on Thursday night after a week of strong US data, indicating the world’s largest economy is recovering well and heightening speculation the US Federal Reserve would begin lifting interest rates sooner than expected. The US dollar eased a bit on Friday after a lackluster NFP release but held in a tight...
FX Empire Analyst - Barry Norman

NZD/USD Weekly Fundamental Analysis July 28 – August 1, 2014 Forecast

Weekly Analysis and Recommendation: The NZD/USD  tumbled this week after the Reserve Bank increased interest rates but also said that this was the end of the rate increases for the time being. Graham Wheeler noted that the currency was overvalued as it had been trading close to the 88 level. The currency slipped as Reserve Bank of New Zealand Governor Graeme Wheeler said its level is “unjustified and unsustainable.” He indicated they would hold steady after boosting the key interest...
FX Empire Analyst - Barry Norman

NZD/USD Weekly Fundamental Analysis July 21 – 25, 2014 Forecast

Weekly Analysis and Recommendation:  The NZD/USD tumbled from its recent highs over the 0.8800 price to close the week at 0.8680 as the US dollar gained momentum and traders moved from the commodity currencies to equities. The New Zealand dollar is heading for a 1.5 percent weekly drop against the greenback as a Malaysian passenger jet crash in rebel-held Ukraine and an Israeli ground invasion in Gaza sapped investors' risk appetite in an environment where the local currency had already...
FX Empire Analyst - Barry Norman

NZD/USD Weekly Fundamental Analysis July 14-18, 2014 Forecast

Weekly Analysis and Recommendation:  The NZD/USD  closed the week at 0.8824 reaching for new highs throughout the week as economic data on the domestic level and Chinese data supported the currency. Over recent weeks there has been much commentary and analysis of what factors have driven the NZ dollar currency value to record post-1985 float highs. Reasons cited range from the ‘rock-star’ economy attracting capital inflows, to rising NZ interest rates. Date Last Open High Low Change % Jul 11...
FX Empire Analyst - Barry Norman

NZD/USD Weekly Fundamental Analysis July 7 – 11, 2014 Forecast

Weekly Analysis and Recommendation:   The NZD/USD continued to trade near its recent highs closing the week at 0.8744 against a stronger US dollar. Most traders and strategists in a BusinessDesk survey expected the kiwi this week to break through last week's three-year high of 87.94 US cents and push through its post-float record of 88.40 cents as investors favor the higher yields available from the nation's rising interest rates in a global environment of low rates. While the kiwi...
FX Empire Analyst - Barry Norman

NZD/USD Weekly Fundamental Analysis June 30 – July 4, 2014 Forecast

Weekly Analysis and Recommendation:   The NZD/USD  is heading towards the 88 price level after touching a weekly high of 0.8794 and closing at 0.8769. The U.S. dollar traded lower against all of the major currencies this past week on the lack of consistently positive data. Big disappointments in GDP and a steep decline in durable goods raised concerns about the strength of the U.S. recovery. As a result, currency traders are not the only ones who pulled back their...
FX Empire Analyst - Barry Norman

NZD/USD Weekly Fundamental Analysis June 23 – 27, 2014 Forecast

Weekly Analysis and Recommendation:  The NZD/USD has continued near record highs after touching 0.8736 on words from Janet Yellen on Wednesday. The kiwi ended the week at 0.8690 as traders sold off to book profits at the end of the week. Friday saw the New Zealand dollar fluctuate between 0.8689 and 0.8723 against the US Dollar, after reaching 87 cents for the first time in six weeks earlier this week. The ‘Kiwi’ was given the advantage after the US Dollar...
FX Empire Analyst - Barry Norman

NZD/USD Weekly Fundamental Analysis June 16 – 20, 2014 Forecast

Weekly Analysis and Recommendation:   The NZD/USD skyrocketed this week after Graham Wheeler not only raised interest rates to 3.25% as markets expected but he surprised investors when he offered a roadmap to interest rates increases through 2017. New Zealand’s Q1 GDP growth print is expected to reaccelerate to over 1% q/q at a non-annualized pace and thus vindicate the RBNZ’s recent decision to hike its cash rate to 3.25% as the third hike from a 2.5% low point up...
FX Empire Analyst - Barry Norman

NZD/USD Weekly Fundamental Analysis June 9 – 13, 2014 Forecast

Weekly Analysis and Recommendation:  The NZD/USD  ended the week at 0.8498 after gaining steadily after the ECB added a huge stimulus package supporting the commodity currencies. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand is widely expected to hike its policy rate by 25bps for the third straight time while other Asian central banks remain on hold in policy decisions from the Bank of Japan, Bank Indonesia and Bank of Korea. Across the Tasman Sea, the Reserve Bank of Australia has faced...
FX Empire Analyst - Barry Norman

NZD/USD Weekly Fundamental Analysis June 2 – 6, 2014 Forecast

Weekly Analysis and Recommendation:   The NZD/USD is trading at 0.8487 down for the week as traders seemed to turn their backs on the NZD this week. The stronger US dollar weighed heavily on the currency pair. Traders are closely monitoring data from China. The problem for the kiwi is the decline in dairy prices. NZD’s prime export is dairy which is increasing but with lower prices the economy is not seeing a rebound. The New Zealand dollar is heading...
FX Empire Analyst - Barry Norman

NZD/USD Weekly Fundamental Analysis May 26 – 30, 2014 Forecast

Weekly Analysis and Recommendation:  The NZD/USD is trading at 0.8550 against a strong US dollar. The pair ended at 0.8550 against the opening on Monday at 0.8638. Better than expected manufacturing indicators in the US and China helped buoy the greenback yesterday after minutes to the latest Federal Reserve policy meeting this week showed there was scope still scope for the US to run near-zero interest rates. Tepid inflation In New Zealand has caused investors to question whether the central...
FX Empire Analyst - Barry Norman

NZD/USD Weekly Fundamental Analysis May 19 – 23, 2014 Forecast

Weekly Analysis and Recommendation: The NZD/USD closed the week at 0.8634 on a positive note as traders sentiment around the global shifted to a more positive note. The commodity currencies are also being supported by the possibility of stimulus from the ECB.  Yields on US Treasuries fell after Federal Reserve chair Janet Yellen told policymakers the nation’s economy has further to go to achieve full health, while industrial production figures missed expectations. Better than expected employment data and accelerating inflation...
FX Empire Analyst - Barry Norman

NZD/USD Weekly Fundamental Analysis May 12 – 16, 2014 Forecast

Weekly Analysis and Recommendation: The NZD/USD  closed the week at 0.8616 well off its weekly high of 0.8780 hit when the US dollar hit its weekly low. New Zealand’s Reserve Bank deputy governor Grant Spencer today said the central bank doesn’t expect to remove restrictions on low-equity home lending until at least late 2014 as the limits take demand out of the housing market. He also reiterated the view that future interest rate hikes will depend on the strength of...
FX Empire Analyst - Barry Norman

NZD/USD Weekly Fundamental Analysis May 5 – 9, 2014 Forecast

Weekly Analysis and Recommendation:  The NZD/USD  closed out a strong week at 0.8668 after opening at 0.8581 on Monday. The latest New Zealand Manufacturers and Exporters Association (NZMEA) Survey of Business Conditions completed during April 2014, shows total sales in March 2014 increased 12.57% (year on year export sales increased by 29.33% with domestic sales.  The New Zealand dollar held gains in local trading as tepid Chinese manufacturing figures failed to dent support for a currency that had gained after...
FX Empire Analyst - Barry Norman

NZD/USD Weekly Fundamental Analysis April 28 – May 2, 2014 Forecast

Weekly Analysis and Recommendation:  The NZD/USD  ended the week on the bottom side of the weekly trading range as traders look closer at Chinese data and the effect of the interest rate increase this week by the RBNZ. Graham Wheeler raised the key lending rate to 3%. The NZD is trading at 0.8587. One of the largest single Japanese investments in the New Zealand economy is occurring with the sale of Carter Holt Harvey's pulp, paper and packaging businesses for...
FX Empire Analyst - Barry Norman

NZD/USD Weekly Fundamental Analysis April 21 – 25, 2014 Forecast

Weekly Analysis and Recommendation: The NZD/USD  ended the week at 0.8283 after a two week run of strong data and hopes that the RBNZ will increase interest rates at its next meeting later this month. Economists in a Bloomberg survey expect the Reserve Bank of New Zealand to raise its official cash rate by 25 basis points to 3 percent at the April 24 meeting. The central bank raised borrowing costs by a quarter percentage point last month. The kiwi...
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