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AUD/USD Weekly Fundamental Analysis – Week of May 23, 2016

By:
Barry Norman
Published: May 21, 2016, 07:25 UTC

The AUD/USD dipped this week as the greenback soared this week. The Aussie is trading at 0.7223. There have been some bullish signs, or perhaps at the

AUD/USD Weekly Fundamental Analysis – Week of May 23, 2016

The AUD/USD dipped this week as the greenback soared this week. The Aussie is trading at 0.7223. There have been some bullish signs, or perhaps at the least signs of exhaustion in this trend. A channel down containing price from this week highs has seen an upside break, albeit with low momentum. The larger technical pattern can be found on the daily chart, where analysts see yesterday’s price action close to form a doji. The pattern is not necessarily bullish as it was posted below the weeks support level, but does indicate a pause in the trend at the least, and provides some protection to the downside in today’s session.

It is likely to see the pair consolidate within this newly found range to close out the week with 0.7242 as strong upside resistance and support ahead of yesterday’s 0.7175 lows. Markets will be anxiously awaiting to hear if RBA Gov Stevens will provide further direction on monetary policy in his scheduled speech on Monday. Stevens will be speaking at the Trans-Tasman Business Circle boardroom briefing in Sydney.

Investors were waiting to see if currency issues will be discussed at a meeting of finance chiefs from the Group of Seven leading industrialized nations in Japan on Friday and Saturday.

FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more recent analysis and information in our weekly reports and we provide daily updates and outlooks.

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Major Economic Events for the week:

 
Cur. Event Actual Forecast Previous  
Monday, May 23, 2016
  Canada – Victoria Day
Tuesday, May 24, 2016
  USD New Home Sales (Apr)   523K 511K  
Wednesday, May 25, 2016
    CAD Interest Rate Decision   0.50% 0.50%  
    USD Crude Oil Inventories     1.310M  
Thursday, May 26, 2016
    GBP GDP (QoQ) (Q1)   0.4% 0.4%  
    GBP GDP (YoY) (Q1)   2.1% 2.1%  
    USD Core Durable Goods Orders (MoM) (Apr)   0.3% -0.2%  
    USD Pending Home Sales (MoM) (Apr)   0.6% 1.4%  
Friday, May 27, 2016
  USD GDP (QoQ) (Q1)   0.9% 0.5%

Upcoming Government Bond Auctions

Date Time Country 

May 23 N/A UK Syndicated tap of 0.125% I/L 2046 Gilt

May 23 11:03 Sweden Sek 1.25bn 0.125% Jun 2019 I/L bond

May 23 11:30 Germany Eur 1.5bn May 2017 Bubill

May 23 12:00 Norway Details of bond auction on May 25

May 23 17:20 Italy Details of Zero‐coupon/BTP€i auction

May 25 11:03 Sweden Holds bond auction

May 25 11:05 Norway Holds bond auction

May 25 11:30 Germany Eur 1bn 2.5% Jul 2044 Bund

May 26 11:10 Italy Announces details of bond auction

May 26 11:10 Italy Holds Zero‐coupon/BTP€i auction

May 26 17:20 Sweden Details of I/L auction on Jun 02

 

 

 

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