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Colin First
12 hours ago

DAX Daily Fundamental Forecast – December 05, 2016

The DAX closed higher for the day on Friday as the NFP report led to a round of fresh buying in the major stock markets around the world. The NFP report came in which was as per expectations and the numbers were very strong. But what threw cold water in the numbers was the fact … Continue reading DAX Daily Fundamental Forecast – December 05, 2016

Colin First
12 hours ago

USD/CAD Daily Fundamental Forecast – December 05, 2016

USDCAD continues to consolidate and range as oil prices continue to push higher and now threaten to break through one of the long standing resistances as it marches ahead to $55 and further. The pair has been under the control of the dollar and the oil prices for the past few weeks and these 2 … Continue reading USD/CAD Daily Fundamental Forecast – December 05, 2016

Colin First
13 hours ago

GBP/USD Daily Fundamental Forecast – December 05, 2016

GBPUSD continues to remain strong amidst all the turmoil in the euro region and also the waves of dollar strength and weakness. The pound seems to have found some sweet spot and the bulls seem to like it and have been taking it higher and higher over the past few days. In fact, the bulls … Continue reading GBP/USD Daily Fundamental Forecast – December 05, 2016

Colin First
14 hours ago

EUR/USD Daily Fundamental Forecast – December 05, 2016

EURUSD has been smashed this morning as the Italians voted a No for constitutional reforms in their country yesterday and the Italian PM has resigned based on the vote. This has thrown the 3rd largest Euro economy into turmoil and confusion as this would mean a reversal of many of the policies followed by the … Continue reading EUR/USD Daily Fundamental Forecast – December 05, 2016

James Hyerczyk
18 hours ago

AUD/USD and NZD/USD Fundamental Forecast – December 5, 2016

The Australian and New Zealand Dollars posted gains on Friday as investors reacted positively to the mixed U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls report. Portions of the jobs report came in weaker than expected, suggesting the labor market is not heating up as fast as previously indicated. Although this will not take a December rate hike off the … Continue reading AUD/USD and NZD/USD Fundamental Forecast – December 5, 2016

James Hyerczyk
18 hours ago

USD/JPY Fundamental Forecast – December 5, 2016

The U.S. Dollar weakened against the Japanese Yen for a second day on Friday in reaction to the mixed U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls report. A potentially bearish technical chart pattern formed on Thursday also contributed to the selling pressure. Finally, generally weaker U.S. equity markets also helped boost the Japanese Yen. The USD/JPY closed on Friday … Continue reading USD/JPY Fundamental Forecast – December 5, 2016

James Hyerczyk
18 hours ago

S&P 500; US Indexes Fundamental Forecast – December 5, 2016

The major U.S. equity indexes closed mixed on Friday. Some traders said the price action was fueled by the mixed U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls report. Others said it was uncertainty over the Italian referendum that restricted the buying and the volume. In the cash market, the benchmark S&P 500 Index closed at 2191.95, up 0.87% or … Continue reading S&P 500; US Indexes Fundamental Forecast – December 5, 2016

James Hyerczyk
18 hours ago

Oil Fundamental Forecast – December 5, 2016

Crude oil futures surged into the close on Friday to finish at the high for the day. However, both the U.S. West Texas Intermediate and Brent crude oil contracts failed to take out the previous day’s high although buyers had the opportunity to do so. This makes me wonder if there is a big seller … Continue reading Oil Fundamental Forecast – December 5, 2016

James Hyerczyk
18 hours ago

Natural Gas Fundamental Forecast – December 5, 2016

Natural gas futures finished lower on Friday, posting a technical closing price reversal top. This doesn’t mean the trend is getting ready to turn down, but it does indicate that the selling is greater than the buying at current price levels. Basically, the chart pattern is indicating that previous longs have decided to take a … Continue reading Natural Gas Fundamental Forecast – December 5, 2016

James Hyerczyk
18 hours ago

Gold Fundamental Forecast – December 5, 2016

Gold futures firmed on Friday after the release of the U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls report. The mixed report was not well-received by Treasury traders, suggesting that perhaps the Fed may have a limited number of rate hikes in 2017. In the report, the headline number came in as expected at 178K. Average hourly earnings, however, missed … Continue reading Gold Fundamental Forecast – December 5, 2016

James Hyerczyk
yesterday

USD/JPY Fundamental Analysis – Forecast for the Week of December 5, 2016

Buyers continued to drive the U.S. Dollar higher against the Japanese Yen last week in reaction to expectations of higher U.S. interest rates. However, there were signs of the presence of sellers on the daily chart. This creates a potential divergence between long-term investors and short-term traders. There were no major reports from Japan last … Continue reading USD/JPY Fundamental Analysis – Forecast for the Week of December 5, 2016

James Hyerczyk
yesterday

S&P 500; US Indexes Fundamental Analysis – Forecast for the Week of December 5, 2016

U.S. equity indices closed mixed last week with the Dow Jones Industrial Average finishing the week slightly better while the S&P 500 Index and NASDAQ Composite closed lower. The Dow traded mostly steady to better. The S&P showed some strength at times, but the rally failed to attract enough buyers to continue the move. The … Continue reading S&P 500; US Indexes Fundamental Analysis – Forecast for the Week of December 5, 2016

James Hyerczyk
yesterday

AUD/USD and NZD/USD Fundamental Analysis – Forecast for the Week of December 5, 2016

The Australian and New Zealand Dollars posted solid gains against the U.S. Dollar last week. The AUD/USD finished the week at .7450, up 0.0018 or +0.25%. The NZD/USD closed the week at .7134, up 0.0096 or +1.37%. The main drivers of the price action last week were domestic economic data, crude oil prices and U.S. … Continue reading AUD/USD and NZD/USD Fundamental Analysis – Forecast for the Week of December 5, 2016

Colin First
yesterday

DAX Fundamental Analysis – week of December 5, 2016

The DAX index closed lower for the week as the stock markets continued to be nervy ahead of the Fed meeting scheduled for the middle of the month. The index did break through the lower part of the range when it broke through 10600 and once it broke through there, it was set to move … Continue reading DAX Fundamental Analysis – week of December 5, 2016

Colin First
yesterday

USD/CAD Fundamental Analysis – week of December 5, 2016

USDCAD had a pretty bad week as last week was dominated by headlines from the OPEC meeting and the oil prices were the star of the week as it rose by over 20% during the course of the week. Oil prices control the CAD a lot as the Canadian economy depends on the oil prices … Continue reading USD/CAD Fundamental Analysis – week of December 5, 2016

Colin First
yesterday

GBP/USD Fundamental Analysis – week of December 5, 2016

We had mentioned in our earlier weekly forecast and the daily forecast in the preceding days that the pound seems to be exceptionally strong and that it is only a matter of time before a slight dollar weakness sets in and when that happens, the pound will be well placed to take full advantage of … Continue reading GBP/USD Fundamental Analysis – week of December 5, 2016

James Hyerczyk
2 days ago

Oil Fundamental Analysis – Forecast for the Week of December 5, 2016

Crude oil futures posted their biggest weekly gain since 2009 last week, following OPEC’s decision to reduce crude output in order to decrease the global supply glut and stabilize prices. According to the plan, OPEC will reduce production starting in January by 1.2 million barrels per day, or over 3 percent, to 32.5 million bpd. … Continue reading Oil Fundamental Analysis – Forecast for the Week of December 5, 2016

James Hyerczyk
2 days ago

Gold Fundamental Analysis – Forecast for the Week of December 5, 2016

Gold futures closed lower last week primarily in reaction to rising U.S. Treasury yields. A decline in the U.S. Dollar and generally weaker U.S. equity markets may have helped underpin the market at times, preventing a complete breakdown in prices. February Comex Gold futures closed at $1177.80, down $3.20 or 0.27%. Strong U.S. economic data … Continue reading Gold Fundamental Analysis – Forecast for the Week of December 5, 2016

James Hyerczyk
2 days ago

Natural Gas Fundamental Analysis – Forecast for the Week of December 5, 2016

Natural gas futures closed higher for the week, but finished on a down note on Friday as investors took profits ahead of the week-end. Natural gas futures for January delivery finished the week at $3.436, up $0.2340 or +7.31%. Despite Friday’s setback, the market is still within striking distance of challenging two-year highs. Last week’s … Continue reading Natural Gas Fundamental Analysis – Forecast for the Week of December 5, 2016

Colin First
2 days ago

EUR/USD Fundamental Analysis – week of December 5, 2016

EURUSD managed to hold its low just above 1.0550 and has finally managed to have a decent weekly bounce. The euro had been battered over the last few weeks as the dollar strength dominated the markets but we had been mentioning in our forecasts that the region between 1.0500 and 1.0600 is likely to have … Continue reading EUR/USD Fundamental Analysis – week of December 5, 2016

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