Silver Weekly Fundamental Analysis September 24-28, 2012 Forecast
Introduction: Silver futures are standardized, exchange-traded contracts in which the contract buyer agrees to take delivery, from the seller, a specific quantity of silver (eg. 30000 grams) at a predetermined price on a future delivery date.
Some Facts about Silver
Silver is a soft, shiny and heavy metallic element with a brilliant white luster. A very ductile and malleable metal, its thermal and electrical conductivity is the highest of all known metals.
Besides being used as a store of value, other main uses of silver include applications in areas such as electronics, photography and as antiseptics.
Consumers and producers of silver can manage silver price risk by purchasing and selling silver futures. Silver producers can employ a short hedge to lock in a selling price for the silver they produce while businesses that require silver can utilize a long hedge to secure a purchase price for the commodity they need.
Silver futures are also traded by speculators who assume the price risk that hedgers try to avoid in return for a chance to profit from favorable silver price movement. Speculators buy silver futures when they believe that silver prices will go up. Conversely, they will sell silver futures when they think that silver prices will fall.
Weekly Analysis and Recommendations:
Silver had an interesting week soaring on the heels of gold but also well supported on the industrial side. Every time markets began to worry about growth and manufacturing, more stimulus money was offered helping increase future demands on the metals. The Bank of Japan announced new stimulus followed by the PBoC. Silver broke above 35.00 per ounce during the weeks trading session and ended the week at 34.57
Sep 21, 2012
Sep 20, 2012
Sep 19, 2012
Sep 18, 2012
Sep 17, 2012
Silver has been outperforming gold over the past 10 weeks as investors are hoarding and buying poor man’s gold to hedge against worldwide quantitative easing and pump-priming being implemented by Central Banks around the world to devalue their respective currencies.
The Bank of Japan joined the Fed, ECB, China, South Korea and others by announcing an aggressive stimulus program. This is extremely inflationary and bullish for gold and silver and bearish for the purported safe havens namely the U.S. dollar, long term treasuries, Euro, Yen and Yuan.
Remember Japan is the third largest economy in the world and they are currently facing an economic slowdown, rising electricity prices due to increase oil imports and is in the midst of a territorial dispute in the South China Seas with China. Japan is mimicking Bernanke’s QE decision last week to attempt to devalue their currencies to boost exports. The Japanese stimulus is massive and will now total nearly 20% of Japan’s total economy. The U.S. dollar is falling as these drastic moves were much bigger than the consensus expected.
FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more recent analysis and information in our weekly reports and we provide daily updates and outlooks.
Major Economic Events for the week of September 17-21, 2012 actual v. forecast for Euro, GPB, the Franc, and USD
Rightmove House Price Index (MoM)
NY Empire State Manufacturing Index
Core CPI (YoY)
German ZEW Economic Sentiment
ZEW Economic Sentiment
TIC Net Long-Term Transactions
Existing Home Sales
French Manufacturing PMI
German Manufacturing PMI
Retail Sales (MoM)
Retail Sales (YoY)
Spanish 10-Year Obligation Auction
CBI Industrial Trends Orders
Initial Jobless Claims
Continuing Jobless Claims
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index
Economic Highlights of the coming week that affect the Euro, GBP, CHF and the USD
Government Bond Auction
Date Time Country
Sep 24 09:10 Norway
Sep 24 09:30 Germany
Sep 24 10:00 Belgium
Sep 24 15:30 Italy
Sep 25 08:30 Holland
Sep 25 08:30 Spain
Sep 25 09:10 Italy
Sep 25 14:30 UK
Sep 25 17:00 US
Sep 26 09:10 Italy
Sep 26 09:10 Sweden
Sep 26 09:00 Germany
Sep 26 14:30 Sweden
Sep 26 17:00 US
Sep 27 00:30 Japan
Sep 27 09:10 Italy
Sep 27 17:00 US
Barry produces a private Daily Market Review newsletter that is distributed around the globe to over 25,000 subscribers and recently published a book on Options Trading that is available from amazon.comView all of FX Empire Analyst - Barry Norman's Articles