Financial News
- James Hyerczyk
Durable goods orders fell 9.3% in June, led by a 22.4% drop in transportation. Core orders rose 0.2%, signaling fragile U.S. manufacturing momentum.
- Bob Mason
UK consumers return to stores, complicating rate cut bets as inflation and labor data diverge.
- Dennis Shen
Transatlantic trade tensions are contributing to a moderate deceleration in near-term growth in the EU and euro area by around 0.4pps, even in a baseline scenario of the US and the EU reaching a preliminary trade agreement.
- Vladimir Zernov
Natural gas prices are moving higher as traders react to the EIA report.
- Vladimir Zernov
The Composite PMI report exceeded analyst estimates as the services sector expanded at a robust pace.
- James Hyerczyk
U.S. jobless claims dip to 217K, but continued claims rise. Traders should watch for labor softening amid sector-specific layoffs and economic uncertainty.
- Bob Mason
EU-China talks take center stage as US tariffs bite; Beijing eyes trade relief and stability.
- Julian ZimmermannGermany: Successful Implementation of Infrastructure Investment Key to Growth, Fiscal Sustainability
Germany’s defence and infrastructure borrowing plans will lead to a marked increase in its public deficit and debt. Sustaining fiscal space will depend on growth effects but also on pension and labour market reforms.
- Vladimir Zernov
Gasoline inventories decreased by 1.7 million barrels from the previous week.
- Bob Mason
PBoC’s steady stance signals confidence, but outlook hinges on US-China trade shifts. US tariffs on South East Asian countries could impact China’s exports.
- Dennis Shen
China is confronting several daunting challenges: persistent deflation, historically low rates, structurally declining economic growth and rising government debt. This raises significant obstacles for economic stability.
- Thomas Gillet
The government’s commitment to fiscal discipline is challenged by a rising interest burden, economic slowdown and a fragmented and uncertain political environment.
- James Hyerczyk
Verizon raises 2025 profit forecast as demand for premium plans grows. Despite losing wireless subscribers, broadband gains drive earnings beat.
- Vladimir Zernov
Year-ahead inflation expectations declined from 5.0% to 4.4%.
- James Hyerczyk
U.S. housing starts rose 4.6% in June, but falling single-family permits and completions signal weakness. Bearish outlook for homebuilders ahead.
- James Hyerczyk
Netflix dips after earnings beat as subscriber growth lags. Traders eye key support levels and analyst reactions in the US stock market forecast.
- Vladimir Zernov
Natural gas prices moved away from session highs as traders reacted to the EIA report.
- James Hyerczyk
June U.S. retail sales rebounded 0.6%, while jobless claims fell. Strong consumer demand and Philly Fed data support a short-term bullish equity outlook.
- Bob Mason
Slower wage growth and rising unemployment may tip BoE toward easing rates sooner.
- Bob Mason
Beijing faces stimulus dilemma as housing woes, youth joblessness, and tariff headwinds persist.