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Copper Fundamental Forecast – July 22, 2016

By:
Barry Norman
Published: Jul 21, 2016, 12:10 UTC

Copper gained 2 points to trade at 2.256 edging up to its highest level as US housing data printed stronger than expected. Copper is a major commodity

Copper Fundamental Forecast – July 22, 2016

Copper gained 2 points to trade at 2.256 edging up to its highest level as US housing data printed stronger than expected. Copper is a major commodity used in home construction. Copper rose towards $5000 a tonne on Thursday, finding some support as the dollar eased from a four-month high, and after China’s copper imports remained solid in June.

The dollar eased back from a four-month high against the euro ahead of a European Central Bank policy meeting later in the day.

Price gains across metals this year, ranging from a 6-percent rise in copper to a 40-percent surge in zinc, have been bolstered by a recovery in oil prices and a shallower rate rise path in the United States following the Brexit, said analyst Lachlan Shaw of UBS in Melbourne. However, gains may prove short-lived, he added.

“We can see this holding up the prices. But as for the demand outlook, we think it will sequentially weaken in the second half.”

Oil prices, up by nearly a quarter this year, have lifted production and transport costs for miners, while a softer dollar raises the purchasing power for buyers of commodities paying with other currencies…

China’s refined copper imports for June rose by 19.7 percent on the year to 305,304 tonnes, while refined copper exports also jumped by 192.4 percent to 42,596 tonnes, customs data showed.

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Upcoming Economic Events that you should be monitoring:

Friday, July 22, 2016

Major Market Events
Country Name Volatility Previous
JPY All Industry Activity Index (MoM) 2 1.3
EUR Markit PMI Composite 2 54.4
EUR Markit Manufacturing PMI 2 54.5
EUR Markit Services PMI 2 53.7
EUR Markit Services PMI 2 52.8
EUR Markit Manufacturing PMI 2 52.8
EUR Markit PMI Composite 2 53.1
CAD Retail Sales (MoM) 2 0.9
CAD Consumer Price Index (MoM) 2 0.4
CAD Consumer Price Index Core (MoM) 2 0.3
CAD Consumer Price Index Core (YoY) 3 2.1
CAD Consumer Price Index – Core (MoM) 2 0.4
CAD Consumer Price Index (YoY) 3 1.5
USD Markit Manufacturing PMI 2 51.3
USD Baker Hughes US Oil Rig Count 2

Government Bond Auctions

Date/Time Country Type

Jul 25 11:30 Germany Eur 1.5bn Jul 2017 Bubill

Jul 25 17:20 Italy Announces details of bond auction

Jul 26 11:10 Italy Holds zero-coupon/BTP€i auction

Jul 27 11:30 Germany Eur 1bn 2.5% Aug 2046 Bund

Jul 28 11:10 Italy Holds bond auction

 

 

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