Forecasts & Analysis | Fundamental, Page 1

  • Charles Thorngren
    Charles Thorngren

    On woods, and trees – and gold …

    But this chart is, of course, the daily chart of gold. At the moment, the old adage of, “not seeing the wood for the trees,” comes to mind when dealing with the price of gold. Even quite seasoned investors are becoming distracted by the daily rollercoaster ride of Bitcoin. We

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  • Colin First
    Colin First

    DAX Index Fundamental Analysis – week of December 18, 2017

    The DAX index traded in a tight range and this is what we have been saying in many of our forecasts over the last few weeks. The index seems to be caught in a tight range and with the absence of any major fundamentals that could shift the markets, the

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  • Colin First
    Colin First

    USD/CAD Fundamental Analysis – week of December 18, 2017

    The USDCAD pair closed the week in a strong manner as the dollar strengthened across the board late on Friday. This was in contrast to the choppy action that we had been seeing in the pair during the course of the week as the dollar strength waxed and waned based

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  • Colin First
    Colin First

    GBP/USD Fundamental Analysis – week of December 18, 2017

    The GBPUSD pair ended the week at the lows of its weekly range and looks weak as it heads to the next week. But overall, the week was marked by some choppy action in the pair as the lack of fundamentals, apart from the BOE rate announcement and statement clearly

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  • Colin First
    Colin First

    EUR/USD Fundamental Analysis – week of December 18, 2017

    It was a week packed with announcements and events but the overall impact on the markets did not match up to the level of the announcements. The reason for that was most of the central banks stuck to the usual scripts and it was only expected as they did not

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  • David Becker
    David Becker

    Crude Oil Price Analysis for December 18, 2017

    Crude oil prices edged higher and remains range bound as strong production continues to offset solid demand. Gasoline demand remains robust and export continue to be at elevated levels.  The EIA short-term energy is subdued, as they expect inventories to balance in 2018.TechnicalsCrude oil prices edged higher, hovering just above

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  • David Becker
    David Becker

    EUR/USD Daily Technical Analysis for December 18, 2017

    The EUR/USD traded under pressure on Friday slumping on softer than expected exports out of the Eurozone which buoyed the greenback.  ECB speak continues to show that several members excluding Draghi believe that quantitative easing will end by September 2018. The Bundesbank sees strong growth on the horizon, and also

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  • James Hyerczyk
    James Hyerczyk

    S&P 500; US Indexes Fundamental Daily Forecast – Tax Reform Delay Biggest Concern for Investors

    The major U.S. stock indexes closed lower on Thursday after two Republican Senators raised some concerns about the tax bill. Earlier in the session, the indexes were supported by stronger-than-expected U.S. retail sales.The Dow reached an all-time high during in the session, but the lower close ended a five-day winning

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  • James Hyerczyk
    James Hyerczyk

    AUD/USD and NZD/USD Fundamental Daily Forecast – Weaker U.S. Treasury Yields Making Aussie, Kiwi More Attractive

    Strong domestic economic news continued to support the Australian and New Zealand Dollars on Friday. The currencies are also being supported a widening of the interest rate differential which is being fueled by the Fed’s “dovish” outlook for interest rates in 2018 and 2019.At 1102, the AUD/USD is trading .7678,

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  • Colin First
    Colin First

    USD/CAD Daily Fundamental Forecast – December 15, 2017

    USDCAD has moved lower over the last 24 hours but there has not bee much fundamental drivers for such a move. In fact, we had some positive news from the US yesterday in the form of economic data and hence that should have meant that the dollar should have got

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  • James Hyerczyk
    James Hyerczyk

    USD/JPY Fundamental Daily Forecast – BOJ’s Tankan Manufacturing Index Hits 11-Year High

    The Dollar/Yen continued to weaken early Friday in reaction to increased demand for lower-yielding assets due to weakness in the higher-risk stock market. Sellers are also lightening up on long positions because of the Fed’s dovish outlook for interest rates. Stronger-than-expected economic data from Japan may be also underpinning the

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  • Colin First
    Colin First

    Commodities Daily Forecast – December 15, 2017

    GoldThe gold prices pulled back slightly during the yesterday’s session after it broke the $1250 level in the close of the previous session. The market is now looking supportive at the $1250 level. The market seems to build momentum to go higher towards the $1275 level but the process is

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  • Colin First
    Colin First

    EUR/USD, AUD/USD, GBP/USD and USD/JPY Daily Outlook – December 15, 2017

    EUR/USDThe Euro was quite volatile during the yesterday’s session as it was expecting a rate hike and future growth outlook announcement from the ECB. The Central Bank didn’t go ahead with the rate hike but raised the outlook for future growth. The Bank also announced to continue with the QE

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  • James Hyerczyk
    James Hyerczyk

    Natural Gas Price Fundamental Daily Forecast – Oversold Conditions Make Market Ripe for Short-covering Rally

    Natural gas futures touched a new low for the year on Thursday but recovered into the close, paring earlier losses. The market still closed lower for the session but the price action may be suggesting bargain-hunters are coming in to support the market. The price action was also influenced by

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  • James Hyerczyk
    James Hyerczyk

    Price of Gold Fundamental Daily Forecast – Underpinned by Concerns Over Tax Reform

    Gold hit a one-week high early Thursday in reaction to the Fed’s “dovish” outlook for interest rates, but pulled back later in the session when the dollar recovered after the Euro weakened. Gold was also underpinned by a drop in demand for higher yielding assets.February Comex Gold settled at $1257.10,

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  • Colin First
    Colin First

    DAX Index Daily Fundamental Forecast – December 15, 2017

    The DAX index continues with its stalemate between the bulls and the bears as the trading happens within a tight range in a mode of consolidation for much of the time. This is the same that has been happening in the markets over the last few weeks and it is

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  • James Hyerczyk
    James Hyerczyk

    Oil Price Fundamental Daily Forecast – Looking for Two-Sided Volatile Trade

    U.S. West Texas Intermediate and international-benchmark Brent crude oil rebounded after an early sell-off. Traders said that oversold technical conditions and profit-taking probably contributed to the late session recovery.Prices eased early Thursday after the International Energy Agency increased its forecast for U.S. oil output growth in 2018, raising the prospect

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  • Bob Mason
    Bob Mason

    Bitcoin Cash, Litecoin and Ripple Daily Analysis – 15/12/17

    Bitcoin Cash in Big Brother’s ShadowThings were looking upbeat for Bitcoin Cash mid-week as it broke free of its recent ranges, but as has been the case since its creation, direction is ultimately hinged on appetite for Bitcoin. Bitcoin’s sideways moves through the first half of the week was a

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  • Colin First
    Colin First

    Bitcoin and Ethereum Price Forecast – BTC Prices Rise as Regulators Release Guidelines

    The bitcoin prices have shot through $17,000 once again this morning as the Malaysia government and the South Korean blockchain foundation have released guidelines for how the bitcoin exchanges should operate in their respective countries. Both of these guidelines talk more about monitoring of transaction and stricter control and watch

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  • Colin First
    Colin First

    GBP/USD Daily Fundamental Forecast – December 15, 2017

    The BOE was out there with its rate announcement and statement and also with its monetary policy summary but none of these seemed to have too much of an impact on the pound which continues to chop around above 1.34 as of this writing and by the look of things,

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Favorites

SymbolLast PriceChange
EURUSD
EUR/USD
1.1750
-0.0023
-0.2%
GBPUSD
GBP/USD
1.3321
-0.0109
-0.81%
XAUUSD
Gold
1255.3
+2.1050
+0.17%
CL
Crude Oil
57.345
+0.2750
+0.48%
SPX
S&P 500
2682.7
+28.750
+1.08%
DAX
DAX 30
13112.5
+77.500
+0.59%
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