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NZD/USD Fundamental Forecast – August 31. 2016

By:
Barry Norman
Published: Aug 30, 2016, 04:46 UTC

The NZD/USD is down 4 points against the stronger US dollar. The greenback is up by 14 points in the morning session as traders continued to evaluate a

NZD/USD Fundamental Forecast – August 31. 2016

The NZD/USD is down 4 points against the stronger US dollar. The greenback is up by 14 points in the morning session as traders continued to evaluate a steady flow of positive US data and comments from the Federal Reserve speakers. Data released this morning indicated that building consents fell a seasonally adjusted 10.5 percent in July from the month before, when they rose 22 percent. If apartment numbers are removed, consents for houses decreased 5 percent. However, for the year ended July more than 29,000 consents for new dwellings were issued, the highest level since mid-2004.

The US dollar rallied after US Commerce Department data showed consumer spending had risen in July. The rise in the dollar also followed a comparatively bullish outlook from US Fed chief Janet Yellen, who said Friday that justification for an interest rate hike was mounting.

The Commerce Department reported Monday that US consumer spending in July had risen 0.3 per cent over June while core inflation had risen only 0.1 per cent. Personal incomes were up 0.4 per cent for the month.

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Upcoming Economic Events that you should be monitoring:

 August 31, 2016

Country Event Volatility Previous
GBP Gfk Consumer Confidence 2 -12
JPY Industrial Production 2 -1.5
JPY Industrial Production 2 2.3
AUD HIA New Home Sales 2 8.2
CHF UBS Consumption Indicator 2 1.34
EUR Unemployment Rate s.a. 3 6.1
EUR Unemployment Change 3 -7
EUR Unemployment 2 11.6
EUR Unemployment Rate 2 10.1
EUR Consumer Price Index 3 0.2
EUR Consumer Price Index – Core 3 0.9
USD ADP Employment Change 2 179
CAD Gross Domestic Product Annualized 2 2.4
CAD Gross Domestic Product 2 -0.6
USD Chicago Purchasing Managers’ Index 2 55.8
USD Pending Home Sales 2 1
USD Pending Home Sales 2 0.2

Government Bond Auctions

Date Time Country Auction

Aug 29 13:00 Norway Details of bond auction on Aug 31

Aug 30 11:10 Italy Holds bond auction

Aug 31 11:05 Norway Holds bond auction

Aug 31 11:30 Germany Eur 4bn Sep 2018 Schatz

Sep 01 10:30 Spain Holds bond auction

Sep 01 11:30 UK Jul 2022 Gilt

Sep 01 11:50 France Holds bond auction

 

 

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