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EUR/JPY Fundamental Analysis – November 27, 2015 -Forecast

By:
Barry Norman
Published: Nov 26, 2015, 04:07 UTC

Analysis and Recommendations: The EUR/JPY dipped 19 points to trade at 130.19 as the euro eased and the Japanese yen continued to be supported by safe

EUR/JPY Fundamental Analysis – November 27, 2015 -Forecast

eurjpy thursday bnsnla
Analysis and Recommendations:

The EUR/JPY dipped 19 points to trade at 130.19 as the euro eased and the Japanese yen continued to be supported by safe havens as US traders are on holiday. The Nikkei stock average’s pullback following a five-session ascent, as well as the euro’s rebound versus the dollar after recent falls on expectations that the European Central Bank will loosen its monetary policy further in December, traders said.

“The Tokyo market was overall directionless, dominated by position-adjustment transactions ahead of the U.S. market closure,” an official at a foreign exchange brokerage house said.

“The wait-and-see mood is expected to continue until next week’s two big economic events, which are the ECB’s policy-setting meeting and the release of U.S. jobs data,” an official at a foreign-affiliated securities firm said.

The European Central Bank is quite clear about its stance on monetary policy. In a recent meeting in Frankfurt, ECB president Mario Draghi said explicitly, “We will do what we must to raise inflation as quickly as possible. That is what our price stability mandate requires of us.”

FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more recent analysis and information in our  weekly reports and we provide daily updates and outlooks.

Today’s economic releases:

Cur.

 

Event

Actual

Forecast

Previous

 

 

 

 

United States – Thanksgiving Day

  NZD

 

Trade Balance (MoM) (Oct)

-963M

-937M

-1,222M

 

 

  NZD

 

Trade Balance (YoY) (Oct)

-3,240M

-3,370M

-3,200M

 

 

  AUD

 

Private New Capital Expenditure

-9.2%

-3.0%

-4.4%

   

  EUR

 

GfK German Consumer Climate

 

9.2

9.4

   

 

eurjpy

Upcoming Economic Events that you should be monitoring:

Friday, November 27, 2015

Cur.

 

Event

Actual

Forecast

Previous

 

 

 

 

United States – Day following Thanksgiving – Early close at 13:30

  JPY

 

Household Spending (MoM) (Oct)

 

1.1%

-1.3%

 

 

  JPY

 

Household Spending (YoY) (Oct)

 

0.1%

-0.4%

 

 

  JPY

 

Jobs/applications ratio (Oct)

 

1.24

1.24

 

 

  JPY

 

National Core CPI (YoY) (Oct)

 

-0.1%

-0.1%

 

 

  JPY

 

Tokyo Core CPI (YoY) (Nov)

 

-0.1%

-0.2%

 

 

  GBP

 

Nationwide HPI (MoM) (Nov)

 

0.5%

0.6%

 

 

  GBP

 

Nationwide HPI (YoY) (Nov)

 

4.2%

3.9%

 

 

  GBP

 

Business Investment (QoQ) (Q3) 

 

1.5%

1.6%

 

 

  GBP

 

GDP (YoY) (Q3)  

 

2.3%

2.3%

 

 

  GBP

 

GDP (QoQ) (Q3)  

 

0.5%

0.5%

   

Government Bond Auctions

Date Time Country

Nov 26 11:03 Sweden Sek 5bn 1% Nov 2026 bond exchange

Nov 27 11:03 Sweden 1.5% Nov 2023 bond exchange, 1% Nov 2026 bond exchange

Nov 27 11:10 Italy Auctions BTPs

Nov 27 N/A Spain Announces details of 03 Dec

Nov 30 11:03 Sweden Holds bond auction

Dec 01 11:30 UK 1.5% 2021 Gilt auction

Dec 02 16:30 Sweden Announces details of Bond on 11 Dec

Dec 03 10:30 Spain Auctions

Dec 03 10:50 France Auctions OATs

Dec 03 11:03 Sweden Holds I/L bond auction

Dec 04 11:03 Sweden Holds I/L bond auction

 

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