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Gold Fundamental Forecast – August 26, 2016

By:
Barry Norman
Published: Aug 25, 2016, 10:49 UTC

Gold is down about $1 but directionless as traders sit on the sidelines ahead of Janet Yellen’s speech tomorrow. Gold is trading at 1328.65 as trader’s

Gold Fundamental Forecast – August 26, 2016

Gold is down about $1 but directionless as traders sit on the sidelines ahead of Janet Yellen’s speech tomorrow. Gold is trading at 1328.65 as trader’s balance expectations for a rate increase between September and December.  Speculation about Federal Reserve policy has dictated investor sentiment all week. On Friday the Fed’s Janet Yellen will deliver a speech at the annual Jackson Hole Symposium. For investors, Jackson Hole is an ideal venue for the Fed boss to finally shed light on the central bank’s outlook. The Federal Reserve’s next policy meeting is scheduled for September 20-21, and will be accompanied by a revised summary of economic projections.

Previously, the precious metal had been little changed ahead of Yellen’s speech, which will be closely watched for further clues on interest rate policy.

Yellen is scheduled to address a meeting of central bankers in Jackson Hole, Wyoming. Recent hawkish comments from policymakers have raised investors’ expectations that she might adopt a less cautious tone on rates.

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Upcoming Economic Events that you should be monitoring:

August 26, 2016

Country Name Volatility Previous
JPY Tokyo CPI ex Food, Energy (YoY) 2 0.3
JPY Tokyo CPI ex Fresh Food (YoY) 2 -0.4
JPY Tokyo Consumer Price Index (YoY) 2 -0.4
JPY National CPI Ex-Fresh Food (YoY) 2 -0.5
JPY National CPI Ex Food, Energy (YoY) 2 0.4
JPY National Consumer Price Index 2 -0.4
EUR Gfk Consumer Confidence Survey 2 10
GBP GDP (YoY) 2 2.2
GBP GDP (QoQ) 2 0.6
USD GDP Annualized 2 1.2
USD GDP Price Index 2 2.2
USD Personal Consumption (QoQ) 2 1.9
USD Core Personal Consumption (QoQ) 2 1.7
USD Markit PMI Composite 2
USD Baker Hughes US Oil Rig Count 2

Government Bond Auctions

Date Time Country Auction

Aug 24 10:03 Sweden Holds bond auction

Aug 24 10:30 Germany Eur 4bn 0% Oct 2021 Bobl

Aug 24 18:00 US Holds 2yr FRN auction & 5yr note auction

Aug 25 18:00 US Holds 7yr note auction

Aug 26 10:10 Italy Holds zero coupon

 

 

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