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EUR/GBP Fundamental Forecast – August 26, 2016

By:
Barry Norman
Published: Aug 25, 2016, 10:42 UTC

The EUR/GBP added 24 points as the euro rebounded today. There has been little data except for a range of Ifo information which all missed expectations.

EUR/GBP Fundamental Forecast – August 26, 2016

The EUR/GBP added 24 points as the euro rebounded today. There has been little data except for a range of Ifo information which all missed expectations. The pound has been trading on the flat side. The pair is trading at 0.8537. investor profit-taking kept the Pound supported, resuming Sterling’s recovery rally that began on UK data last week. The Euro was able to mute Sterling’s advances thanks to a largely optimistic set of August PMI figures.

EUR/GBP has lost over half a cent since the week’s opening levels of 0.8660. While the sturdy Euro has done a decent job of holding the Pound back, it didn’t stop the pair from hitting its lowest level in almost two weeks, 0.8587.

Despite German exports beating economic forecasts in the second quarter the euro to pound exchange rate weakened further on Wednesday morning.

In large part this was due to the disappointing nature of domestic investment, which is expected to continue dragging on the economy for the foreseeable future unless significant reforms are made by the government.

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Upcoming Economic Events that you should be monitoring:

August 26, 2016

Country Name Volatility Previous
JPY Tokyo CPI ex Food, Energy (YoY) 2 0.3
JPY Tokyo CPI ex Fresh Food (YoY) 2 -0.4
JPY Tokyo Consumer Price Index (YoY) 2 -0.4
JPY National CPI Ex-Fresh Food (YoY) 2 -0.5
JPY National CPI Ex Food, Energy (YoY) 2 0.4
JPY National Consumer Price Index 2 -0.4
EUR Gfk Consumer Confidence Survey 2 10
GBP GDP (YoY) 2 2.2
GBP GDP (QoQ) 2 0.6
USD GDP Annualized 2 1.2
USD GDP Price Index 2 2.2
USD Personal Consumption (QoQ) 2 1.9
USD Core Personal Consumption (QoQ) 2 1.7
USD Markit PMI Composite 2
USD Baker Hughes US Oil Rig Count 2

Government Bond Auctions

Date Time Country Auction

Aug 24 10:03 Sweden Holds bond auction

Aug 24 10:30 Germany Eur 4bn 0% Oct 2021 Bobl

Aug 24 18:00 US Holds 2yr FRN auction & 5yr note auction

Aug 25 18:00 US Holds 7yr note auction

Aug 26 10:10 Italy Holds zero coupon

 

 

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