Gold Fundamental Analysis October 11, 2012 Forecast

Get Forex buy/sell signals directly to your email and by SMS.
To learn more click here
Gold Fundamental Analysis October 11, 2012 Forecast

Gold Fundamental Analysis October 11, 2012 Forecast

Analysis and Recommendations:

Gold continued to be directionless trading at 1764.75 off less than 1 USD today. The US dollar rose to its one month high against a basket of currencies while the Euro edged lower but stayed in a fairly tight range.. Worries about the ability of the Eurozone policy makers to control the region’s crisis weighed on the euro and bullion.

German Chancellor Angela Merkel failed to commit additional support to the debt laded Greece defying bailout request influenced the EUR sentiments as well. The IMF slashed its global growth forecast to 3.3 percent from an earlier estimate of 3.5 percent earlier. The dollar index witnessed some buying interest and trade back over the 80 mark as investors turned to the greenback after a weak global growth outlook. Meanwhile Gold-Euro correlation seems to weaken further to 0.71 from its earlier peak of 0.96. However, as per CFTC data, speculative interest in bullion seem steady with the net length in US futures and options struck above one year high. Holdings of gold backed exchange traded fund continued to rise posting its record levels. Physical demand for bullion in Asia is slightly recovering and is likely to zoom in coming days due to upcoming festive and marriage season in India

Otherwise this was a very quiet trading day, devoid of news and data.

FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more up to the data analysis and information in our weekly reports.

Economic Data October 10, 2012 actual v. forecast

Date

 

Currency

 

 

Event

Actual

 

Forecast

 

Previous

Oct. 10

 

KRW

 

 

South Korean Unemployment Rate 

3.1%

 

3.2% 

 

3.1% 

 

 

AUD

 

 

Westpac Consumer Sentiment 

1.00%

 

 

 

1.60% 

 

 

KRW

 

 

South Korean M2 Money supply 

9.20%

 

 

 

9.00% 

 

 

EUR

 

 

German WPI (MoM) 

1.3%

 

0.5% 

 

1.1% 

 

 

JPY

 

 

Machine Tool Orders (YoY) 

-3.0%

 

 

 

-2.7% 

 

 

EUR

 

 

Finnish Industry Output (MoM) 

-1.40%

 

 

 

2.00% 

 

 

EUR

 

 

French Industrial Production (MoM) 

1.5%

 

-0.2% 

 

0.6% 

 

Upcoming Economic Events that affect the CHF, EUR, GBP and USD

Date

Time

Currency

Event

Forecast

Previous

 Oct. 11

07:00

EUR

German CPI (MoM) 

0.0% 

0.0% 

 

07:00

EUR

German CPI (YoY) 

2.0% 

2.0% 

 

07:45

EUR

French CPI (MoM) 

0.1% 

0.7% 

 

13:30

USD

Import Price Index (MoM) 

0.7% 

0.7% 

 

13:30

USD

Trade Balance 

-44.0B 

-42.0B 

 

13:30

USD

Initial Jobless Claims 

370K 

367K 

 

13:30

USD

Continuing Jobless Claims 

3275K 

3281K 

 

19:00

USD

Federal Budget Balance 

-4.0B 

-191.0B 

Government Bond Auction

Date Time Country 

Oct 11 09:10 Italy  

Oct 11 09:10 Sweden 

Oct 11 09:30 UK 

Oct 11 15:00 US 

Oct 11 17:00 US 

Oct 12 09:30 Germany 

Oct 12 10:00 Belgium

Want to read more articles like this one?
Enter your e-mail address and read FX Empire content directly from your inbox.
 
We value your privacy. Your e-mail address will not be shared.
About: FX Empire Analyst - Barry Norman

Barry produces a private Daily Market Review newsletter that is distributed around the globe to over 25,000 subscribers and recently published a book on Options Trading that is available from amazon.com

  View all of FX Empire Analyst - Barry Norman's Articles    
Share Your Thoughts: Post a Comment


Your email address will not be published.