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NZD/USD Fundamental Analysis – December 1, 2015 – Forecast

By:
Barry Norman
Published: Nov 30, 2015, 05:50 UTC

Analysis and Recommendation: The NZD/USD gained 13 points to trade at 0.6546 after the release of a lackluster business confidence report, although the

NZD/USD Fundamental Analysis – December 1, 2015 – Forecast

nzd usd monday bnsnla
Analysis and Recommendation:

The NZD/USD gained 13 points to trade at 0.6546 after the release of a lackluster business confidence report, although the number was a lot stronger than the previous month. The US dollar advanced at the end of last week as currency markets experienced low volumes and poor liquidity as traders took an extended break around the US Thanksgiving holiday on Thursday.

This week is set to be much more action-packed, with central bank meetings in Australia and Europe, speeches by Federal Reserve officials including Janet Yellen and the final US payroll report before the Fed’s December interest rate review where it is expected to hike.

In China, reports due tomorrow will show how the manufacturing sector is tracking in Asia’s largest economy. China is New Zealand’s largest export market.

FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more up to the data analysis and information in our weekly reports.

Today’s economic releases:

Cur.

 

Event

Actual

Forecast

Previous

 

  NZD

 

Building Consents (MoM) (Oct)

5.1%

3.0%

-5.8%

   

  JPY

 

Industrial Production (MoM) (Oct)  

1.4%

1.9%

1.1%

 

 

  JPY

 

Retail Sales (YoY) (Oct)

1.8%

0.8%

-0.2%

 

 

  NZD

 

ANZ Business Confidence (Nov)

14.6%

15.0%

10.5%

 

 

  AUD

 

Company Gross Operating Profits

1.3%

1.0%

-0.5%

   

  AUD

 

Private Sector Credit (MoM) (Oct)

0.7%

0.6%

0.8%

 

 

  JPY

 

BoJ Governor Kuroda Speaks  

 

 

 

   

 

nzdusd

Upcoming Economic Events that you should be monitoring:

Tuesday, December 1, 2015

Cur.

 

Event

Actual

Forecast

Previous

 

  AUD

 

AIG Manufacturing Index (Nov)

 

 

50.2

 

 

  JPY

 

Capital Spending (YoY) (Q3)

 

 

5.6%

 

 

  AUD

 

Building Approvals (MoM) (Oct)

 

-2.3%

2.2%

 

 

  AUD

 

Current Account (Q3)

 

-16.5B

-19.0B

 

 

  CNY

 

Manufacturing PMI (Nov)

 

49.8

49.8

 

 

  CNY

 

Non-Manufacturing PMI (Nov)

 

 

53.1

 

 

  CNY

 

Caixin Manufacturing PMI (Nov)

 

48.3

48.3

 

 

  AUD

 

Interest Rate Decision (Dec)

 

2.00%

2.00%

 

 

  EUR

 

German Manufacturing PMI (Nov)

 

52.6

52.6

 

 

  EUR

 

German Unemployment Change

 

-5K

-5K

 

 

  EUR

 

German Unemployment Rate (Nov)

 

6.4%

6.4%

 

 

  EUR

 

Manufacturing PMI (Nov)

 

52.8

52.8

 

 

  GBP

 

Manufacturing PMI (Nov)

 

54.0

55.5

 

 

  EUR

 

Unemployment Rate (Oct)

 

10.8%

10.8%

 

 

  USD

 

Manufacturing PMI (Nov)

 

 

52.6

 

 

  USD

 

ISM Manufacturing Employment

 

48.5

47.6

 

 

  USD

 

ISM Manufacturing PMI (Nov)

 

50.4

50.1

 

 

Government Bond Auctions

Date Time Country

Dec 01 11:30 UK 1.5% 2021 Gilt auction

Dec 02 16:30 Sweden Announces details of Bond on 11 Dec

Dec 03 10:30 Spain Auctions

Dec 03 10:50 France Auctions OATs

Dec 03 11:03 Sweden Holds I/L bond auction

Dec 04 11:03 Sweden Holds I/L bond auction

 

 

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