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EUR/JPY Fundamental Forecast – May 6, 2016

By:
Barry Norman
Published: May 5, 2016, 04:16 UTC

The EUR/JPY added 6 points to 123.00 with Japanese traders on holiday. The euro’s weakness took the Dollar index a measure of the buck’s strength against

EUR/JPY Fundamental Forecast – May 6, 2016

The EUR/JPY added 6 points to 123.00 with Japanese traders on holiday. The euro’s weakness took the Dollar index a measure of the buck’s strength against a basket of six rival currencies, to its lowest level since August. The index was recently down 0.5% at 92.6000. The pair weakened sharply last week after the Bank of Japan left its monetary stimulus efforts virtually unchanged, surprising investors who had expected more, and spurring talk that the central bank had hit a wall in its efforts to jump-start inflation and growth in the world’s third-largest economy.

The shared currency extended its gains after a reading on U.S. manufacturing sector activity in April came in weaker than expected, suggesting that a rebound in March wasn’t sustained. It also found some support earlier after a reading on Eurozone manufacturing sector activity in April was revised higher.

The yen’s rise, which began in earnest after the central bank introduced a negative interest rate policy in late January, leaves yet another unwanted dent in Prime Minister Shinzo Abe’s efforts to stimulate growth and boost markets.

FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each asset we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more up to the data analysis and information in our weekly reports, which covers the current week and are published by Sunday before the new week begins. Daily we share any new events, forecasts or analysis that affect the current day. To achieve a full accurate understanding it is important that you study all of our data and analysis as a whole.

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Upcoming Economic Events that you should be monitoring:

Friday, May 6, 2016

Cur. Event Actual Forecast Previous
  USD FOMC Member Bullard Speaks        
  USD FOMC Member Kaplan Speaks        
  USD FOMC Member Lockhart Speaks        
  USD FOMC Member Williams Speaks        
  AUD RBA Monetary Policy Statement        
  USD Average Hourly Earnings (MoM) (Apr)   0.3% 0.3%  
  USD Nonfarm Payrolls (Apr)   202K 215K  
  USD Participation Rate (Apr)     63.0%  
  USD Private Nonfarm Payrolls (Apr)   193K 195K  
  USD Unemployment Rate (Apr)   5.0% 5.0%  
  USD Baker Hughes U.S. Rig Count     332

Government Bond Auctions

Date Time       Country           Auction

May 05 10:30 Spain Holds bond auction

May 05 11:00 Austria Holds bond auction

May 05 11:30 UK Gbp 2.5bn 1.5% 2026 Gilt

May 09 17:20 Italy Announces details of bond auction

May 09 N/A Ireland Details of bond auction on May 12

May 10 11:30 Germany Holds I/L bond auction

May 11 11:03 Sweden Holds bond auction

May 11 11:30 Germany Eur 5bn Jun 2018 Schatz

May 12 11:10 Italy Holds bond auction

May 12 17:20 Sweden Details of I/L auction on May 19

May 12 N/A Ireland Holds bond auction

 

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