In this section you will find fundamental analysis reports for major currency pairs and commodity instruments. All the reports are written by professional traders with much experience in the market. There reports are based on the market latest events and news and are being updated daily. Find here many points of view in order to make more educated decisions.
Time Frame: All Daily Weekly Monthly
Instrument:
FX Empire Analyst - Barry Norman

NZD/USD Weekly Fundamental Analysis, January 26-30, 2015 – Forecast

Weekly Analysis and Recommendation: The NZD/USD dipped to 0.7448 down on the week as the US dollar soared and Chinese data weighed on the commodity currencies, while on the other hand the ECB stimulus program helped support export currencies. Deterioration in the outlook for monetary policy sent the New Zealand Dollar sharply lower last week. The currency fell nearly 2.6 percent on average against its leading counterparts, making for the worst five-day performance since August 2013. A dismal set of...
FX Empire Analyst - Barry Norman

NZD/USD Weekly Fundamental Analysis, January 19 – 23, 2015 – Forecast

Weekly Analysis and Recommendation: The NZD/USD eased by 29 points at the end of the week at 0.7795 as the US dollar hit a record high. The New Zealand dollar rose to its highest in more than six weeks by investors seeking yield after Switzerland's central bank dropped its cap on the Swiss franc's value against the euro and moved deposit rates further into negative territory. The kiwi rose to a record against the euro on speculation the Swiss expect...
FX Empire Analyst - Barry Norman

NZD/USD Weekly Fundamental Analysis, January 12-16, 2015 – Forecast

Weekly Analysis and Recommendation: The NZD/USD gained at the end of the week as the US dollar dipped after a strong jobs report. The kiwi closed the week at 0.7839. The greenback reversed course from recent gains as the slowdown in wage growth in December to 1.7 per cent year-on-year, barely keeping up with inflation, pointed to some frailty in consumer spending power. Analysts also took that as a possible pointer to the Federal Reserve taking its time on raising...
FX Empire Analyst - Barry Norman

NZD/USD Weekly Fundamental Analysis January 5-9, 2015 – Forecast

Weekly Analysis and Recommendation: The NZD/USD  closed the week down 96 points at 0.7704 although the local markets have been closed for extended holiday; Chinese data continues to weigh down the value of the commodity along with lower dairy prices. Consumer price inflation eased to 1.4% y/y in November from 2½% in the early months of 2014, reflecting lower oil prices and persistent producer price deflation due to industrial overcapacity. Traders can expect consumer price inflation to close the year...
FX Empire Analyst - Barry Norman

NZD/USD Weekly Fundamental Analysis, December 29 – January 2, 2015 – Forecast

Weekly Analysis and Recommendation: The NZD/USD surged 33 points to recover to 0.7771 as traders looking for safety moved to the commodity currencies. With the JPY falling to record lows and the US dollar very high traders looked for a safe place to put their investments. The New Zealand dollar has slipped as investors look to the outcome of the last US Federal Reserve policy meeting of the year, which may provide guidance on the US central bank's plans to...
FX Empire Analyst - Barry Norman

NZD/USD Weekly Fundamental Analysis, December 23-26, 2014 – Forecast

Weekly Analysis and Recommendation: The NZD/USD tumbled harder on Friday compounding its fall all week to end at 0.7744 as the US dollar continued to gather momentum. Dairy exports especially powdered milk continues to fall as the Chinese domestic economy weakens. To estimate the effect of a Chinese rebalancing on New Zealand exports, we must draw a distinction between New Zealand’s gross exports and ‘valued-added exports’ to China. Gross exports are simply the total value of goods and services exported...
FX Empire Analyst - Barry Norman

NZD/USD Weekly Fundamental Analysis, December 15-19, 2014 Forecast

Weekly Analysis and Recommendation: The NZD/USD  ended the week on a down note after comments from the RBNZ and worries over Chinese growth. The NZD ended the week at 0.7778. New Zealand’s dollar soared as the central bank said future interest-rate increases can be expected after holding borrowing costs steady. The U.S. currency has rallied for the past five months amid speculation an improving economy will spur the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates. Policy makers, who meet on Dec...
FX Empire Analyst - Barry Norman

NZD/USD Weekly Fundamental Analysis, December 8-12, 2014, Forecast

Weekly Analysis and Recommendation: The NZD/USD  fell to a recent low at 0.7715 after the US dollar surged. The kiwi fell 67 points as the greenback rallied after jobs data beat expectation.  The RBNZ will no doubt head into the end of 2014 feeling rather pleased. Having delivered 100bp of hikes between March and July, it has taken some of the steam out of the economy; however, at the same time, activity has not slowed dramatically. Given continued low inflation...
FX Empire Analyst - Barry Norman

NZD/USD Weekly Fundamental Analysis, December 1 -5, 2014, Forecast

Weekly Analysis and Recommendation: The NZD/USD continued to fall against the strong US dollar to end the week at 0.7842. The US dollar soared all week to reach a near term high leaving the commodity currencies longing. The decision by OPEC to leave production quotas at current rates weighed down global commodities.  The New Zealand dollar was heading for a 0.7 percent monthly gain against the greenback, recovering some of its mid-year slump, as large global funds start preparing to...
FX Empire Analyst - Barry Norman

NZD/USD Weekly Fundamental Analysis, November 24-28, 2014, Forecast

Weekly Analysis and Recommendation:  The NZD/USD added 12 points to reach 0.7882 as Tasmanian currencies gained on Friday with no specific drivers. The kiwi was further dented this week after dairy prices fell to their lowest level in more than five years in Fonterra Cooperative Group's fortnightly GlobalDairyTrade auction, underpinning concerns that lower milk prices will dent farmer incomes and weigh on economic growth. "The Fonterra auction was disappointing once again so that took a bit of the steam out...
FX Empire Analyst - Barry Norman

NZD/USD Weekly Fundamental Analysis November 17-21, 2014, Forecast

Weekly Analysis and Recommendation:  The NZD/USD added 25 points after the US dollar dived on Friday. The kiwi remains below the 80 mark at 0.7906. This time round, the rising dollar may be America's currency and everybody's problem. That is because the dollar's strong rise will serve to crimp global liquidity, making financing more expensive and harder to get, markets more volatile and emerging economies, especially, riskier. Emerging markets and Asia may be first in the firing line. Crossborder sees...
FX Empire Analyst - Barry Norman

NZD/USD Weekly Fundamental Analysis, November 10-15, 2014, Forecast

Weekly Analysis and Recommendation: The NZD/USD gained 62 points on Friday to recover from its drop this week to trade at 0.7754 as the US dollar gave up a bit of its weekly gains.  The Fed cited signs of improvement in the labor market as it ended its program of stimulatory asset purchases last month. Policy makers pointed to “solid” job gains and said “underutilization of labor resources is gradually diminishing.” The 214,000 increase in U.S. nonfarm employment reported by...
FX Empire Analyst - Barry Norman

NZD/USD Weekly Fundamental November 3-10, 2014, Forecast

Weekly Analysis and Recommendation:   The NZD/USD tumbled this week after the Reserve Bank meeting and decision to hold rates and policy. Mr. Wheeler’s attitude became rather dovish as the currency fell to 0.7793. In New Zealand where inflation has fallen to the lower end of the Reserve Bank of NZ’s (RBNZ) inflation target (1-3%). The RBNZ had a rate announcement yesterday evening, at which Governor Wheeler suggested that interest rates would remain on hold for an extended period due...
FX Empire Analyst - Barry Norman

NZD/USD Weekly Fundamental Analysis, October 27-31, 2014, Forecast

Weekly Analysis and Recommendation:   The NZD/USD gained 33 points to trade at 0.7855 ahead of the central bank rate decision this week. New Zealand's trade deficit widened more than expected in September as falling prices for logs and dairy products weighed on exports while imports were boosted by an incoming aircraft. The kiwi’s trade deficit widened to $NZ1.4 billion ($A1.30 billion) in September, from a revised August deficit of $NZ489 million and a shortfall of $NZ221 million in the...
FX Empire Analyst - Barry Norman

NZD/USD Weekly Fundamental Analysis, October 20-24, 2014 Forecast

Weekly Analysis and Recommendation: The NZD/USD continued to fall this week as the Reserve Bank seemed to be backing off its planned schedule of interest rate increases and on gong Chinese problems weighed on the currency. The kiwi is trading at 0.7917. Weak September consumer price data in China and Europe has stoked fears price growth may be slowing longer-term in a sluggish global economy, as low interest rates fail to stir economic activity. Chinese inflation slipped to 1.6 per...
FX Empire Analyst - Barry Norman

NZD/USD Weekly Fundamental Analysis, October 13-17, 2014 Forecast

Weekly Analysis and Recommendation: The NZD/USD  eased by 50 points on Friday but trading in the negative most of the week to close at 0.7814. The US currency gained the past two days as trader’s reassessed minutes from the latest Fed meeting. A number of Federal Open Market Committee participants said the U.S. expansion “might be slower than they expected if foreign economic growth came in weaker than anticipated,” according to minutes of the Sept. 16-17 meeting on Oct. 8...
FX Empire Analyst - Barry Norman

NZD/USD Weekly Fundamental Analysis, October 6-10 2014, Forecast

Weekly Analysis and Recommendation:  The NZD/USD  continued to set new record lows against the US dollar trading at 0.7763. The Fed is considering the timing for its first interest-rate increases since 2006 amid signs the U.S. economy is recovering. The central bank, which meets Oct. 29, is on track to end a program of stimulatory bond purchases this month. Policy makers said at their meeting in July they might increase rates sooner than anticipated if labor-market gains quicken, according to...
FX Empire Analyst - James Hyerczyk

NZD/USD Weekly Fundamental Analysis, October 6 – October 10, 2014 Forecast

The NZD/USD spend a lot of time consolidating on the daily chart, but by the time the week-ended, the Forex pair was lower for the week. Despite the failed attempt to consolidate, which was probably driven by position squaring ahead of the U.S. jobs report and technically oversold conditions, the New Zealand Dollar is still poised to move lower. With the Reserve Bank of New Zealand feeling its currency is unjustifiably high given falling prices for some of New Zealand’s...
FX Empire Analyst - James Hyerczyk

NZD/USD Weekly Fundamental Analysis, September 22 -26, 2014 Forecast

The NZD/USD finished lower for the week. Selling pressure came from weak growth news out of China, concerns about the election outcome and the hawkish Fed monetary policy statement. Early in the week, the Kiwi was under pressure because of weak growth data from China. Chinese output rose 6.9 percent from a year earlier in August. This figure was down from 9 percent in July. Uncertainty over the outcome of the election of Prime Minister John Key also weighed on...
FX Empire Analyst - James Hyerczyk

NZD/USD Weekly Fundamental Analysis, September 15 -19, 2014 Forecast

The NZD/USD reached a seven-month low last week. The downside momentum on the close suggests the Forex pair’s slide will continue into this week. Rising U.S. interest rates and a central bank bent on talking down the currency were the catalysts behind the selling pressure. Last week, a New Zealand central bank governor fueled a sell-off in the Kiwi after he called its current level “unjustified and unsustainable” with “further significant depreciation” expected after U.S. monetary policy is normalized. Weakening...
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