August 31, 2014| Cliff Wachtel

Global Stocks Weekly Fundamental Outlook: Top Market Drivers, Lessons, Questions

Weekly fundamental outlook for global stock indexes and most global asset markets. See here for our Global Stocks Weekly Technical Outlook.   Fundamental Picture: Lessons & Top Market Drivers For This Week   Everything that has real influence over global asset prices and rates these days falls into one of three categories: Economic data from the US, Europe, or China (ok, occasionally Japan or the UK). Speculation about changes in policy, and ultimately, benchmark interest rates, from one of their...
August 31, 2014| Cliff Wachtel

Global Stock Indexes Weekly Technical Outlook: European Stocks Recovering Despite Dismal Data, Geopolitics, And Why

Weekly technical outlook for global indexes and basic explanation of fundamental drivers. See here for full fundamental outlook and market drivers. See here for our Global Stocks Weekly Fundamental Outlook –The One Thing Really Driving Markets, & Other Key Drivers, Questions, For The Week Ahead.     Technical Picture   We look at the technical picture first for a number of reasons, including: Chart Don’t Lie: Dramatic headlines and dominant news themes don’t necessarily move markets. Price action is critical...
August 31, 2014| Cliff Wachtel

The Coming Week’s Top Market Movers, Lessons: The Only Thing Driving Global Markets

How bullish and bearish forces align for stock indexes, forex and other global markets, both technical and fundamental outlooks, likely top market movers. Despite all the headlines, neither economic data nor the Russian invasion of Ukraine moved markets. Here’s what did. Summary --Technical Outlook: European stocks rise, close gap with US, Asia, despite miserable data, Russian invasion of Ukraine. Guess Why? --Fundamental Outlook: The only market driver that really matters, how long the bull market can last, why, and what...
August 30, 2014| Cliff Wachtel

EURUSD Weekly Fundamental Outlook: Will Likely Drivers Support More Downside?

  FX Traders’ weekly EURUSD fundamental picture, likely trend, trading range, and drivers The following is a partial summary of the conclusions from the fxempire.com weekly analysts’ meeting in which we cover outlooks for the major pairs for the coming week and beyond. Summary Fundamental Outlook Summary: The recent fundamental drivers strengthening, and what could counter them and lift the pair Fundamental Outlook 1: Daily market movers and lessons learned from them Fundamental Outlook 2: Lessons and likely market movers for the...
August 30, 2014| Cliff Wachtel

EURUSD Weekly Technical Outlook: How Much More Downside?

FX Traders’ weekly EURUSD fundamental & technical picture, likely trend, trading range, and drivers The following is a partial summary of the conclusions from the fxempire.com weekly analysts’ meeting in which we cover outlooks for the major pairs for the coming week and beyond.   EURUSD Weekly Technical Outlook: Friday Breakdown Negates Bottoming Attempt       EURUSD Weekly Chart July 15 2012 to Present KEY: 10 Week EMA Dark Blue, 20 WEEK EMA Yellow, 50 WEEK EMA Red, 100 WEEK EMA...
August 30, 2014| Cliff Wachtel

EURUSD Weekly Outlook: Technical Breakdowns, Fundamental Drivers – Coming “Sell The News” Bounce?

  FX Traders’ weekly EURUSD fundamental & technical picture,likely trend, trading range, and drivers The following is a partial summary of the conclusions from the fxempire.com weekly analysts’ meeting in which we cover outlooks for the major pairs for the coming week and beyond. Summary Technical Outlook: Another failed bottoming attempt and implications, likely trading range this week Fundamental Outlook Summary: The recent fundamental drivers strengthening, and what could counter them and lift the pair Fundamental Outlook 1: Daily market movers and...
August 24, 2014| Cliff Wachtel

The Coming Week’s Top Market Movers, Lessons: EU’s Moment Of Truth Approaching?

Top market movers and lessons for the prior and coming week and beyond – special focus on existential decisions EU must soon face   Summary --Technical Outlook: European indexes diverge from those of US, Asia, reflecting Europe’s underperformance --Fundamental Outlook: They key drivers continue to dominate, Ukraine and weekly data playing secondary role as markets rally despite Ukraine and mixed data --Longer Term Fundamental Threats: EU existential threats demand existential decisions   The following is a partial summary of the...
August 24, 2014| Cliff Wachtel

The EU: The End Is Near? Existential Threats And Decisions Approach

As evidence of the EU’s failure and potential collapse mounts, the time for existential choices approaches, implications for the EUR     Summary Existential Threat #1: Unsustainable Debt Loads That Could Destroy The EU Require A Fully Empowered ECB Existential Threat #2: Undercapitalized Banks Present Systemic Risk To EU, Global Banking. This too requires a fully empowered central bank that can act fast with needed cash Implications: A US of Europe, but apparent lack of political will and popular support...
August 23, 2014| Cliff Wachtel

EURUSD Weekly Fundamental Outlook: Market Drivers, Lessons for This Week

FX Traders’ weekly EURUSD fundamental outlook, prior week’s lessons to remember and this week’s market drivers to monitor   The following is a partial summary of the conclusions from the fxempire.com weekly analysts’ meeting in which we cover outlooks for the major pairs for the coming week and beyond. Summary Technical Outlook: Accelerating deterioration of support, momentum. See here for details. Fundamental Outlook 1: Market drivers and lessons- a daily breakdown Fundamental Outlook 2: Ukraine, data gap, rate expectations gap all favoring...
August 23, 2014| Cliff Wachtel

EURUSD Weekly Technical Outlook: Downtrend Continuing?

FX Traders’ weekly EURUSD medium term technical picture, and likely EURUSD direction   The following is a partial summary of the conclusions from the fxempire.com weekly analysts’ meeting in which we cover outlooks for the major pairs for the coming week and beyond.   EURUSD Weekly Technical Outlook: Accelerating Deterioration From All Perspectives             EURUSD Weekly Chart 15 July 2012 to Present KEY: 10 Week EMA Dark Blue, 20 WEEK EMA Yellow, 50 WEEK EMA Red, 100...
August 23, 2014| Cliff Wachtel

EURUSD Weekly Outlook: Continued Plunging? Here’s What To Watch

FX Traders’ weekly EURUSD fundamental & technical picture, this week’s market drivers that could change it- the bullish, the bearish and likely EURUSD direction.   The following is a partial summary of the conclusions from the fxempire.com weekly analysts’ meeting in which we cover outlooks for the major pairs for the coming week and beyond.   Summary Technical Outlook: Accelerating deterioration of support, momentum Fundamental Outlook 1: Market drivers and lessons- a daily breakdown Fundamental Outlook 2: Ukraine, data gap, rate expectations...
August 18, 2014| Cliff Wachtel

This Week’s Top Market Movers, Lessons: Data Versus Ukraine

How bullish and bearish forces align for stock indexes, forex and other global markets, both technical and fundamental outlooks, likely top market movers. Summary --Technical Outlook: European indexes diverging from US and Asia, but no material signs of market reversal, only correction --Fundamental Outlook, Market Movers: Ukraine events most dominant, followed by EU data as ECB likely to move alter policy before the Fed or other leading central banks --Fundamental Outlook, Lessons: Data gap between US and Europe, fundamental challenges...
August 16, 2014| Cliff Wachtel

EURUSD Coming Week Outlook: Bottoming Or New Ukraine Pain A Game Changer?

FX Traders’ weekly EURUSD fundamental & technical picture, this week’s market drivers that could change it- the bullish, the bearish and likely EURUSD direction. The following is a partial summary of the conclusions from the fxempire.com weekly analysts’ meeting in which we cover outlooks for the major pairs for the coming week and beyond. Summary Technical Outlook: Short Term Neutral, Medium Term Bearish   Fundamental Outlook 1: Ukraine Escalation Set To Dominate Markets? Fundamental Outlook 2: If Ukraine Calms, EU Data Key The...
August 16, 2014| Cliff Wachtel

EURUSD Coming Week Fundamental Outlook: One Key Question To Answer

FX Traders’ weekly EURUSD fundamental picture, this week’s market drivers that could change it- the bullish, the bearish and likely EURUSD direction. As we noted in our weekly technical analysis for the pair, a bounce or only minor decline was likely in the near term. However changes in the Ukraine crisis could be a game changer and send the pair plummeting. Fundamental Outlook: Ukraine Escalation Set To Dominate Markets?   As we go to publish this Saturday night GMT, an...
August 16, 2014| Cliff Wachtel

EURUSD Weekly Technical Outlook: Bottoming Or Set To Dive?

FX Traders’ weekly short and medium term technical EURUSD picture The following is a partial summary of the conclusions from the fxempire.com weekly analysts’ meeting in which we cover outlooks for the major pairs for the coming week and beyond. Overall Risk Appetite Per Weekly Charts Of Leading Global Stock Indexes We skip this section this week because the modest bounce in risk appetite as reflected by the week’s bounce in the indexes does not help explain the EURUSD’s movements, as the...
August 14, 2014| FX Empire Analyst - Barry Norman | Comments (5)

A Dream Derailed….Why Boomers Can’t Retire

Along with associate Scott Carter from Lear Capital, we took a look at what is in store for the Baby Boomers like myself. Scott’ provided the in-depth research as his expertise lies in the US markets and the needs of this generation. Scott’s knowledge of the Gold market and the preservation of wealth gives this article a unique viewpoint.     How did the largest and richest generation in US history go from “boom” to “bust”?   The Baby Boomers, typically...
August 10, 2014| Cliff Wachtel

The Coming Week’s Top Market Movers, Lessons: A Normal Bull Market Correction?

How bullish and bearish forces align for stocks, indexes, forex and other global markets, both technical and fundamental outlooks, likely top market movers. Summary --Technical Outlook: Regional divergences and their implications --Fundamental Outlook 1: The state of the key market underpinnings and other lessons -- Fundamental Outlook 2: Likely market drivers for the coming week   The following is a partial summary of the conclusions from the fxempire.com weekly analysts’ meeting in which we cover outlooks for the major pairs for the...
August 09, 2014| Cliff Wachtel

EURUSD Coming Week Technical, Fundamental Outlook & Why USD Rising While Rates Fall

Why there’s fundamental and technical evidence to support a bounce this week, and why the pair’s prospects remain firmly bearish. An FX Traders’ weekly EURUSD fundamental & technical picture The following is a partial summary of the conclusions from the fxempire.com weekly analysts’ meeting in which we cover outlooks for the major pairs for the coming week and beyond. Summary Technical Outlook: Short term neutral, medium term bearish Fundamental Outlook: Neutral to bullish if Ukraine situation stays calm, longer term fundamentals remain...
August 09, 2014| Cliff Wachtel

EURUSD Weekly Fundamental Outlook: Top Market Drivers, Lessons & Is A Short-Term Bounce Coming?

How The USD Rises Despite Falling US Rates. An FX Traders’ weekly EURUSD fundamental picture The following is a partial summary of the conclusions from the fxempire.com weekly analysts’ meeting in which we cover outlooks for the major pairs for the coming week and beyond. See here for our technical outlook, and here for a comprehensive EURUSD weekly outlook. Top EURUSD Drivers: Risk Aversion, Data Advantage Boost USD Despite Falling US Rates Risk Aversion Trumps Lower USD Yields The pairs 2 big...
August 09, 2014| Cliff Wachtel

EURUSD Weekly Technical Outlook: A Short Term Bounce Coming? Could It Last?

An FX Traders’ weekly EURUSD technical picture   The following is a partial summary of the conclusions from the fxempire.com weekly analysts’ meeting in which we cover outlooks for the major pairs for the coming week and beyond. See here for our fundamental outlook, and here for a comprehensive EURUSD weekly outlook. TECHNICAL OUTLOOK First we look at overall risk appetite as portrayed by our sample of global indexes, because the EURUSD has been tracking these fairly well recently. Overall Risk Appetite...
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