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AUD/USD Fundamental Forecast – August 31. 2016

By:
Barry Norman
Published: Aug 30, 2016, 04:48 UTC

The AUD/USD recovered a few points but gains were limited due to the continued climb in the US dollar. After yesterday’s disappointing housing data,

AUD/USD Fundamental Forecast – August 31. 2016

The AUD/USD recovered a few points but gains were limited due to the continued climb in the US dollar. After yesterday’s disappointing housing data, building permits today soared well above expectations. This is sometime just the flow from the purchase of a new home, through the building process and the sale after construction is completed. The number of houses approved rose 0.2 per cent in July 2016, in trend terms, and has now risen for eight months, according to data released by the Australian Bureau of Statistic.

Home approvals increased in July in New South Wales by 2.4 per cent and Victoria but decreased in Tasmania, Northern Territory, Australian Capital Territory, and Queensland.

In trend terms, approvals for private sector houses fell 0.5 per cent in July. Private sector house approvals fell in South Australia by 1.6 per cent.

The Aussie is trading at 0.7571 well below its highs just a week ago.  As traders continue to interpret Fed comments the greenback has continued to climb.

The US Dollar index pared back all of yesterday’s gains in early trading but then reversed course and rallied as markets look to be steadily adjusting into a holding pattern as they await the non-farm payrolls report on Friday,

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Upcoming Economic Events that you should be monitoring:

 August 31, 2016

Country Event Volatility Previous
GBP Gfk Consumer Confidence 2 -12
JPY Industrial Production 2 -1.5
JPY Industrial Production 2 2.3
AUD HIA New Home Sales 2 8.2
CHF UBS Consumption Indicator 2 1.34
EUR Unemployment Rate s.a. 3 6.1
EUR Unemployment Change 3 -7
EUR Unemployment 2 11.6
EUR Unemployment Rate 2 10.1
EUR Consumer Price Index 3 0.2
EUR Consumer Price Index – Core 3 0.9
USD ADP Employment Change 2 179
CAD Gross Domestic Product Annualized 2 2.4
CAD Gross Domestic Product 2 -0.6
USD Chicago Purchasing Managers’ Index 2 55.8
USD Pending Home Sales 2 1
USD Pending Home Sales 2 0.2

Government Bond Auctions

Date Time Country Auction

Aug 29 13:00 Norway Details of bond auction on Aug 31

Aug 30 11:10 Italy Holds bond auction

Aug 31 11:05 Norway Holds bond auction

Aug 31 11:30 Germany Eur 4bn Sep 2018 Schatz

Sep 01 10:30 Spain Holds bond auction

Sep 01 11:30 UK Jul 2022 Gilt

Sep 01 11:50 France Holds bond auction

 

 

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