Silver Fundamental Analysis October 1, 2012, Forecast
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Analysis and Recommendations:
Silver dipped today to trade at 34.626 on mostly profit taking and a change in investor sentiment, with poor eco data from the US, upsetting the apple cart. Late in the day silver and gold turned from profits to losses after US data showed consumer sentiment declined and the Chicago PMI broke below 50.
The overall metals pack is still well supported on hopes of stimulus from China.
FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more recent analysis and information in our weekly reports.
Economic Data September 28, 2012 actual v. forecast
|
Date |
|
Currency |
|
|
Event |
Actual |
|
Forecast |
|
Previous |
|
|
|
Sep. 28 |
|
KRW |
|
|
South Korean Industrial Production (YoY) |
0.3% |
|
0.4% |
|
0.2% |
||
|
|
|
JPY |
|
|
Unemployment Rate |
4.2% |
|
4.3% |
|
4.3% |
|
|
|
|
|
JPY |
|
|
Tokyo Core CPI (YoY) |
-0.4% |
|
-0.3% |
|
-0.5% |
|
|
|
|
|
JPY |
|
|
Industrial Production (MoM) |
-1.3% |
|
-0.5% |
|
-1.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
JPY |
|
|
Retail Sales (YoY) |
1.8% |
|
-0.2% |
|
-0.8% |
|
|
|
|
|
EUR |
|
|
French GDP (QoQ) |
0.0% |
|
0.0% |
|
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
EUR |
|
|
French Consumer Spending (MoM) |
0.4% |
|
-0.1% |
|
0.4% |
||
|
|
|
CHF |
|
|
KOF Leading Indicators |
1.67 |
|
1.57 |
|
1.59 |
||
|
|
|
EUR |
|
|
CPI (YoY) |
2.7% |
|
2.4% |
|
2.6% |
|
|
|
|
|
USD |
|
|
Core PCE Price Index (MoM) |
0.1% |
|
0.1% |
|
0.1% |
||
|
|
|
CAD |
|
|
GDP (MoM) |
0.2% |
|
0.2% |
|
0.1% |
||
|
|
|
USD |
|
|
Personal Spending (MoM) |
0.5% |
|
0.5% |
|
0.4% |
|
|
|
|
|
USD |
|
|
Chicago PMI |
49.7 |
|
53.0 |
|
53.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
USD |
|
|
Michigan Consumer Sentiment |
78.3 |
|
79.0 |
|
79.2 |
|
Upcoming Economic Events that affect the CHF, EUR, GBP and USD
|
Date |
Time |
Currency |
Event |
Forecast |
Previous |
|
Oct. 01 |
08:15 |
CHF |
5.0% |
3.2% |
|
|
08:30 |
CHF |
47.0 |
46.7 |
||
|
15:00 |
USD |
49.8 |
49.6 |
Government Bond Auction
Date Time Country
Oct 01 10:00 Norway
Oct 02 09:15 Austria
Oct 02 09:30 Belgium
Oct 02 09:30 UK
Oct 02 14:30 UK
Oct 03 09:10 Sweden
Oct 03 10:00 Norway
Oct 04 08:30 Spain
Oct 04 08:50 France
Oct 04 15:00 US
Oct 05 15:30 Italy
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