Crude Oil Fundamental Analysis February 10, 2012, Forecast

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Fundamental Reports

Crude Oil Fundamental Analysis February 10, 2012, Forecast

Crude Oil Fundamental Analysis February 10, 2012, Forecast

Economic Events: (GMT)

WEEKLY

 

Analysis and Recommendations:

Crude Oil moved up  for a third session, as an austerity agreement in Greece and a decline in U.S. jobless claims fanned hopes of greater demand for oil.

Crude was up $1.06, or 1.1%, to $99.79 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. It reached as high as $100.18 a barrel earlier.

Jobless claims dropped by 15,000 to a seasonally adjusted 358,000 in the week ended Feb. 4, the Labor Department said. That’s near a four-year low. This was great news for the US as the data supported last weeks data that unemployment had dropped to 8.3% from 8.5%. This news should spur a round of consumer confidence and help spending in the US. This also supports economists statements that the US economy is turning around.

In Greece, the Prime Minister was able to get a commitment from the various political parties to support the austerity measures. Now it is time for the formalities.

 Thursdays Economic Reports ( actual v. forecast )

AUD

NAB Quarterly Business Confidence 

1.00

     

-3.00

 

 

KRW

South Korean Interest Rate Decision 

3.25%

 

3.25%

 

3.25%

 

 

CNY

Chinese CPI (YoY) 

4.5%

 

4.0%

 

4.1%

 

 

CNY

Chinese PPI (YoY) 

0.7%

 

0.8%

 

1.7%

 

 

CHF

SECO Consumer Climate 

-19

 

-22

 

-24

 

 

GBP

Industrial Production (MoM) 

0.5%

 

0.2%

 

-0.5%

   

GBP

Manufacturing Production (MoM) 

1.0%

 

0.3%

 

-0.1%

   

GBP

Trade Balance 

-7.1B

 

-8.4B

 

-8.9B

   

GBP

Interest Rate Decision 

0.50%

 

0.50%

 

0.50%

 

 

EUR

Interest Rate Decision 

1.00%

 

1.00%

 

1.00%

 

 

USD

Initial Jobless Claims 

358K

 

370K

 

373K

   

EUR

ECB Press Conference 

         

 

 

USD

Continuing Jobless Claims 

3515K

 

3525K

 

3451K

   

MXN

Mexican CPI (YoY) 

4.0%

 

4.0%

 

3.8%

 

 

GBP

NIESR GDP Estimate 

-0.2%

     

-0.2%

   

 

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