Crude Oil Fundamental Analysis September 17, 2012, Forecast

Get Forex buy/sell signals directly to your email and by SMS.
To learn more click here

Analysis and Recommendations:

Crude Oil continued to move up today, trading at 99.72 after the release of the FOMC monetary stimulus package, crude and other energy commodities gained on the hopes of increased manufacturing and demand. The weakened dollar also made crude an attractive purchase.

News from the Middle East kept traders on their toes, after the death of the US Ambassador to Libya and then protests about a film in Islamic capitals.

As per the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) report, Saudi Arabia’s output has increased by 3 percent to 10.1 million barrels a day in June as compared to May’s production. The country has surpassed the Russia which pumped in 9.9 million barrels a day during the same month.

Also, the association has left its demand growth forecast for the current year unchanged at 0.9 million barrels a day while has declined demand for 2013 to 0.8 million barrels a day on account of global economic slowdown. Additionally, Non-OPEC supply is expected to increase by 0.7 million barrels for the current year.

FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more up to the data analysis and information in our weekly reports.

Economic Data September 14, 2012 actual v. forecast

Date

 

Currency

 

 

Event

Actual

 

Forecast

 

Previous

Sep. 14

 

JPY

 

 

Industrial Production (MoM) 

-1.0%

 

-1.2% 

 

-1.2% 

 

 

EUR

 

 

CPI (YoY) 

2.6%

 

2.6% 

 

2.6% 

 

 

EUR

 

 

Employment Change (QoQ) 

0.0%

 

-0.2% 

 

-0.2% 

 

 

EUR

 

 

Core CPI (YoY) 

1.5%

 

1.7% 

 

1.7% 

 

 

USD

 

 

Core CPI (MoM) 

0.1%

 

0.2% 

 

0.1% 

 

 

USD

 

 

Core Retail Sales (MoM) 

0.8%

 

0.6% 

 

0.8% 

 

 

USD

 

 

CPI (MoM) 

0.6%

 

0.5% 

 

0.0% 

 

 

CAD

 

 

Manufacturing Sales (MoM) 

-1.50%

 

1.00% 

 

-0.80% 

 

 

USD

 

 

Retail Sales (MoM) 

0.9%

 

0.7% 

 

0.6% 

 

 

USD

 

 

CPI (YoY) 

1.7%

 

1.7% 

 

1.4% 

 

 

USD

 

 

Core CPI (YoY) 

1.9%

 

2.0% 

 

2.1% 

 

WEEKLY

  • This Week in Petroleum
    Release Schedule: Wednesday @ 1:00 p.m. EST (schedule)
  • Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update
    Release Schedule: Monday between 4:00 and 5:00 p.m. EST (schedule)
  • Weekly Petroleum Status Report
    Release Schedule: The wpsrsummary.pdf, overview.pdf, and Tables 1-14 in CSV and XLS formats, are released to the Web site after 10:30 a.m. (Eastern Time) on Wednesday. All other PDF and HTML files are released to the Web site after 1:00 p.m. (Eastern Time) on Wednesday. Appendix D is produced during the winter heating season, which extends from October through March of each year. For some weeks which include holidays, releases are delayed by one day. (schedule)

 

Upcoming Economic Events that affect the CHF, EUR, GBP and USD

Date

Time

Currency

 

Event

 

Forecast

Previous

Sep. 18

09:30

GBP

 

CPI (YoY) 

 

 

2.6% 

 

09:30

GBP

 

CPI (MoM) 

 

 

0.1% 

 

10:00

EUR

 

German ZEW Economic Sentiment 

 

-25.5 

-25.5 

Government Bond Auction

Date Time Country 

Sep 17 09:10 Slovakia

Sep 17 10:00 Norway 

Sep 18 08:30 Spain 

Sep 18 09:10 Greece 

Sep 18 09:30 Belgium 

Sep 19 09:10 Sweden 

Sep 19 09:30 Germany 

Sep 19 09:30 Portugal 

Sep 19 10:00 Norway

Want to read more articles like this one?
Enter your e-mail address and read FX Empire content directly from your inbox.
 
We value your privacy. Your e-mail address will not be shared.
About:FX Empire Analyst - Barry Norman

Barry produces a private Daily Market Review newsletter that is distributed around the globe to over 25,000 subscribers and recently published a book on Options Trading that is available from amazon.com

  View all of FX Empire Analyst - Barry Norman's Articles    
Share Your Thoughts: Post a Comment


Your email address will not be published.