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S&P 500 Fundamental Forecast – August 31. 2016

By:
Barry Norman
Published: Aug 30, 2016, 13:24 UTC

The S&P 500 recovered 11 points and could hit a record high, but tax problems brewing with Apple may weigh on the equities markets today. The index is

S&P 500 Fundamental Forecast – August 31. 2016

The S&P 500 recovered 11 points and could hit a record high, but tax problems brewing with Apple may weigh on the equities markets today. The index is at 2180.38 and continues in a positive direction.  commodity-sector stocks led the S&P 500 higher in a low-volume session on Monday after consumer spending rose for a fourth straight month, pointing to a pick-up in US economic growth. Wall Street was helped by gains in financial shares after comments from top Federal Reserve officials on Friday bolstered expectations for an interest rate hike from the US central bank this year, while European shares dipped and the dollar rose.

Investors continued to digest comments from US Federal Reserve officials on Friday. After Fed Chair Janet Yellen said the case for a rate hike before the end of the year was strengthening, Vice Chair Stanley Fischer seemed to indicate not only the possibility of a tightening move in September but a second in December.

The Dow Jones industrial average rose 107.59 points, or 0.58 per cent, to 18,502.99, the S&P 500 gained 11.34 points, or 0.52 per cent, to 2,180.38 and the Nasdaq Composite added 13.41 points, or 0.26 per cent, to 5,232.33.

The S&P closed 0.45 per cent below its record high set earlier this month. Data last week showed speculators are the most net long S&P e-mini futures contracts in three years.

Stock trading volume was the weakest so far this year at just below 5 billion shares, compared with the average of 6.1 billion over the past 20 days. It is expected to remain low through the week, the last of the US summer vacation season.

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Upcoming Economic Events that you should be monitoring:

 August 31, 2016

Country Event Volatility Previous
GBP Gfk Consumer Confidence 2 -12
JPY Industrial Production 2 -1.5
JPY Industrial Production 2 2.3
AUD HIA New Home Sales 2 8.2
CHF UBS Consumption Indicator 2 1.34
EUR Unemployment Rate s.a. 3 6.1
EUR Unemployment Change 3 -7
EUR Unemployment 2 11.6
EUR Unemployment Rate 2 10.1
EUR Consumer Price Index 3 0.2
EUR Consumer Price Index – Core 3 0.9
USD ADP Employment Change 2 179
CAD Gross Domestic Product Annualized 2 2.4
CAD Gross Domestic Product 2 -0.6
USD Chicago Purchasing Managers’ Index 2 55.8
USD Pending Home Sales 2 1
USD Pending Home Sales 2 0.2

Government Bond Auctions

Date Time Country Auction

Aug 29 13:00 Norway Details of bond auction on Aug 31

Aug 30 11:10 Italy Holds bond auction

Aug 31 11:05 Norway Holds bond auction

Aug 31 11:30 Germany Eur 4bn Sep 2018 Schatz

Sep 01 10:30 Spain Holds bond auction

Sep 01 11:30 UK Jul 2022 Gilt

Sep 01 11:50 France Holds bond auction

 

 

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