USD/CAD Fundamental Analysis October 3, 2012, Forecasts

By FX Empire Analyst - James Hyerczyk
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On Wednesday the focus will be on the ADP Non-Farm Employment Change. This report will give investors a heads up on what to expect from Friday’s U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls report. If the number is bullish then demand for higher risk will rise, pressuring the U.S. Dollar. This will give the Canadian Dollar a boost. If the report shows weakness then look for the USD/CAD to strengthen.

Another factor that may drive up the Canadian Dollar is demand for higher risk assets that could come about if Spain makes a formal request to the European Central Bank for financial aid. Traders are waiting for this to take place and it could trigger a sharp rise in global equity markets and commodities – namely gold and crude oil. Since the prices of these two commodities exert a major influence on the Canadian economy, its currency could benefit from price appreciation. 

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