GBP/USD Fundamental Analysis October 15, 2012 Forecast

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GBP/USD Fundamental Analysis October 15, 2012 Forecast

GBP/USD Fundamental Analysis October 15, 2012 Forecast

Analysis and Recommendations:

The GBP/USD climbed a few pips today, to trade at 1.6076. According to the Office for National Statistics the British economy got a mild boost from the money spent by overseas visitors to the country during the Olympic/Paralympics games, possibly helping it avoid a recession. It reported that the average amount of money spent by Olympics-visitors was £1,290 per person, almost twice as much as the average £650 spent by other visitors.

Earlier, the Bank of England (BoE) Governor, Mervyn King, once again stoked hopes of a fresh round of stimulus by indicating that central banks should be flexible with inflation targets, signalling that the BoE might adopt fresh easing measures despite the underlying threat of inflation staying above the central bank’s target rate for a prolonged period. However, MPC member, Martin Weale, stated that another round of QE may not be ‘compatible’ with the BoE’s inflation target.

FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more up to the data analysis and information in our weekly reports.

Economic Data October 12, 2012 actual v. forecast

Date

 

Currency

 

 

Event

Actual

 

Forecast

 

Previous

 

 

Oct. 12

 

JPY

 

 

Tertiary Industry Activity Index (MoM) 

0.4%

 

0.5% 

 

-1.9% 

   

 

 

INR

 

 

Indian Industrial Production (YoY) 

2.7%

 

1.1% 

 

-0.2% 

   

 

 

EUR

 

 

Industrial Production (MoM) 

0.6%

 

-0.4% 

 

0.6% 

 

 

 

 

USD

 

 

Core PPI (MoM) 

0.0%

 

0.2% 

 

0.2% 

 

 

 

 

USD

 

 

PPI (MoM) 

1.1%

 

0.7% 

 

1.7% 

 

 

 

 

USD

 

 

PPI (YoY) 

2.1%

 

1.8% 

 

2.0% 

 

 

 

 

USD

 

 

Core PPI (YoY) 

2.3%

 

2.5% 

 

2.5% 

 

 

 

 

USD

 

 

Michigan Consumer Sentiment 

83.1

 

78.0 

 

78.3 

   

 

Upcoming Economic Events that affect the CHF, EUR, GBP and USD

Date

Time

Currency

Event

Previous

Oct. 15 

08:15

CHF

PPI (MoM) 

0.5%

Government Bond Auction

Date Time Country 

Oct 15 09:10 Slovakia 

Oct 15 10:00 Norway 

Oct 16 08:30 Spain 

Oct 16 09:10 Greece 

Oct 16 09:30 Belgium 

Oct 17 09:10 Sweden 

Oct 17 09:30 Germany 

Oct 17 09:30 Portugal 

Oct 17 10:00 Norway 

Oct 17 14:30 Sweden 

Oct 18 08:30 Spain 

Oct 18 08:50 France 

Oct 18 09:30 UK 

Oct 18 09:50 France 

Oct 18 14:30 Sweden 

Oct 18 15:00 US 

Oct 18 17:00 US 

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About: FX Empire Analyst - Barry Norman

Barry produces a private Daily Market Review newsletter that is distributed around the globe to over 25,000 subscribers and recently published a book on Options Trading that is available from amazon.com

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