EUR/JPY Fundamental Analysis October 23, 2012 Forecast

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EUR/JPY Fundamental Analysis October 23, 2012 Forecast

EUR/JPY Fundamental Analysis October 23, 2012 Forecast

Analysis and Recommendations:

The EUR/JPY is trading at 103.55 and continues to climb. The JPY continues to weaken, as prospects of monetary stimulus from the BoJ heighten and the euro gains against the USD after weak earnings reports in the US. The USD has also weakened along with gold as traders begin to move into more risk assets. After two weeks of overall positive eco data in the US traders are beginning to believe that the US is in recovery mode. These reports make it less likely that the US Fed will inject any additional stimulus.

This morning a report showed that Japan’s exports fell the most since the aftermath of last year’s earthquake as a global slowdown, the yen’s strength and a dispute with China increase the odds of a contraction in the world’s third-largest economy.

Economy Minister Seiji Maehara pressed the Bank of Japan for more action yesterday, saying the nation is “falling behind” in monetary stimulus and faces the threat of another credit-rating downgrade.

FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more recent analysis and information in our  weekly reports and we provide daily updates and outlooks

Economic Data October 22, 2012 actual v. forecast

Date

 

Currency

 

 

Event

Actual

 

Forecast

 

Previous

Oct. 22

 

JPY

 

 

Trade Balance 

-0.98T

 

-0.74T 

 

-0.46T 

 

 

JPY

 

 

BoJ Governor Shirakawa Speaks 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

TWD

 

 

Taiwanese Unemployment Rate 

4.30%

 

4.30% 

 

4.29% 

 

Upcoming Economic Events that affect the AUD, NZD, JPY and USD

Date

Time

Currency

Event

Forecast

Previous

Oct. 24

01:30

AUD

CPI (QoQ) 

1.1%

0.5%

 

01:30

AUD

Trimmed Mean CPI (QoQ) 

0.6%

0.5%

 

02:45

CNY

Chinese HSBC Manufacturing PMI 

 

47.90

 

15:00

USD

New Home Sales

385K

373K

 

21:00

NZD

Interest Rate Decision 

2.50%

2.50%

Oct. 25 

22:45

NZD

Trade Balance 

-825M

-789M

Oct. 26 

00:30

JPY

Tokyo Core CPI (YoY) 

-0.5%

-0.4%

Government Bond Auction

Date Time Country 

Oct 23 08:30 Spain 

Oct 23 14:30 UK 

Oct 23 17:00 US 

Oct 24 09:10 Sweden 

Oct 24 09:30 Germany 

Oct 24 14:30 Sweden 

Oct 24 15:30 Italy  

Oct 24 16:30 US 

Oct 25 00:30 Japan 

Oct 25 09:10 Sweden 

Oct 25 15:30 Italy  

Oct 25 17:00 US 

Oct 26 09:10 Italy

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About:FX Empire Analyst - Barry Norman

Barry produces a private Daily Market Review newsletter that is distributed around the globe to over 25,000 subscribers and recently published a book on Options Trading that is available from amazon.com

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