Analysis and Recommendations: Gold gave back most of the gains in the Asian session and is trading at 1068.70 as traders remain bearish ahead of the ECB,
Gold gave back most of the gains in the Asian session and is trading at 1068.70 as traders remain bearish ahead of the ECB, the NFP and the FOMC over the coming weeks. Inflation remains low and interest rates in the US are pegged to climb leaving gold nowhere to go but down. Gold prices dove to a new five-year low on Friday, nearing $1,050 per ounce for the first time since February 2010. Prices continue to melt lower as investors flock toward stocks, bonds, or real estate in search of better returns. Meanwhile, speculators are selling short the metal in hopes of being able to buy it back at a profitably lower price in the future.
Some analysts warn that the market can’t seem to stabilize, even after bullish events like Tuesday’s shocking news that Turkey shot down a Russian fighter plane. That event was a spark that could have ignited an already volatile situation in Syria and could have resulted in explosively higher gold prices. Instead, the gold market gave a muted $10 rally, only to be followed by sharply lower prices by the weekend.
The U.S. Federal Reserve is to raise rates for the first time in nine years! Gold stumbles to a 5-year low and most commodities have hit their lowest price in six years
FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each asset we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more up to the data analysis and information in our weekly reports, which covers the current week and are published by Sunday before the new week begins. Daily we share any new events, forecasts or analysis that affect the current day. To achieve a full accurate understanding it is important that you study all of our data and analysis as a whole. Please click on the links to find the most recent reports for this asset.
Today’s economic releases:
Cur. |
Event |
Actual |
Forecast |
Previous |
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CNY |
Manufacturing PMI (Nov) |
49.6 |
49.8 |
49.8 |
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CNY |
Caixin Manufacturing PMI (Nov) |
48.6 |
48.3 |
48.3 |
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AUD |
Interest Rate Decision (Dec) |
2.00% |
2.00% |
2.00% |
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AUD |
RBA Rate Statement |
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GBP |
BoE Gov Carney Speaks |
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EUR |
German Manufacturing PMI (Nov) |
52.9 |
52.6 |
52.6 |
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EUR |
German Unemployment Change (Nov) |
-13K |
-5K |
-7K |
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GBP |
Manufacturing PMI (Nov) |
52.7 |
53.6 |
55.2 |
Upcoming Economic Events that you should be monitoring:
Wednesday, December 2, 2015
Cur. |
Event |
Actual |
Forecast |
Previous |
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AUD |
GDP (QoQ) (Q3) |
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0.7% |
0.2% |
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AUD |
GDP (YoY) (Q3) |
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2.3% |
2.0% |
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USD |
FOMC Member Brainard Speaks |
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GBP |
Construction PMI (Nov) |
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58.2 |
58.8 |
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EUR |
Core CPI (YoY) (Nov) |
|
1.1% |
1.1% |
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EUR |
CPI (YoY) (Nov) |
|
0.2% |
0.1% |
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USD |
FOMC Member Lockhart Speaks |
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USD |
ADP Nonfarm Employment Change |
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190K |
182K |
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USD |
Fed Chair Yellen Speaks |
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USD |
Nonfarm Productivity (QoQ) (Q3) |
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2.2% |
1.6% |
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USD |
Unit Labor Costs (QoQ) (Q3) |
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1.1% |
1.4% |
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USD |
FOMC Member Tarullo Speaks |
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USD |
Crude Oil Inventories |
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-1.125M |
0.961M |
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USD |
Fed Chair Yellen Speaks |
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USD |
Beige Book |
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USD |
FOMC Member Williams Speaks |
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Government Bond Auctions
Date Time Country
Dec 02 11:30 UK Gbp 3.75bn 1.5% Jan 2021 Gilt
Dec 02 16:30 Sweden Announces details of Bond on 11 Dec
Dec 03 10:30 Spain 1.15% Jul 2020 Bono
Dec 03 10:50 France
Dec 03 11:03 Sweden Sek 0.7bn 1%
Dec 07 13:00 Norway Details bond auction on 09 Dec
Dec 07 17:30 Italy Announces details of BTP/CCTeu on 11 Dec
Dec 08 11:30 UK 3.5% 2045 Gilt auction
Dec 08 19:00 US Holds 3-year note auction
Dec 09 11:03 Sweden Holds bond auction
Dec 09 11:05 Norway Holds bond auction
Dec 09 11:30 Germany Eur 3bn Dec 2017 Schatz
Dec 09 19:00 US Holds 10-year note auction
Dec 10 19:00 US Holds 30-year bond auction
Dec 11 11:10 Italy Auctions BTPs/CCTeus