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James Hyerczyk
3 hours ago

USD/JPY Fundamental Analysis – Forecast for the Week of December 5, 2016

Buyers continued to drive the U.S. Dollar higher against the Japanese Yen last week in reaction to expectations of higher U.S. interest rates. However, there were signs of the presence of sellers on the daily chart. This creates a potential divergence between long-term investors and short-term traders. There were no major reports from Japan last … Continue reading USD/JPY Fundamental Analysis – Forecast for the Week of December 5, 2016

Colin First
10 hours ago

DAX Fundamental Analysis – week of December 5, 2016

The DAX index closed lower for the week as the stock markets continued to be nervy ahead of the Fed meeting scheduled for the middle of the month. The index did break through the lower part of the range when it broke through 10600 and once it broke through there, it was set to move … Continue reading DAX Fundamental Analysis – week of December 5, 2016

Colin First
11 hours ago

USD/CAD Fundamental Analysis – week of December 5, 2016

USDCAD had a pretty bad week as last week was dominated by headlines from the OPEC meeting and the oil prices were the star of the week as it rose by over 20% during the course of the week. Oil prices control the CAD a lot as the Canadian economy depends on the oil prices … Continue reading USD/CAD Fundamental Analysis – week of December 5, 2016

Colin First
11 hours ago

GBP/USD Fundamental Analysis – week of December 5, 2016

We had mentioned in our earlier weekly forecast and the daily forecast in the preceding days that the pound seems to be exceptionally strong and that it is only a matter of time before a slight dollar weakness sets in and when that happens, the pound will be well placed to take full advantage of … Continue reading GBP/USD Fundamental Analysis – week of December 5, 2016

James Hyerczyk
yesterday

Oil Fundamental Analysis – Forecast for the Week of December 5, 2016

Crude oil futures posted their biggest weekly gain since 2009 last week, following OPEC’s decision to reduce crude output in order to decrease the global supply glut and stabilize prices. According to the plan, OPEC will reduce production starting in January by 1.2 million barrels per day, or over 3 percent, to 32.5 million bpd. … Continue reading Oil Fundamental Analysis – Forecast for the Week of December 5, 2016

James Hyerczyk
yesterday

Gold Fundamental Analysis – Forecast for the Week of December 5, 2016

Gold futures closed lower last week primarily in reaction to rising U.S. Treasury yields. A decline in the U.S. Dollar and generally weaker U.S. equity markets may have helped underpin the market at times, preventing a complete breakdown in prices. February Comex Gold futures closed at $1177.80, down $3.20 or 0.27%. Strong U.S. economic data … Continue reading Gold Fundamental Analysis – Forecast for the Week of December 5, 2016

James Hyerczyk
yesterday

Natural Gas Fundamental Analysis – Forecast for the Week of December 5, 2016

Natural gas futures closed higher for the week, but finished on a down note on Friday as investors took profits ahead of the week-end. Natural gas futures for January delivery finished the week at $3.436, up $0.2340 or +7.31%. Despite Friday’s setback, the market is still within striking distance of challenging two-year highs. Last week’s … Continue reading Natural Gas Fundamental Analysis – Forecast for the Week of December 5, 2016

Colin First
yesterday

EUR/USD Fundamental Analysis – week of December 5, 2016

EURUSD managed to hold its low just above 1.0550 and has finally managed to have a decent weekly bounce. The euro had been battered over the last few weeks as the dollar strength dominated the markets but we had been mentioning in our forecasts that the region between 1.0500 and 1.0600 is likely to have … Continue reading EUR/USD Fundamental Analysis – week of December 5, 2016

Colin First
2 days ago

DAX Monthly Fundamental Forecast – December 2016

November was an eventful month for the DAX as it was exposed to the vagaries of the fund flows across the world that was thrown into turmoil due to the Presidential elections in the US. The markets had assumed that Hillary would win the elections easily and had begun to price in the same and … Continue reading DAX Monthly Fundamental Forecast – December 2016

Colin First
2 days ago

USD/CAD Monthly Fundamental Forecast – December 2016

USDCAD spent most of the month of November ranging and consolidating as it did not have any specific impetus to move in either direction. The stars of last month were oil and the US elections and considering that both were directly involved in this pair, we would have expected a lot of volatility in this … Continue reading USD/CAD Monthly Fundamental Forecast – December 2016

James Hyerczyk
2 days ago

S&P 500; US Indexes Fundamental Forecast – December 2, 2016

U.S. stock indexes are trading lower early Friday in reaction to weakness in the European equity markets. Investors overseas are selling due to the political uncertainty in Italy and France. The main concern for investors is the referendum in Italy. Worries include the possibility of fresh elections and complications over the recapitalization process of Italian … Continue reading S&P 500; US Indexes Fundamental Forecast – December 2, 2016

James Hyerczyk
2 days ago

AUD/USD and NZD/USD Fundamental Forecast – December 2, 2016

The AUD/USD and NZD/USD are trading flat ahead of Friday’s U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls report that could set the tone of the markets until the Federal Open Market Committee’s interest rate decision on December 14. The market is currently pricing in a 95% chance the Fed will raise rates at this meeting. With the December rate … Continue reading AUD/USD and NZD/USD Fundamental Forecast – December 2, 2016

James Hyerczyk
3 days ago

USD/JPY Fundamental Forecast – December 2, 2016

The USD/JPY is trading lower as investors squared positions ahead of Friday’s major U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls report. This is the last report on the labor market before the next Federal Open Market Committee meeting in about two weeks. The Fed Funds Indicator is showing the chances for a Fed rate hike of 25 basis points … Continue reading USD/JPY Fundamental Forecast – December 2, 2016

James Hyerczyk
3 days ago

Gold Fundamental Forecast – December 2, 2016

February Comex Gold futures are recovering slightly on Friday after plunging to their lowest level since February in the previous session. Position-squaring ahead of Friday’s U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls report may be responsible for the selling pressure. The U.S. Dollar is also trading weaker, helping to underpin the dollar-denominated gold contract. In economic news on Thursday, … Continue reading Gold Fundamental Forecast – December 2, 2016

James Hyerczyk
3 days ago

Oil Fundamental Forecast – December 2, 2016

Crude oil prices are trading slightly lower early Friday as some investors took profits after a rapid two-day rally drove the January West Texas Intermediate futures contact to its highest level since October 20. Thursday’s surge to $51.80 fell just short of the $52.68 top set on October 19 and the $52.75 top reached on … Continue reading Oil Fundamental Forecast – December 2, 2016

James Hyerczyk
3 days ago

Natural Gas Fundamental Forecast – December 2, 2016

January Natural Gas futures are trading higher early Friday after soaring to their highest level since October 21 on Thursday. The catalyst behind the rally was the U.S. Energy Information Administration’s weekly report that showed supplies of the heating fuel fell by 50 billion cubic feet for the week-ended November 25. This came out almost … Continue reading Natural Gas Fundamental Forecast – December 2, 2016

Colin First
3 days ago

DAX Daily Fundamental Forecast – December 2, 2016

The DAX index was firmly in the grasp of bears yesterday, in cue with the stock markets all around the world as the index was pushed down through 10600 and 10500 and rests below that as we write this. The index closed down 1% for the day with most of the shares ending the day … Continue reading DAX Daily Fundamental Forecast – December 2, 2016

Colin First
3 days ago

USD/CAD Daily Fundamental Forecast – December 2, 2016

USDCAD finally came under pressure yesterday as the pair broke through 1.3400 and then 1.3300 and sits just below that as we write this. The pair had been consolidating and ranging with no specific direction for quite some time as the strength in the CAD was balanced by the strength in the USD. But yesterday, … Continue reading USD/CAD Daily Fundamental Forecast – December 2, 2016

Colin First
3 days ago

GBP/USD Daily Fundamental Forecast – December 2, 2016

GBPUSD, free from the burden of the month end flows, had a very bullish day yesterday. In the first part of the week, we had seen that the pound had been under pressure from the month end flows and it was consolidating on either side of 1.2500 but we had mentioned in our forecasts that … Continue reading GBP/USD Daily Fundamental Forecast – December 2, 2016

Colin First
3 days ago

EUR/USD Daily Fundamental Forecast – December 2, 2016

As we have been mentioning over the past few days, EURUSD seems to have found a base near 1.0580 and has been using it to bounce slowly and steadily towards 1.0700 despite periods of dollar strength. Also, this has been helped by the fact that the dollar strength has not been as relentless it was … Continue reading EUR/USD Daily Fundamental Forecast – December 2, 2016

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