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EUR/USD Fundamental Forecast – July 27, 2016

By:
Barry Norman
Updated: Jul 26, 2016, 08:13 UTC

The EUR/USD added 13 points on a dip in the US dollar which had soared to a new short term high on positive economic data. The dollar gave back a bit of

EUR/USD Fundamental Forecast – July 27, 2016

The EUR/USD added 13 points on a dip in the US dollar which had soared to a new short term high on positive economic data. The dollar gave back a bit of its gains as the Federal Reserve meeting started. The DX is down 22 points at 97.06. There is little on the calendar from Europe today so prices are expected to remain sideways ahead of tomorrows Fed statement. The euro is trading just at 1.10.

The dollar is down slightly against all of its major rivals Monday afternoon, but is little changed overall. There has been no US economic data to drive trading today and very little global economic data at the start of the new trading week. However, a large number of important US reports are coming later this week.

New home sales and consumer confidence data are scheduled for Tuesday, while durable goods orders and pending home sales are slated for Wednesday. Weekly jobless claims and international trade are due out Thursday, while GDP and consumer sentiment are coming on Friday.

In addition to this upcoming data deluge, investors are awaiting Wednesday’s announcement from the Federal Reserve. The Fed is widely expected to leave interest rates unchanged as officials wait to see the fallout from Britain’s vote to leave the EU.

The central bank’s accompanying statement is still likely to be in focus, as investors attempt to gauge the outlook for the next rate hike.

FxEmpire provides a wide variety of analysis on a daily, weekly and monthly basis ranging from our exceptional technical analysis as well as our in-depth fundamental analysis along with our daily news and market updates. To get the best understanding of each asset it is important to review the short term daily analysis with the longer term monthly reports. To get email notification when each of these are posted please sign up for our daily newsletter.

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Upcoming Economic Events that you should be monitoring:

Wednesday, July 27, 2016

Country Name Volatility Previous
AUD Consumer Price Index (QoQ) 3 -0.2
AUD RBA trimmed mean CPI (YoY) 3 1.7
AUD Consumer Price Index (YoY) 3 1.3
AUD RBA trimmed mean CPI (QoQ) 3 0.2
EUR Gfk Consumer Confidence Survey 2 10.1
GBP Gross Domestic Product (YoY) 2 2
GBP Gross Domestic Product (QoQ) 2 0.4
USD Durable Goods Orders 3 -2.2
USD Durable Goods Orders Core 3 -0.3
USD Pending Home Sales (YoY) 2 2.4
USD Pending Home Sales (MoM) 2 -3.7
USD Fed’s Monetary Policy Statement 3
USD Fed Interest Rate Decision 3 0.5

Government Bond Auctions

Date/Time Country Type

Jul 25 11:30 Germany Eur 1.5bn Jul 2017 Bubill

Jul 25 17:20 Italy Announces details of bond auction

Jul 26 11:10 Italy Holds zero-coupon/BTP€i auction

Jul 27 11:30 Germany Eur 1bn 2.5% Aug 2046 Bund

Jul 28 11:10 Italy Holds bond auction

 

 

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