The USD/CAD dipped 59 points as oil prices supported the Loonie and the Fed statement sent the dollar spiraling down. The FOMC made no changes to its
The USD/CAD dipped 59 points as oil prices supported the Loonie and the Fed statement sent the dollar spiraling down. The FOMC made no changes to its outlook leaving markets uncertain. The paid is trading at 1.2540. As broadly expected the Federal Open Market Committee left short-term interest rates unchanged at between 0.25% and 0.50%. Since there was no press conference, the market had nothing to get its teeth into apart from the statement. The latter was little changed compared to the one from January, indicating that the Fed sticks to its dovish position. The line saying that “the global economic and financial developments continue to pose risks” was removed but on the other hand the Fed agreed that the domestic economic activity appeared to have slowed. All in all, it was roughly in line with the market was expecting and USD crosses remained flat as investors had already priced in that the Fed would most likely hold fire in June.
The Loonie continues to hold steady against the other major global tenders thanks to the continuation of oil prices at range-topping levels. The price of a barrel of Brent Crude edged upwards to close to the $47 level early yesterday – its highest since last November.
The price of ‘Black Gold’ peeled back slightly during the afternoon session following this peak, but further gains are forecast, making the outlook for the Loonie
FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each asset we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more up to the data analysis and information in our weekly reports, which covers the current week and are published by Sunday before the new week begins. Daily we share any new events, forecasts or analysis that affect the current day. To achieve a full accurate understanding it is important that you study all of our data and analysis as a whole.
Today’s economic releases:
Cur. | Event | Actual | Forecast | Previous | |||
NZD | Interest Rate Decision | 2.25% | 2.25% | 2.25% | |||
JPY | Household Spending (YoY) (Mar) | -5.3% | -4.2% | 1.2% | |||
JPY | Household Spending (MoM) (Mar) | 0.5% | -0.3% | 1.7% | |||
JPY | Jobs/applications ratio (Mar) | 1.30 | 1.28 | 1.28 | |||
JPY | National Core CPI (YoY) (Mar) | -0.3% | -0.2% | 0.0% | |||
JPY | Tokyo Core CPI (YoY) (Apr) | -0.3% | -0.3% | -0.3% | |||
JPY | Industrial Production (MoM) (Mar) | 3.6% | 2.9% | -5.2% | |||
JPY | Retail Sales (YoY) (Mar) | -1.1% | -1.5% | 0.4% | |||
JPY | BoJ Monetary Policy Statement | ||||||
JPY | Interest Rate Decision | -0.10% | -0.10% | -0.10% | |||
JPY | BoJ Outlook Report (YoY) | ||||||
GBP | Nationwide HPI (YoY) (Apr) | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | |||
JPY | BoJ Press Conference | ||||||
EUR | German Unemployment Change (Apr) | -16K | 4K | 0K | |||
EUR | German Unemployment Rate (Apr) | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | |||
EUR | German CPI (MoM) (Apr) | -0.2% | 0.8% | ||||
USD | GDP (QoQ) (Q1) | 0.7% | 1.4% | ||||
USD | Initial Jobless Claims | 260K | 247K |
Upcoming Economic Events that you should be monitoring:
Friday, April 29, 2016
Cur. | Event | Actual | Forecast | Previous | |||
Japan – Showa Day | |||||||
NZD | Building Consents (MoM) (Mar) | 10.8% | |||||
NZD | ANZ Business Confidence (Apr) | 3.2 | |||||
AUD | PPI (QoQ) (Q1) | 0.2% | 0.3% | ||||
AUD | Private Sector Credit (MoM) (Mar) | 0.6% | 0.6% | ||||
EUR | German Retail Sales (MoM) (Mar) | 0.3% | -0.4% | ||||
EUR | Core CPI (YoY) | 0.9% | 1.0% | ||||
EUR | GDP (QoQ) (Q1) | 0.4% | 0.3% | ||||
EUR | Unemployment Rate (Mar) | 10.3% | 10.3% | ||||
GBP | BoE MPC Member Cunliffe Speaks | ||||||
USD | Core PCE Price Index (MoM) (Mar) | 0.1% | 0.1% | ||||
USD | Personal Spending (MoM) (Mar) | 0.2% | 0.1% | ||||
CAD | GDP (MoM) (Feb) | -0.1% | 0.6% | ||||
CAD | RMPI (MoM) (Mar) | 3.7% | -2.6% | ||||
USD | Chicago PMI (Apr) | 53.0 | 53.6 | ||||
USD | Michigan Consumer Expectations | 80.2 | 79.6 | ||||
USD | Michigan Consumer Sentiment (Apr) | 90.0 | 89.7 | ||||
USD | Baker Hughes U.S. Rig Count | 343 |
Government Bond Auctions
Date Time Country Auction
Apr 28 11:10 Italy Eur 2.25bn 0.45% 2021 BTP
Apr 28 19:00 US Usd 15bn 2yr FRN notes & Usd 28bn 7yr notes
Mar 02 13:00 Norway Details of bond auction on Mar 04
May 04 11:05 Norway Holds bond auction
May 04 11:30 Germany Eur 4bn Apr 2021 Bobl
May 04 11:50 France Holds bond auction
May 04 17:20 Sweden Details of bond auction on May 11
May 05 10:30 Spain Holds bond auction
May 05 11:00 Austria Holds bond auction