EUR/USD Fundamental Analysis October 11, 2012 Forecast

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EUR/USD Fundamental Analysis October 11, 2012 Forecast

EUR/USD Fundamental Analysis October 11, 2012 Forecast

Analysis and Recommendations:

The EUR/USD added back a few pips today to trade at 1.2904. Market mood was seen wobbly as global growth concern continues to weigh on after the International Monetary Fund cut its global growth forecasts to 3.3% compared to 3.5% estimated in July.

The day is thin on major economic indicators from the U.S but talking point is more likely to revolve around the outcome of the meeting between Greek Prime Minister Antonio Samaras and French President François Hollande later in the evening. The meeting is important at this juncture in time as Greece continues to rage under debt crisis and IMF’s reiteration that Greece needs to do more to evaluate the implementation of an economic revamp to meet its bailout program. The week on the whole is likely to remain languid in the midst of no major economic releases from the U.S.  However, multiple Euro leaders’ meeting across Europe could keep markets on toes. With the job market in the U.S still looking sluggish, market participants would be ardently looking at the weekly jobless claims numbers to take their stance on the current labor situation in the country.

FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more up to the data analysis and information in our weekly reports

Economic Data October 10, 2012 actual v. forecast

Date

 

Currency

 

 

Event

Actual

 

Forecast

 

Previous

Oct. 10

 

KRW

 

 

South Korean Unemployment Rate 

3.1%

 

3.2% 

 

3.1% 

 

 

AUD

 

 

Westpac Consumer Sentiment 

1.00%

 

 

 

1.60% 

 

 

KRW

 

 

South Korean M2 Money supply 

9.20%

 

 

 

9.00% 

 

 

EUR

 

 

German WPI (MoM) 

1.3%

 

0.5% 

 

1.1% 

 

 

JPY

 

 

Machine Tool Orders (YoY) 

-3.0%

 

 

 

-2.7% 

 

 

EUR

 

 

Finnish Industry Output (MoM) 

-1.40%

 

 

 

2.00% 

 

 

EUR

 

 

French Industrial Production (MoM) 

1.5%

 

-0.2% 

 

0.6% 

 

Upcoming Economic Events that affect the CHF, EUR, GBP and USD

Date

Time

Currency

Event

Forecast

Previous

 Oct. 11

07:00

EUR

German CPI (MoM) 

0.0% 

0.0% 

 

07:00

EUR

German CPI (YoY) 

2.0% 

2.0% 

 

07:45

EUR

French CPI (MoM) 

0.1% 

0.7% 

 

13:30

USD

Import Price Index (MoM) 

0.7% 

0.7% 

 

13:30

USD

Trade Balance 

-44.0B 

-42.0B 

 

13:30

USD

Initial Jobless Claims 

370K 

367K 

 

13:30

USD

Continuing Jobless Claims 

3275K 

3281K 

 

19:00

USD

Federal Budget Balance 

-4.0B 

-191.0B 

Government Bond Auction

Date Time Country 

Oct 11 09:10 Italy  

Oct 11 09:10 Sweden 

Oct 11 09:30 UK 

Oct 11 15:00 US 

Oct 11 17:00 US 

Oct 12 09:30 Germany 

Oct 12 10:00 Belgium

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About: FX Empire Analyst - Barry Norman

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