Analysis and Recommendation: The USD/JPY dipped 12 points on the US holiday, as the greenback holds tight at 99.83. Traders moved into the safe haven yen
The USD/JPY dipped 12 points on the US holiday, as the greenback holds tight at 99.83. Traders moved into the safe haven yen on the holiday. The U.S. dollar traded in the upper 122 yen rage early Thursday in Tokyo, little changed from overnight in New York. The dollar index .DXY, which tracks the greenback against a basket of six rivals, touched an eight-month high of 100.170 overnight after a good deal of U.S. economic data reinforced views that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates next month for the first time in nearly a decade. Better-than-forecast durable goods data and jobless claims offset somewhat weaker-than-expected readings on consumer inflation and sentiment, and gave investors no reason to believe the U.S. central bank would not raise rates.
The Japanese government has decided to compile a supplement budget slightly larger than ¥3 trillion for fiscal 2015 through next March, sources said Wednesday. The extra budget will be designed to fund measures to help domestic farmers cope with a Trans-Pacific Partnership free trade.
The dollar softened to around 122. 30 in Tokyo trading this morning, weighed down by position-adjustment sales ahead of the U.S. market’s closure on Thursday for Thanksgiving Day.
FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more up to the data analysis and information in our weekly reports.
Today’s economic releases:
Cur. |
Event |
Actual |
Forecast |
Previous |
|
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|
United States – Thanksgiving Day |
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NZD |
Trade Balance (MoM) (Oct) |
-963M |
-937M |
-1,222M |
|
||
NZD |
Trade Balance (YoY) (Oct) |
-3,240M |
-3,370M |
-3,200M |
|
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AUD |
Private New Capital Expenditure |
-9.2% |
-3.0% |
-4.4% |
|||
EUR |
GfK German Consumer Climate |
|
9.2 |
9.4 |
Upcoming Economic Events that you should be monitoring:
Friday, November 27, 2015
Cur. |
Event |
Actual |
Forecast |
Previous |
|
||
|
United States – Day following Thanksgiving – Early close at 13:30 |
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JPY |
Household Spending (MoM) (Oct) |
|
1.1% |
-1.3% |
|
||
JPY |
Household Spending (YoY) (Oct) |
|
0.1% |
-0.4% |
|
||
JPY |
Jobs/applications ratio (Oct) |
|
1.24 |
1.24 |
|
||
JPY |
National Core CPI (YoY) (Oct) |
|
-0.1% |
-0.1% |
|
||
JPY |
Tokyo Core CPI (YoY) (Nov) |
|
-0.1% |
-0.2% |
|
||
GBP |
Nationwide HPI (MoM) (Nov) |
|
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
||
GBP |
Nationwide HPI (YoY) (Nov) |
|
4.2% |
3.9% |
|
||
GBP |
Business Investment (QoQ) (Q3) |
|
1.5% |
1.6% |
|
||
GBP |
GDP (YoY) (Q3) |
|
2.3% |
2.3% |
|
||
GBP |
GDP (QoQ) (Q3) |
|
0.5% |
0.5% |
Government Bond Auctions
Date Time Country
Nov 26 11:03 Sweden Sek 5bn 1% Nov 2026 bond exchange
Nov 27 11:03 Sweden 1.5% Nov 2023 bond exchange, 1% Nov 2026 bond exchange
Nov 27 11:10 Italy Auctions BTPs
Nov 27 N/A Spain Announces details of 03 Dec
Nov 30 11:03 Sweden Holds bond auction
Dec 01 11:30 UK 1.5% 2021 Gilt auction
Dec 02 16:30 Sweden Announces details of Bond on 11 Dec
Dec 03 10:30 Spain Auctions
Dec 03 10:50 France Auctions OATs
Dec 03 11:03 Sweden Holds I/L bond auction
Dec 04 11:03 Sweden Holds I/L bond auction