Silver Fundamental Analysis September 11, 2012, Forecast
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Analysis and Recommendations:
Silver dipped a bit today as traders took advantage of the high prices to take profit, also poor eco data from China ( see data below ) weighed on industrial metals with production declining.
Silver is trading at 33.603 off by 0.087.
Precious metals soared last week after the ECB introduced their new Outright Monetary Transaction program to bailout or reduce borrowing costs for ailing nations.
But it was the nonfarm payroll report in the US that sealed the deal on QE from the Feds that pushed metals and commodities to new highs.
FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more up to the data analysis and information in our weekly reports.
Economic Data September 10, 2012 actual v. forecast
|
Date |
Time |
|
Currency |
|
|
Event |
Actual |
|
Forecast |
|
Previous |
|
Sep. 10 |
00:50 |
|
JPY |
|
|
Adjusted Current Account |
0.34T |
|
0.39T |
|
0.77T |
|
|
00:50 |
|
JPY |
|
|
GDP (QoQ) |
0.2% |
|
0.3% |
|
0.3% |
|
|
00:50 |
|
JPY |
|
|
GDP Price Index (YoY) |
-0.9% |
|
-1.1% |
|
-1.1% |
|
|
00:50 |
|
JPY |
|
|
Bank Lending (YoY) |
0.9% |
|
|
|
0.7% |
|
|
02:00 |
|
CNY |
|
|
Chinese Trade Balance |
26.66B |
|
19.80B |
|
25.10B |
|
|
02:00 |
|
CNY |
|
|
Chinese Exports (YoY) |
2.70% |
|
3.00% |
|
1.00% |
|
|
02:30 |
|
AUD |
|
|
Home Loans (MoM) |
-1.0% |
|
0.1% |
|
1.0% |
Chinese Economic Data released on September 9, 2012 actual v. forecast ( this is important )
|
Sep. 09 |
02:30 |
|
CNY |
|
|
Chinese CPI (YoY) |
2.0% |
|
2.0% |
|
1.8% |
|
|
|
|
02:30 |
|
CNY |
|
|
Chinese PPI (YoY) |
-3.5% |
|
-3.3% |
|
-2.9% |
|
|
|
|
02:30 |
|
CNY |
|
|
Chinese CPI (MoM) |
0.6% |
|
0.5% |
|
0.1% |
|
|
|
|
06:30 |
|
CNY |
|
|
Chinese Fixed Asset Investment (YoY) |
20.2% |
|
20.4% |
|
20.4% |
|
|
|
|
06:30 |
|
CNY |
|
|
Chinese Industrial Production (YoY) |
8.9% |
|
9.1% |
|
9.2% |
|
|
|
|
06:30 |
|
CNY |
|
|
Chinese Retail Sales (YoY) |
13.2% |
|
13.2% |
|
13.1% |
|
Upcoming Economic Events that affect the CHF, EUR, GBP and USD
|
Date |
Time |
Currency |
Event |
Forecast |
Previous |
|
Sep. 11 |
00:01 |
GBP |
-22% |
-24% |
|
|
|
09:30 |
GBP |
-9.0B |
-10.1B |
|
|
|
13:30 |
USD |
-44.7B |
-42.9B |
Government Bond Auction
Date Time Country
Sep 11 00:30 Japan
Sep 11 08:30 Holland
Sep 11 09:10 Greece
Sep 11 09:30 UK
Sep 11 14:30 UK
Sep 11 17:00 US
Sep 12 09:10 Italy
Sep 12 09:10 Sweden
Sep 12 09:30 Germany
Sep 12 09:30 Swiss
Sep 12 14:30 Sweden
Sep 12 17:00 US
Barry produces a private Daily Market Review newsletter that is distributed around the globe to over 25,000 subscribers and recently published a book on Options Trading that is available from amazon.com
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