Crude Oil Fundamental Analysis August 27, 2012, Forecast

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Analysis and Recommendations:

Crude Oil continued to add today, on positive US durable goods data. Crude oil is trading at this time at 96.51. Crude oil extended the previous session decline. In Nymex, crude oil was hovering below $96 a barrel. However, concerns over disruption in production in the Gulf of Mexico cushioned the fall. Tropical storm gaining strength in the Caribbean Sea is projected to bring rains and heavy wind in the Gulf of Mexico, threatening oil facilities.

Although hopes of Fed stimulus are fading from the markets, with one more positive release, markets are still holding on to dreams and they are hoping for some news from Mr. Bernanke in Jackson Hole next week.

FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more up to the data analysis and information in our weekly reports.

Economic Data August 24, 2012 actual v. forecast 

Date

Time

 

Currency

 

Importance

 

Event

Actual

 

Forecast

 

Previous

 

 

Aug. 24

00:30

 

AUD

 

 

 

RBA Governor Stevens Speaks 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

09:30

 

GBP

 

 

 

Business Investment (QoQ) 

-1.5%

 

2.8% 

 

1.9% 

 

 

 

09:30

 

GBP

 

 

 

GDP (QoQ) 

-0.5%

 

-0.5% 

 

-0.7% 

 

 

 

09:30

 

GBP

 

 

 

GDP (YoY) 

-0.5%

 

-0.6% 

 

-0.8% 

 

 

 

13:30

 

USD

 

 

 

Core Durable Goods Orders (MoM) 

-0.4%

 

0.5% 

 

-2.2% 

   

 

13:30

 

USD

 

 

 

Durable Goods Orders (MoM) 

4.2%

 

2.4% 

 

1.6% 

   

WEEKLY

  • This Week in Petroleum
    Release Schedule: Wednesday @ 1:00 p.m. EST (schedule)
  • Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update
    Release Schedule: Monday between 4:00 and 5:00 p.m. EST (schedule)
  • Weekly Petroleum Status Report
    Release Schedule: The wpsrsummary.pdf, overview.pdf, and Tables 1-14 in CSV and XLS formats, are released to the Web site after 10:30 a.m. (Eastern Time) on Wednesday. All other PDF and HTML files are released to the Web site after 1:00 p.m. (Eastern Time) on Wednesday. Appendix D is produced during the winter heating season, which extends from October through March of each year. For some weeks which include holidays, releases are delayed by one day. (schedule)

 

Upcoming Economic Events that affect the CHF, EUR, GBP and USD

Date

Time

Currency

Event

Previous

 Aug. 27

09:00

EUR

German Ifo Business Climate Index 

103.3 

 

09:00

EUR

German Current Assessment 

111.6 

 

09:00

EUR

German Business Expectations 

95.6 

Aug. 28

07:00

EUR

GfK German Consumer Climate 

5.9 

 

15:00

USD

CB Consumer Confidence 

65.9 

Aug. 29

01:00

EUR

German CPI (MoM) 

0.4% 

 

01:00

EUR

German CPI (YoY) 

1.7% 

Government Bond Auctions

Date  Time  Country 

27/8  11:30  Germany 

28/8  10:30  Spain

28/8  11:00  Italy 

28/8  19:00  US 

29/8  11:00  Italy 

29/8  19:00  US 

30/8  05:35  Japan

30/8  11:00  Italy 

30/8  19:00  US

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About: FX Empire Analyst - Barry Norman

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