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James Hyerczyk
12 hours ago

S&P 500; US Indexes Fundamental Forecast – January 17, 2017

U.S. equity indexes finished mixed on Monday in light trading. Volume and volatility were below average because of a U.S. bank holiday. Global equity markets also drifted lower as investors awaited more detail on the U.K.’s Brexit plan and the inauguration of President-elect Donald Trump later this week. In the cash market, the blue chip … Continue reading S&P 500; US Indexes Fundamental Forecast – January 17, 2017

James Hyerczyk
13 hours ago

AUD/USD and NZD/USD Fundamental Forecast – January 17, 2017

The Australian and New Zealand Dollars softened on Monday on increased risk aversion ahead of a key speech on the U.K.’s plan to leave the European Union. Concerns were strong enough to overcome further strength in commodity prices. The AUD/USD closed the session at .7476, down 0.0022 or -0.29%. The NZD/USD ended the session at … Continue reading AUD/USD and NZD/USD Fundamental Forecast – January 17, 2017

James Hyerczyk
14 hours ago

USD/JPY Fundamental Forecast – January 17, 2017

Safe-haven buying helped drive the Dollar/Yen lower on Monday. Investors are taking protection in the lower yielding Japanese Yen because of concerns over Brexit and worries over President-elect Donald’s Trump ability to run the government and enact some of his policies in a timely manner including rebuilding the country’s infrastructure through massive fiscal stimulus, tax … Continue reading USD/JPY Fundamental Forecast – January 17, 2017

James Hyerczyk
15 hours ago

Gold Fundamental Forecast – January 16, 2017

Gold futures rose on Monday in limited price action and low volume due to the U.S. bank holiday. The market was being supported by nervous traders searching for a safe haven ahead of a speech by U.K. Prime Minister Theresa May in which she is expected to discuss plans for a “hard Brexit”. February Comex … Continue reading Gold Fundamental Forecast – January 16, 2017

James Hyerczyk
15 hours ago

Oil Fundamental Forecast – January 17, 2017

Crude oil futures inched higher on Monday on light volume and volatility due to a U.S. bank holiday. The charts indicate the market is essentially rangebound with supporting coming from optimism connected to compliance with the OPEC/non-OPEC plan to cut production and resistance tied to worries over increased U.S. production. U.S. March West Texas Intermediate … Continue reading Oil Fundamental Forecast – January 17, 2017

James Hyerczyk
16 hours ago

Natural Gas Fundamental Forecast – January 17, 2017

Natural gas futures posted a relatively small gain on Monday as investors continued to react to forecasts for colder temperatures into the end of January while continuing to react to last week’s strong storage draw. Volume was light due because of a U.S. bank holiday due to Martin Luther King Day. March Natural Gas futures … Continue reading Natural Gas Fundamental Forecast – January 17, 2017

Colin First
19 hours ago

DAX Daily Fundamental Forecast – January 17, 2017

The DAX opened weakly for the day yesterday due to global fears surrounding the Brexit process. This increased the risk all around the stock markets and this was reflected in the DAX as well that opened weakly and continued to trade weakly for most part of the day. It is to the credit of the … Continue reading DAX Daily Fundamental Forecast – January 17, 2017

Colin First
19 hours ago

USD/CAD Daily Fundamental Forecast – January 17, 2017

The USDCAD spent most of the day yesterday consolidating and ranging, as we had mentioned in our forecast yesterday. It was one of the rare days of the year when it is a holiday in USA but not a holiday in Canada and hence we saw the pair trading with a strong upward bias for … Continue reading USD/CAD Daily Fundamental Forecast – January 17, 2017

Colin First
19 hours ago

GBP/USD Daily Fundamental Forecast – January 17, 2017

GBPUSD has been threatening to break down over the whole of last week but the weakness in the dollar had generally helped to mask the weakness in the pound to some extent. But we had been consistently mentioning in all our forecasts that the pound does look quite weak and there is nothing that will … Continue reading GBP/USD Daily Fundamental Forecast – January 17, 2017

Colin First
19 hours ago

EUR/USD Daily Fundamental Forecast – January 17, 2017

EURUSD generally traded on a weaker note though the weakness was more about the euro than any kind of strength in the dollar. Yesterday, the markets of the world were dominated by fears over the Brexit process. Over the weekend, we have been hearing more and more noise that makes us believe that the Brexit … Continue reading EUR/USD Daily Fundamental Forecast – January 17, 2017

Colin First
2 days ago

DAX Fundmental Forecast – January 16, 2017

The DAX finally had some much needed correction last Thursday as it filled the gap from the beginning of the year following a press conference from Trump in which he failed to spell out anything substantial in terms of fiscal and economic policy. This disappointed the markets around the world and the same effect was … Continue reading DAX Fundmental Forecast – January 16, 2017

Colin First
2 days ago

USD/CAD Daily Fundamental Forecast – January 16, 2017

USDCAD continued to trade near its range lows as the dollar is yet to recover its strength and the oil prices continue to remain buoyant which has helped to keep the CAD supported in the short term. We did see the pair make a brief trip below 1.3100 on the back of some serious dollar … Continue reading USD/CAD Daily Fundamental Forecast – January 16, 2017

Colin First
2 days ago

GBP/USD Daily Fundamental Forecast – January 16, 2017

The GBPUSD pair finished the week last Friday on a very weak footing and has been finding it difficult to make and hold on to some of its gains. It is indeed a scary thought for the pound bulls to note that if the pair cannot hold on to its gains when the dollar is … Continue reading GBP/USD Daily Fundamental Forecast – January 16, 2017

Colin First
2 days ago

EUR/USD Daily Fundamental Forecast – January 16, 2017

EURUSD continues to consolidate near its range highs as it seems to be setting itself up for a move higher. The return of the dollar strength seems to be taking much longer than expected and in some parts of the markets, the hopes seem to be fading away. The new President-elect Trump did nothing to … Continue reading EUR/USD Daily Fundamental Forecast – January 16, 2017

James Hyerczyk
2 days ago

S&P 500; US Indexes Fundamental Forecast – January 16, 2017

Stocks were mixed on Friday as investors reacted positively to stronger quarterly earnings from U.S. banks and a couple of better-than expected economic data. The S&P 500 Index and the NASDAQ Composite posted gains, but the Dow Jones Industrial Average continued to tread water. In the cash market, the benchmark S&P 500 Index closed at … Continue reading S&P 500; US Indexes Fundamental Forecast – January 16, 2017

James Hyerczyk
2 days ago

USD/JPY Fundamental Forecast – January 16, 2017

Mixed U.S. equity markets and general uncertainty ahead of Trump’s inauguration on January 20 helped weaken the Dollar/Yen on Friday. Weaker stocks tend to activate the carry trade whereby investors sell stocks and use the proceeds to buy Yen to pay back loans borrowed in Yen. The USD/JPY closed at 114.453, down 0.259 or -0.23%. … Continue reading USD/JPY Fundamental Forecast – January 16, 2017

James Hyerczyk
2 days ago

AUD/USD and NZD/USD Fundamental Forecast – January 16, 2017

The Australian and New Zealand Dollars posted inside moves on Friday, but still managed to close higher for the session. The chart pattern suggest investor indecision and impending volatility. The AUD/USD closed at .7498, up 0.0014 or +0.18%. The NZD/USD finished the week at .7125, up 0.0023 or +0.33%. Both currencies finished surprisingly well, given … Continue reading AUD/USD and NZD/USD Fundamental Forecast – January 16, 2017

James Hyerczyk
2 days ago

Oil Fundamental Forecast – January 16, 2017

Crude oil futures closed lower on Friday, a move that led to its first weekly loss in five weeks. Doubts as to whether OPEC’s plan to cut output is working helped put a lid on prices early in the week, while worries over demand helped push prices lower. U.S. March West Texas Intermediate Crude Oil … Continue reading Oil Fundamental Forecast – January 16, 2017

James Hyerczyk
2 days ago

Gold Fundamental Forecast – January 16, 2017

Gold prices eased on Friday after touching a seven-week high the day before. Investors took profits and squared positions ahead of the week-end, but also reacted to strong U.S. economic data. Strong retail sales data and better-than-expected producer price data helped drive U.S. Treasury bond yields higher, helping to underpin the dollar. The stronger dollar … Continue reading Gold Fundamental Forecast – January 16, 2017

James Hyerczyk
2 days ago

Natural Gas Fundamental Forecast – January 16, 2017

Natural gas futures rebounded to close higher on Friday after early session weakness threatened to derail the developing rally. Traders were responding to weather forecasts that predicted high temperatures will moderate into the end of the month and into early February. March Natural Gas futures finished the session at $3.396, up $0.029 or +0.86%. Forecast … Continue reading Natural Gas Fundamental Forecast – January 16, 2017

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