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Gold Weekly Fundamental Analysis – January 25-29, 2016 -Forecast

By:
Barry Norman
Updated: Jan 23, 2016, 08:46 UTC

Weekly Analysis and Recommendations: Gold ended the week below the $1100 level unable to sustain above each time it bumped up traders sold off and booked

Gold Weekly Fundamental Analysis – January 25-29, 2016 -Forecast
Gold Weekly Fundamental Analysis – January 25-29, 2016 -Forecast
Gold Weekly Fundamental Analysis – January 25-29, 2016 -Forecast

Weekly Analysis and Recommendations:

Gold ended the week below the $1100 level unable to sustain above each time it bumped up traders sold off and booked profits leaving the metal just below the significant price level. The metal ended the week at 1098.10 actually ending the week with a gain of 0.60% for the week.  A rally in the U.S. stock market helped dull interest in the metal, but prices still ended the week higher, with investors expecting no surprises from the Federal Reserve’s upcoming monetary policy meeting.

Gold has been trading inversely with global stock markets for much of this month as recent losses in equities helped boost the value of assets perceived as harbors in a storm.

U.S., European and Asian stock markets climbed Friday, encouraged by hints of potential central-bank stimulus after a tough week for global markets. Strength in the stock market lured some investors away from the precious metals, putting pressure on prices.

But “the reasons for the falls in global equities remain in position and will do so for a long time to come, Julian Phillips, founder and contributor to GoldForecaster.com, said in a Friday research note.

“Liquidity in markets is also proving a problem adding to the volatility across the world,” he said, which he believes has added to selling pressure in precious metals as investors cash out of positions that have shown gains and are forced to close out of other losing bets. Prices for gold and silver both fell on Thursday.

FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more recent analysis and information in our weekly reports and we provide daily updates and outlooks.

gold

Major Economic Events for the week:

 

 

 

Cur.

 

Event

Actual

Forecast

Previous

 

 

Monday, January 25, 2016

 

  EUR

 

German Ifo Business Climate Index

 

108.4

108.7

 

 

Tuesday, January 26, 2016

 

 

Holiday

Australia – Australia Day

 

  USD

 

CB Consumer Confidence (Jan)

 

96.5

96.5

 

 

Wednesday, January 27, 2016

 

  AUD

 

CPI (QoQ) (Q4)

 

0.3%

0.5%

 

 

 

  USD

 

New Home Sales (Dec)

 

500K

490K

 

 

 

  USD

 

Crude Oil Inventories

 

 

3.979M

 

 

Thursday, January 28, 2016

 

  NZD

 

Interest Rate Decision

 

 

2.50%

 

 

 

  GBP

 

GDP (YoY) (Q4)

 

1.9%

2.1%

 

 

 

  GBP

 

GDP (QoQ) (Q4)

 

0.5%

0.4%

 

 

 

  USD

 

Core Durable Goods Orders (MoM)

 

-0.2%

 

 

 

 

  USD

 

Pending Home Sales (MoM) (Dec)

 

0.7%

-0.9%

 

 

Friday, January 29, 2016

 

  EUR

 

CPI (YoY) (Jan)

 

0.4%

0.2%

 

 

 

  USD

 

GDP (QoQ) (Q4)

 

0.8%

2.0%

 

 

 

  CAD

 

GDP (MoM) (Nov)

 

0.2%

 

   

 

Upcoming Government Bond Auctions

Date Time Country 

Jan 25 11:30 Germany EUR 1.5bn Jan 2017 Bubill

Jan 25 13:00 Norway Details of bond auction on Jan 27

Jan 25 17:20 Italy Details of BTP/CCTeus on 28 Jan

Jan 26 11:10 Italy Holds CTZ/linker bond auction

Jan 26 n/a US Holds 2-year note auction

Jan 27 11:05 Norway Holds bond auction

Jan 27 11:30 Germany EUR 1bn 2.5% Aug 2046 Bund

Jan 27 17:20 Sweden Details of bond auction on 03 Feb

Jan 27 n/a US Holds 2-year FRN auction

Jan 27 n/a US Holds 5-year note auction

Jan 28 11:03 Sweden Holds I/L bond auction

Jan 28 11:10 Italy Holds BTP/CCTeus auction

Jan 28 n/a US Holds 7-year note auction

Feb 02 n/a UK Details of Gilt auctions on Feb 09 & 11

 

 

 

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