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GBP/USD Fundamental Analysis – November 27, 2015 -Forecast

By:
Barry Norman
Published: Nov 26, 2015, 10:35 UTC

Analysis and Recommendations: The GBP/USD tumbled 52 points on a quiet trading day as speculators review George Osborne’s budget cuts and its effect on

GBP/USD Fundamental Analysis – November 27, 2015 -Forecast

gbpusd thursday bns
Analysis and Recommendations:

The GBP/USD tumbled 52 points on a quiet trading day as speculators review George Osborne’s budget cuts and its effect on the UK economy. The pound is trading at 1.5074. U.K. mortgage approvals increased in October and gross mortgage lending reached a seven year high, the British Bankers’ Association said Wednesday. The number of mortgages approved in October rose to 45,437 from 44,825 in September. It was also below the expected level of 44,500.

Reflecting a jump in demand for transportation equipment, the US Commerce Department released a report on Wednesday showing that new orders for U.S. manufactured durable goods increased by much more than expected in the month of October. The Commerce Department said durable goods orders jumped by 3.0 percent in October after falling by a revised 0.8 percent in September. Economists had expected orders to increase by 1.5 percent compared to the 1.2 percent drop that had been reported for the previous month.

Most cross currencies are finding the strength in the US dollar impossible to fight as the dollar traded above the 100 level on Wednesday and US markets are on holiday today.

FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more up to the data analysis and information in our weekly reports. Today’s economic releases:

Cur.

 

Event

Actual

Forecast

Previous

 

 

 

 

United States – Thanksgiving Day

  NZD

 

Trade Balance (MoM) (Oct)

-963M

-937M

-1,222M

 

 

  NZD

 

Trade Balance (YoY) (Oct)

-3,240M

-3,370M

-3,200M

 

 

  AUD

 

Private New Capital Expenditure

-9.2%

-3.0%

-4.4%

   

  EUR

 

GfK German Consumer Climate

 

9.2

9.4

   

 

gbpusd

Upcoming Economic Events that you should be monitoring:

Friday, November 27, 2015

Cur.

 

Event

Actual

Forecast

Previous

 

 

 

 

United States – Day following Thanksgiving – Early close at 13:30

  JPY

 

Household Spending (MoM) (Oct)

 

1.1%

-1.3%

 

 

  JPY

 

Household Spending (YoY) (Oct)

 

0.1%

-0.4%

 

 

  JPY

 

Jobs/applications ratio (Oct)

 

1.24

1.24

 

 

  JPY

 

National Core CPI (YoY) (Oct)

 

-0.1%

-0.1%

 

 

  JPY

 

Tokyo Core CPI (YoY) (Nov)

 

-0.1%

-0.2%

 

 

  GBP

 

Nationwide HPI (MoM) (Nov)

 

0.5%

0.6%

 

 

  GBP

 

Nationwide HPI (YoY) (Nov)

 

4.2%

3.9%

 

 

  GBP

 

Business Investment (QoQ) (Q3) 

 

1.5%

1.6%

 

 

  GBP

 

GDP (YoY) (Q3)  

 

2.3%

2.3%

 

 

  GBP

 

GDP (QoQ) (Q3)  

 

0.5%

0.5%

   

Government Bond Auctions

Date Time Country

Nov 26 11:03 Sweden Sek 5bn 1% Nov 2026 bond exchange

Nov 27 11:03 Sweden 1.5% Nov 2023 bond exchange, 1% Nov 2026 bond exchange

Nov 27 11:10 Italy Auctions BTPs

Nov 27 N/A Spain Announces details of 03 Dec

Nov 30 11:03 Sweden Holds bond auction

Dec 01 11:30 UK 1.5% 2021 Gilt auction

Dec 02 16:30 Sweden Announces details of Bond on 11 Dec

Dec 03 10:30 Spain Auctions

Dec 03 10:50 France Auctions OATs

Dec 03 11:03 Sweden Holds I/L bond auction

Dec 04 11:03 Sweden Holds I/L bond auction

 

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