Crude Oil Fundamental Analysis September 6, 2012 Forecast
Add a comment
Fundamental Reports
To learn more click here
Analysis and Recommendations:
Crude Oil is trading at 94.63 declining for the second day this week on global growth worries, lack of demand and over supply, even with the hopes of stimulus, there may be too much oil even on increased production. Poor EU eco data weighed on the commodity today
Nymex crude oil prices declined 0.34 percent today taking cues from decline in US manufacturing coupled with strength in the DX. However, expectations of decline in US crude oil inventories prevented further fall in the prices.
The American Petroleum Institute (API) released its weekly inventories today and US crude oil inventories showing a decline by 5.5 million barrels for the week ending on 31st August 2012.
Spanish Services Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) increased by 0.3 points to 44-mark in August as against a rise of 43.7-level in July. Italian Services PMI gained by 1 point to 44-level in last month from earlier rise of 43-mark in July. European Final Services PMI declined by 0.3 points to 47.2-mark in August as compared to rise of 47.5-level a month ago. European Retail Sales declined by 0.2 percent in July with respect to rise of 0.1 percent in prior month
FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more up to the data analysis and information in our weekly reports.
Economic Data September 5, 2012 actual v. forecast
|
Date |
|
Currency |
|
|
Event |
Actual |
|
Forecast |
|
Previous |
|
|
|
Sep. 05 |
|
AUD |
|
|
GDP (QoQ) |
0.6% |
|
0.7% |
|
1.4% |
||
|
|
|
CHF |
|
|
CPI (MoM) |
0.0% |
|
0.1% |
|
-0.5% |
|
|
|
|
|
EUR |
|
|
Retail Sales (MoM) |
-0.2% |
|
-0.2% |
|
0.1% |
|
|
|
|
|
EUR |
|
|
German 10-Year Bund Auction |
1.420% |
|
|
|
1.420% |
|
|
|
|
|
USD |
|
|
Nonfarm Productivity (QoQ) |
2.2% |
|
1.8% |
|
1.6% |
|
|
|
|
|
USD |
|
|
Unit Labor Costs (QoQ) |
1.5% |
|
1.5% |
|
1.7% |
|
|
|
|
|
CAD |
|
|
Interest Rate Decision |
1.00% |
|
1.00% |
|
1.00% |
WEEKLY
-
This Week in Petroleum
Release Schedule: Wednesday @ 1:00 p.m. EST (schedule) -
Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update
Release Schedule: Monday between 4:00 and 5:00 p.m. EST (schedule) -
Weekly Petroleum Status Report
Release Schedule: The wpsrsummary.pdf, overview.pdf, and Tables 1-14 in CSV and XLS formats, are released to the Web site after 10:30 a.m. (Eastern Time) on Wednesday. All other PDF and HTML files are released to the Web site after 1:00 p.m. (Eastern Time) on Wednesday. Appendix D is produced during the winter heating season, which extends from October through March of each year. For some weeks which include holidays, releases are delayed by one day. (schedule)
Upcoming Economic Events that affect the CHF, EUR, GBP and USD
|
Date |
Time |
Currency |
Event |
Forecast |
Previous |
|
Sep. 06 |
10:00 |
EUR |
-0.2% |
-0.2% |
|
|
|
11:00 |
EUR |
0.2% |
-1.7% |
|
|
|
12:00 |
GBP |
0.50% |
0.50% |
|
|
|
12:00 |
GBP |
375B |
375B |
|
|
|
12:45 |
EUR |
0.75% |
0.75% |
|
|
|
13:15 |
USD |
140K |
163K |
|
|
|
13:30 |
USD |
370K |
374K |
|
|
|
13:30 |
USD |
3315K |
3316K |
|
|
|
15:00 |
USD |
52.5 |
52.6 |
|
|
Sep. 07 |
00:01 |
GBP |
-24% |
-24% |
|
|
|
09:30 |
GBP |
1.5% |
-2.5% |
|
|
|
09:30 |
GBP |
2.0% |
-2.9% |
|
|
|
09:30 |
GBP |
1.7% |
1.3% |
|
|
|
09:30 |
GBP |
1.2% |
-2.4% |
|
|
|
09:30 |
GBP |
-2.8% |
-4.3% |
|
|
|
11:00 |
EUR |
0.2% |
-0.9% |
|
|
|
13:30 |
USD |
0.2% |
0.1% |
|
|
|
13:30 |
USD |
124K |
163K |
|
|
|
13:30 |
USD |
34.5 |
34.5 |
|
|
|
13:30 |
USD |
142K |
172K |
Government Bond Auction
Date Time Country
Sep 06 00:30 Japan
Sep 06 08:30 Spain
Sep 06 08:50 France
Sep 06 09:10 Sweden
Sep 06 15:00 US
Sep 07 15:30 Italy
Sep 10 09:30 Germany
Sep 10 15:30 Italy
Sep 11 00:30 Japan
Sep 11 08:30 Holland
Sep 11 09:10 Greece
Sep 11 09:30 UK
Sep 11 14:30 UK
Sep 11 17:00 US
Sep 12 09:10 Italy
Sep 12 09:10 Sweden
Sep 12 09:30 Germany
Sep 12 09:30 Swiss
Sep 12 14:30 Sweden
Sep 12 17:00 US
Barry produces a private Daily Market Review newsletter that is distributed around the globe to over 25,000 subscribers and recently published a book on Options Trading that is available from amazon.com
View all of FX Empire Analyst - Barry Norman's Articles
EUR/USD Mid-Session Analysis for May 22, 2013
AUD/USD Forecast May 23, 2013, Technical Analysis
EUR/USD Forecast May 23, 2013, Technical Analysis
USD/JPY Forecast May 23, 2013, Technical Analysis