USD/CAD Fundamental Analysis October 26, 2012 Forecast

Posted October 25, 2012 17:31 (GMT) | By FX Empire Analyst - Barry Norman | Print | Font Size
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Analysis and Recommendations:

The USD/CAD is trading at 0.9943 adding a few pips. The CAD is strong, having gained 0.3% but trading within yesterday’s range. A broadly weaker USD, partially on the back of a better risk environment after the UK released a strong GDP report and many are suggesting that the worst is behind us have helped support CAD. There are no Canadian releases expected today; Governor Carney will provide an introduction of the IMF’s Lagarde, but there are no published remarks or press conference and accordingly there is likely to be no impact on CAD.

In the US today, unemployment numbers were mixed and US durable goods were way over forecast but a deep look into the numbers bothered trades. Pending home sales also dipped

FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more up to the data analysis and information in our weekly reports.

Economic Data October 25, 2012 actual v. forecast

Date	Currency	Event	Actual	Forecast	Previous
Oct. 25	HUF	Hungarian Retail Sales (YoY)	-2.40%	-2.20%	-2.60%
	SEK	Swedish Interest Rate Decision	1.25%	1.25%	1.25%
	GBP	GDP (QoQ)	1.0%	0.6%	-0.4%
	GBP	GDP (YoY)	0.0%	-0.5%	-0.5%
	BRL	Brazilian Unemployment Rate	5.4%	5.3%	5.3%
	USD	Core Durable Goods Orders (MoM)	2.0%	0.8%	-2.1%
	USD	Durable Goods Orders (MoM)	9.9%	7.1%	-13.1%
	USD	Initial Jobless Claims	369K	370K	392K
	USD	Continuing Jobless Claims	3254K	3255K	3256K
	MXN	Mexican Trade Balance	0.234B	-1.318B	-0.979B
	USD	Pending Home Sales (MoM)	0.3%	2.1%	-2.6%

Upcoming Economic Events that affect the CHF, EUR, GBP and USD

Date	Time	Currency	Event	Forecast	Previous
Oct. 26	07:00	EUR	GfK German Consumer Climate	5.9	5.9
	08:00	CHF	KOF Leading Indicators	1.63	1.67
	13:30	USD	GDP (QoQ)	1.9%	1.3%
	14:55	USD	Michigan Consumer Sentiment	83.0	83.1

Government Bond Auction

Date Time Country

Oct 26 09:10 Italy

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About: FX Empire Analyst - Barry Norman

Barry produces a private Daily Market Review newsletter that is distributed around the globe to over 25,000 subscribers and recently published a book on Options Trading that is available from amazon.com

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