NZD/USD Fundamental Analysis August 2, 2012, Forecast

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Analysis and Recommendation: 

The NZD/USD remains strong trading at 0.8111 adding 0.0023 in this morning’s session.

As the USD remains weakened on hopes of monetary stimulus from the Feds and the FOMC statements due later today, the kiwi along with the commodity currencies are benefactors.

The New Zealand dollar held near a three-month high amid speculation policymakers from the European Central Bank and the Federal Reserve will announce additional policy measures to shore up the global economy.

European policymakers will meet on Wednesday in Frankfurt. Last week, ECB president Mario Draghi pledged to do whatever it takes to preserve the single currency

FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more recent analysis and information in our weekly reports and we provide daily updates and outlooks.

Economic Data August 1, 2012 actual v. forecast

Date

Currency

 

 

 

Event

Actual

Forecast 

 

Previous 

 

 

 

Aug. 01

 

KRW

 

 

 

South Korean CPI (YoY) 

1.5%

 

2.0% 

 

2.2% 

 

 

 

 

KRW

 

 

 

South Korean CPI (MoM) 

-0.2%

 

0.3% 

 

-0.1% 

   

 

 

GBP

 

 

 

BRC Shop Price Index (YoY) 

1.00%

 

 

 

1.10% 

 

 

 

 

AUD

 

 

 

AIG Manufacturing Index 

40.3

 

 

 

47.2 

 

 

 

 

KRW

 

 

 

South Korean Trade Balance 

2.70B

 

 

 

4.90B 

 

 

 

 

KRW

 

 

 

South Korean Manufacturing PMI 

47.20

 

 

 

49.38 

 

 

 

 

CNY

 

 

 

Chinese Manufacturing PMI 

50.10

 

50.30 

 

50.20 

 

 

 

 

AUD

 

 

 

House Price Index (QoQ) 

0.50%

 

-0.50% 

 

-0.10% 

   

 

 

CNY

 

 

 

Chinese HSBC Manufacturing PMI 

49.50

 

 

 

49.50 

   
                                                   

 

Upcoming Economic Events that affect the AUD, NZD, JPY and USD

Date

Time

Currency

 Event

Previous

Aug 2

1:30

AUD

Retail Sales m/m

0.5%

 

1:30

AUD

Trade Balance

-0.29B

 

12:30

USD

Unemployment Claims

 
 

14:00

USD

Factory Orders m/m

0.7%

 

23:30

AUD

AIG Services Index

48.8

Aug 3

12:30

USD

Non-Farm Employment Change

80K

 

12:30

USD

Unemployment Rate

8.2%

 

12:30

USD

Average Hourly Earnings m/m

0.3%

 

14:00

USD

ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI

52.1

Government Bond Auctions

Date  Time  Country 

Aug 02  08:30  Spain 

Aug 06  09:10  Norway

Aug 07  00:30  Japan

Aug 07  09:15  Austria

Aug 07  14:30  UK

Aug 07  17:00  US

Aug 08  09:30  Germany

Aug 08  10:00  Norway

Aug 08  15:30  Italy

Aug 08  17:00  US

Aug 09  15:30  Italy

Aug 09  17:00  US

Aug 10  10:00  Belgium

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