USD/JPY Fundamental Analysis October 11, 2012 Forecast

Posted October 10, 2012 8:12 (GMT) | By FX Empire Analyst - Barry Norman | Print | Font Size
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USD/JPY Fundamental Analysis October 11, 2012 Forecast

Analysis and Recommendation:

The USD/JPY remains flat trading at 78.26 staying within a very tight range. The U.S. dollar index traded solidly higher Tuesday, on more short covering in a bear market and on some safe-haven demand. The U.S. dollar bears still have the overall near-term technical advantage.

As markets become more worried about the Chinese slowdown and growth throughout the world and the ongoing EU debt crisis and the US fiscal cliff, risk aversion is returning to the markets supporting the JPY. Also a stronger than expected print of current account figures. IMF Deputy Managing Director Shinohara, a former MoF official, has suggested that the BoJ embark on more aggressive easing, but refrained from supporting measures involving purchases of foreign bonds

FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more up to the data analysis and information in our weekly reports.

Economic Data October 10, 2012 actual v. forecast

Date	Currency	Event	Actual	Forecast	Previous
Oct. 10	KRW	South Korean Unemployment Rate	3.1%	3.2%	3.1%
	AUD	Westpac Consumer Sentiment	1.00%		1.60%
	KRW	South Korean M2 Money supply	9.20%		9.00%
	EUR	German WPI (MoM)	1.3%	0.5%	1.1%
	JPY	Machine Tool Orders (YoY)	-3.0%		-2.7%
	EUR	Finnish Industry Output (MoM)	-1.40%		2.00%
	EUR	French Industrial Production (MoM)	1.5%	-0.2%	0.6%

Upcoming Economic Events that affect the AUD, NZD, JPY and USD

Date	Time	Currency	Event	Forecast	Previous
Oct. 11	01:30	AUD	Employment Change	3.8K	-8.8K
	13:30	USD	Import Price Index (MoM)	0.7%	0.7%
	13:30	USD	Trade Balance	-44.0B	-42.0B
	13:30	USD	Initial Jobless Claims	370K	367K
	13:30	USD	Continuing Jobless Claims	3275K	3281K
	19:00	USD	Federal Budget Balance	-4.0B	-191.0B

Government Bond Auction

Date Time Country

Oct 11 09:10 Italy

Oct 11 09:10 Sweden

Oct 11 09:30 UK

Oct 11 15:00 US

Oct 11 17:00 US

Oct 12 09:30 Germany

Oct 12 10:00 Belgium

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About: FX Empire Analyst - Barry Norman

Barry produces a private Daily Market Review newsletter that is distributed around the globe to over 25,000 subscribers and recently published a book on Options Trading that is available from amazon.com

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