GBP/USD Fundamental Analysis September 11, 2012, Forecast
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Analysis and Recommendations:
The GBP/USD is trading at 1.5993 after breaking above the 1.60 price on Friday; sterling has not been able to hold the line. There was little eco data in the UK or the US today and not much is expected this week. All eyes are focused on the upcoming FOMC meeting and Mr. Bernanke’s statement on the 13th. The pair is expected to trade pretty much in a tight range until the FOMC meeting.
The court ruling due in Germany on the constitutionality of the ESM and EFSF could affect markets this week, with the ruling due by the 12th.
FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more up to the data analysis and information in our weekly reports.
Economic Data September 10, 2012 actual v. forecast
|
Date |
Time |
|
Currency |
|
|
Event |
Actual |
|
Forecast |
|
Previous |
|
Sep. 10 |
00:50 |
|
JPY |
|
|
Adjusted Current Account |
0.34T |
|
0.39T |
|
0.77T |
|
|
00:50 |
|
JPY |
|
|
GDP (QoQ) |
0.2% |
|
0.3% |
|
0.3% |
|
|
00:50 |
|
JPY |
|
|
GDP Price Index (YoY) |
-0.9% |
|
-1.1% |
|
-1.1% |
|
|
00:50 |
|
JPY |
|
|
Bank Lending (YoY) |
0.9% |
|
|
|
0.7% |
|
|
02:00 |
|
CNY |
|
|
Chinese Trade Balance |
26.66B |
|
19.80B |
|
25.10B |
|
|
02:00 |
|
CNY |
|
|
Chinese Exports (YoY) |
2.70% |
|
3.00% |
|
1.00% |
|
|
02:30 |
|
AUD |
|
|
Home Loans (MoM) |
-1.0% |
|
0.1% |
|
1.0% |
Chinese Economic Data released on September 9, 2012 actual v. forecast (this is important)
|
Sep. 09 |
02:30 |
|
CNY |
|
|
Chinese CPI (YoY) |
2.0% |
|
2.0% |
|
1.8% |
|
|
|
|
02:30 |
|
CNY |
|
|
Chinese PPI (YoY) |
-3.5% |
|
-3.3% |
|
-2.9% |
|
|
|
|
02:30 |
|
CNY |
|
|
Chinese CPI (MoM) |
0.6% |
|
0.5% |
|
0.1% |
|
|
|
|
06:30 |
|
CNY |
|
|
Chinese Fixed Asset Investment (YoY) |
20.2% |
|
20.4% |
|
20.4% |
|
|
|
|
06:30 |
|
CNY |
|
|
Chinese Industrial Production (YoY) |
8.9% |
|
9.1% |
|
9.2% |
|
|
|
|
06:30 |
|
CNY |
|
|
Chinese Retail Sales (YoY) |
13.2% |
|
13.2% |
|
13.1% |
|
Upcoming Economic Events that affect the CHF, EUR, GBP and USD
|
Date |
Time |
Currency |
Event |
Forecast |
Previous |
|
Sep. 11 |
00:01 |
GBP |
-22% |
-24% |
|
|
|
09:30 |
GBP |
-9.0B |
-10.1B |
|
|
|
13:30 |
USD |
-44.7B |
-42.9B |
Government Bond Auction
Date Time Country
Sep 11 00:30 Japan
Sep 11 08:30 Holland
Sep 11 09:10 Greece
Sep 11 09:30 UK
Sep 11 14:30 UK
Sep 11 17:00 US
Sep 12 09:10 Italy
Sep 12 09:10 Sweden
Sep 12 09:30 Germany
Sep 12 09:30 Swiss
Sep 12 14:30 Sweden
Sep 12 17:00 US
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