August 24, 2014| Cliff Wachtel

The Coming Week’s Top Market Movers, Lessons: EU’s Moment Of Truth Approaching?

Top market movers and lessons for the prior and coming week and beyond – special focus on existential decisions EU must soon face   Summary --Technical Outlook: European indexes diverge from those of US, Asia, reflecting Europe’s underperformance --Fundamental Outlook: They key drivers continue to dominate, Ukraine and weekly data playing secondary role as markets rally despite Ukraine and mixed data --Longer Term Fundamental Threats: EU existential threats demand existential decisions   The following is a partial summary of the...
August 24, 2014| Cliff Wachtel

The EU: The End Is Near? Existential Threats And Decisions Approach

As evidence of the EU’s failure and potential collapse mounts, the time for existential choices approaches, implications for the EUR     Summary Existential Threat #1: Unsustainable Debt Loads That Could Destroy The EU Require A Fully Empowered ECB Existential Threat #2: Undercapitalized Banks Present Systemic Risk To EU, Global Banking. This too requires a fully empowered central bank that can act fast with needed cash Implications: A US of Europe, but apparent lack of political will and popular support...
August 23, 2014| Cliff Wachtel

EURUSD Weekly Fundamental Outlook: Market Drivers, Lessons for This Week

FX Traders’ weekly EURUSD fundamental outlook, prior week’s lessons to remember and this week’s market drivers to monitor   The following is a partial summary of the conclusions from the fxempire.com weekly analysts’ meeting in which we cover outlooks for the major pairs for the coming week and beyond. Summary Technical Outlook: Accelerating deterioration of support, momentum. See here for details. Fundamental Outlook 1: Market drivers and lessons- a daily breakdown Fundamental Outlook 2: Ukraine, data gap, rate expectations gap all favoring...
August 23, 2014| Cliff Wachtel

EURUSD Weekly Technical Outlook: Downtrend Continuing?

FX Traders’ weekly EURUSD medium term technical picture, and likely EURUSD direction   The following is a partial summary of the conclusions from the fxempire.com weekly analysts’ meeting in which we cover outlooks for the major pairs for the coming week and beyond.   EURUSD Weekly Technical Outlook: Accelerating Deterioration From All Perspectives             EURUSD Weekly Chart 15 July 2012 to Present KEY: 10 Week EMA Dark Blue, 20 WEEK EMA Yellow, 50 WEEK EMA Red, 100...
August 23, 2014| Cliff Wachtel

EURUSD Weekly Outlook: Continued Plunging? Here’s What To Watch

FX Traders’ weekly EURUSD fundamental & technical picture, this week’s market drivers that could change it- the bullish, the bearish and likely EURUSD direction.   The following is a partial summary of the conclusions from the fxempire.com weekly analysts’ meeting in which we cover outlooks for the major pairs for the coming week and beyond.   Summary Technical Outlook: Accelerating deterioration of support, momentum Fundamental Outlook 1: Market drivers and lessons- a daily breakdown Fundamental Outlook 2: Ukraine, data gap, rate expectations...
August 18, 2014| Cliff Wachtel

This Week’s Top Market Movers, Lessons: Data Versus Ukraine

How bullish and bearish forces align for stock indexes, forex and other global markets, both technical and fundamental outlooks, likely top market movers. Summary --Technical Outlook: European indexes diverging from US and Asia, but no material signs of market reversal, only correction --Fundamental Outlook, Market Movers: Ukraine events most dominant, followed by EU data as ECB likely to move alter policy before the Fed or other leading central banks --Fundamental Outlook, Lessons: Data gap between US and Europe, fundamental challenges...
August 16, 2014| Cliff Wachtel

EURUSD Coming Week Outlook: Bottoming Or New Ukraine Pain A Game Changer?

FX Traders’ weekly EURUSD fundamental & technical picture, this week’s market drivers that could change it- the bullish, the bearish and likely EURUSD direction. The following is a partial summary of the conclusions from the fxempire.com weekly analysts’ meeting in which we cover outlooks for the major pairs for the coming week and beyond. Summary Technical Outlook: Short Term Neutral, Medium Term Bearish   Fundamental Outlook 1: Ukraine Escalation Set To Dominate Markets? Fundamental Outlook 2: If Ukraine Calms, EU Data Key The...
August 16, 2014| Cliff Wachtel

EURUSD Coming Week Fundamental Outlook: One Key Question To Answer

FX Traders’ weekly EURUSD fundamental picture, this week’s market drivers that could change it- the bullish, the bearish and likely EURUSD direction. As we noted in our weekly technical analysis for the pair, a bounce or only minor decline was likely in the near term. However changes in the Ukraine crisis could be a game changer and send the pair plummeting. Fundamental Outlook: Ukraine Escalation Set To Dominate Markets?   As we go to publish this Saturday night GMT, an...
August 16, 2014| Cliff Wachtel

EURUSD Weekly Technical Outlook: Bottoming Or Set To Dive?

FX Traders’ weekly short and medium term technical EURUSD picture The following is a partial summary of the conclusions from the fxempire.com weekly analysts’ meeting in which we cover outlooks for the major pairs for the coming week and beyond. Overall Risk Appetite Per Weekly Charts Of Leading Global Stock Indexes We skip this section this week because the modest bounce in risk appetite as reflected by the week’s bounce in the indexes does not help explain the EURUSD’s movements, as the...
August 14, 2014| FX Empire Analyst - Barry Norman | Comments (5)

A Dream Derailed….Why Boomers Can’t Retire

Along with associate Scott Carter from Lear Capital, we took a look at what is in store for the Baby Boomers like myself. Scott’ provided the in-depth research as his expertise lies in the US markets and the needs of this generation. Scott’s knowledge of the Gold market and the preservation of wealth gives this article a unique viewpoint.     How did the largest and richest generation in US history go from “boom” to “bust”?   The Baby Boomers, typically...
August 10, 2014| Cliff Wachtel

The Coming Week’s Top Market Movers, Lessons: A Normal Bull Market Correction?

How bullish and bearish forces align for stocks, indexes, forex and other global markets, both technical and fundamental outlooks, likely top market movers. Summary --Technical Outlook: Regional divergences and their implications --Fundamental Outlook 1: The state of the key market underpinnings and other lessons -- Fundamental Outlook 2: Likely market drivers for the coming week   The following is a partial summary of the conclusions from the fxempire.com weekly analysts’ meeting in which we cover outlooks for the major pairs for the...
August 09, 2014| Cliff Wachtel

EURUSD Coming Week Technical, Fundamental Outlook & Why USD Rising While Rates Fall

Why there’s fundamental and technical evidence to support a bounce this week, and why the pair’s prospects remain firmly bearish. An FX Traders’ weekly EURUSD fundamental & technical picture The following is a partial summary of the conclusions from the fxempire.com weekly analysts’ meeting in which we cover outlooks for the major pairs for the coming week and beyond. Summary Technical Outlook: Short term neutral, medium term bearish Fundamental Outlook: Neutral to bullish if Ukraine situation stays calm, longer term fundamentals remain...
August 09, 2014| Cliff Wachtel

EURUSD Weekly Fundamental Outlook: Top Market Drivers, Lessons & Is A Short-Term Bounce Coming?

How The USD Rises Despite Falling US Rates. An FX Traders’ weekly EURUSD fundamental picture The following is a partial summary of the conclusions from the fxempire.com weekly analysts’ meeting in which we cover outlooks for the major pairs for the coming week and beyond. See here for our technical outlook, and here for a comprehensive EURUSD weekly outlook. Top EURUSD Drivers: Risk Aversion, Data Advantage Boost USD Despite Falling US Rates Risk Aversion Trumps Lower USD Yields The pairs 2 big...
August 09, 2014| Cliff Wachtel

EURUSD Weekly Technical Outlook: A Short Term Bounce Coming? Could It Last?

An FX Traders’ weekly EURUSD technical picture   The following is a partial summary of the conclusions from the fxempire.com weekly analysts’ meeting in which we cover outlooks for the major pairs for the coming week and beyond. See here for our fundamental outlook, and here for a comprehensive EURUSD weekly outlook. TECHNICAL OUTLOOK First we look at overall risk appetite as portrayed by our sample of global indexes, because the EURUSD has been tracking these fairly well recently. Overall Risk Appetite...
August 02, 2014| Cliff Wachtel

EURUSD Weekly Technical Outlook: A Last Chance To Halt The Slide?

FX Traders’ weekly EURUSD technical picture, this week’s market drivers that could change it- the bullish, the bearish and likely EURUSD direction. TECHNICAL OUTLOOK First we look at overall risk appetite as portrayed by our sample of global indexes, because the EURUSD has been tracking these fairly well recently. Overall Risk Appetite Per Weekly Charts Of Leading Global Stock Indexes: Bearish For EURUSD   Our sample of weekly charts for leading global stock indexes paints a bearish picture for the...
August 02, 2014| Cliff Wachtel

EURUSD Weekly Outlook: Downtrend To Resume Or Reverse? Here’s What Decides

FX Traders’ weekly EURUSD fundamental & technical picture, this week’s market drivers that could change it- the bullish, the bearish and likely EURUSD direction. The following is a partial summary of the conclusions from the fxempire.com weekly analysts’ meeting in which we cover outlooks for the major pairs for the coming week and beyond. Summary Technical Outlook: Near term neutral, longer term bearish as detailed below. Fundamental Outlook: Neutral Near Term, Bearish Longer Term & Why Trader Positioning: Longs Primed To Capitulate...
July 29, 2014| FX Empire Analyst - Barry Norman

The Global Reserve Currency: A “Changing of the Guard”?

Before you read this article, I would like to thank my colleague and associate Scott Carter from Lear Capital who authored this article with me and provided the in-depth analysis and research. Scott is the CEO of Lear Capital; Carter has further advanced Lear's reputation as a world class seller of gold, silver, platinum and palladium offering consumers credible options to paper-backed investments. Scott Carter is uniquely qualified to address the benefits of holding physical financial assets. Carter is a...
July 20, 2014| Cliff Wachtel

The Coming Week’s Top Market Movers, Lessons: Here’s What Actually Matters, And What Doesn’t

How bullish and bearish forces align for stock indexes, forex and other global markets, both technical and fundamental outlooks, likely top market movers and lessons for the market week ahead. Summary --Technical Outlook: Divergences between US, Asia, and Europe and messages from the charts about what is and isn’t driving markets  --Fundamental Outlook:  Lessons on what is, and isn’t behind the trends on the weekly index charts --What To Monitor This Week And Beyond: Sources of potential market movers The...
July 19, 2014| Cliff Wachtel

EURUSD Weekly Outlook: What’s Driving The Current Trading Range, What Will Break It

FX Traders’ weekly EURUSD fundamental & technical picture, this week’s market drivers that could change it- the bullish, the bearish and likely EURUSD direction.   The following is a partial summary of the conclusions from the fxempire.com weekly analysts’ meeting in which we cover outlooks for the major pairs for the coming week and beyond. Summary Technical Outlook: The pair remains within its 1.35-7 trading range, with any breaches of the 1.35 area likely just temporary as long as the fundamentals that...
June 28, 2014| Cliff Wachtel

EURUSD June 29 Weekly Technical, Fundamental Forecast: Lessons, Potential Drivers For The Week

FX Traders’ weekly EURUSD fundamental & technical picture, this week’s market drivers that could change it- the bullish, the bearish and likely EURUSD direction.   The following is a partial summary of the conclusions from the fxempire.com weekly analysts’ meeting in which we cover outlooks for the major pairs for the coming week and beyond. Summary Technical Outlook: Neutral momentum plus strong support and resistance nearby suggests a tight trading range for the coming week, 1.355-67. Fundamental Outlook: Neutral near term, bearish...
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