Forecasts & Analysis | Fundamental, Weekly, Page 1

  • James Hyerczyk
    James Hyerczyk

    AUD/USD and NZD/USD Fundamental Weekly Forecast – All Eyes on U.S. Data, Fed Chair Powell’s Congressional Testimony

    The Australian Dollar closed lower for the third week in four and the New Zealand Dollar closed lower after hitting a six-month high the previous week. The catalysts behind the selling pressure were rising U.S. Treasury yields and a hawkish outlook by the U.S. Federal Reserve.The AUD/USD settled at .7836,

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  • James Hyerczyk
    James Hyerczyk

    Natural Gas Price Fundamental Weekly Forecast – Aggressive Short-covering Could Drive Prices into $2.774

    Forecasts for the return of colder weather during the early part of March and a bigger-than-expected storage draw helped support natural gas prices last week.April Natural Gas futures settled the week at $2.657, up $0.059 or 2.27%.According to the U.S. Energy Information Administration, natural gas in storage fell by 124

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  • James Hyerczyk
    James Hyerczyk

    Price of Gold Fundamental Weekly Forecast – Market Moving Event Will Be Fed Chair Powell’s Testimony

    Gold prices tumbled last week, posting its biggest weekly decline in 2 ½ months, as the U.S. Dollar continued to build a support base slightly above three year lows on the back of higher U.S. Treasury yields.April Comex Gold futures settled the week at $1330.30, down $2.40 or 0.18%.Gold was

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  • James Hyerczyk
    James Hyerczyk

    Oil Price Fundamental Weekly Forecast – Libyan Pipeline Shutdown Offsetting Impact of Firmer U.S. Dollar

    U.S. West Texas Intermediate and international-benchmark Brent crude oil futures closed sharply higher last week after reversing earlier weakness fueled by a stronger U.S. Dollar.April WTI crude oil settled at $63.55, up $2.00 or +3.25% and April Brent crude oil finished the week at $67.31, up $2.47 or +3.81%.Weekly April

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  • Colin First
    Colin First

    USD/CAD Fundamental Analysis – week of February 26, 2018

    The pair has been bullish over the past week as it was helped by the strength of the dollar and the weakness in the CAD during this period. The strength of the dollar had been building over the last few weeks and it seemed as though the crux of this

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  • Colin First
    Colin First

    DAX Index Fundamental Analysis – week of February 26, 2018

    The DAX index continued to move higher for another week as the stock markets around the world are in a recovery mode after the mighty fall a few weeks before. That fall has shaken the confidence of the investors due to the fact that the fall was quick and steep

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  • Colin First
    Colin First

    GBP/USD Fundamental Analysis – week of February 26, 2018

    The GBPUSD pair ended the week below the 1.40 region but by the looks of it, there does not seem to be any specific trend in the pair and this was proved by the choppy trading that was witnessed in the pair over the last week. The pair could not

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  • Colin First
    Colin First

    EUR/USD Fundamental Analysis – week of February 26, 2018

    The EURUSD pair ended the week lower than what it had started and this has led to fear and uncertainty on whether this leg lower would continue in the coming week. The previous week had seen the focus firmly on the dollar as the anticipation over the future rate hikes

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  • James Hyerczyk
    James Hyerczyk

    S&P 500; US Indexes Fundamental Weekly Forecast – Fed Minutes, Walmart Earnings, Buffett Shareholder Letter on Tap

    The major U.S. stock indexes rebounded last week, erasing a little more than 50% of the decline from the previous two weeks. All sectors participated in the rally. Volatility remains elevated which may have helped drive prices higher more quickly than expected.In the cash market, the benchmark S&P 500 Index

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  • James Hyerczyk
    James Hyerczyk

    AUD/USD and NZD/USD Fundamental Weekly Forecast – Weekly Highlights Include RBA, Fed Minutes

    The Australian Dollar rose against the U.S. Dollar as investors shed the Greenback due to inflation fears. A recovery in the global equity markets also fueled the rally as it increased demand for commodities and other higher risk assets.The AUD/USD settled the week at .7907, up 0.0099 or +1.26%.Weekly AUD/USDThe

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  • James Hyerczyk
    James Hyerczyk

    USD/JPY Fundamental Weekly Forecast – Rising Treasury Yields Could Flip USD/JPY Higher

    The dollar hit a 3-year low against the Japanese Yen last week despite surging U.S. Treasury yields and a rebound in global equity markets. The move may have been fueled by inflation concerns in the U.S. as well as worries about the huge U.S. current and budget deficits.The USD/JPY settled

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  • James Hyerczyk
    James Hyerczyk

    Natural Gas Price Fundamental Weekly Forecast – Short-covering Expected Over $2.661, Selling Resumes Under $2.565

    Natural gas futures inched higher last week as investors reacted to the U.S. government storage report and mixed weather outlook.April Natural Gas futures settled the week at $2.598, up $0.001 or +0.04%.Earlier in the week, the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EI) announced an estimated 194 Bcf draw from storage for

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  • James Hyerczyk
    James Hyerczyk

    Price of Gold Fundamental Weekly Forecast – Market Could Weaken if Fed Minutes are Hawkish

    Gold futures hit a three-week high last week as investors responded to a weaker U.S. Dollar and expectations for higher inflation while showing almost no reaction to a recovery in U.S. stock markets and a sharp rise in U.S. Treasury yields to a four-year high.April Comex gold futures finished the

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  • James Hyerczyk
    James Hyerczyk

    Oil Price Fundamental Weekly Forecast – Setting Up for Rangebound Trade

    U.S. West Texas Intermediate and international-benchmark Brent crude oil futures close higher last week after the U.S. Dollar fell to a three-month low and global equity markets posted their biggest weekly gain in six years. A weaker dollar often boosts oil and other dollar-denominated commodities.April WTI crude oil settled at

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  • Colin First
    Colin First

    USD/CAD Fundamental Analysis – week of February 19, 2018

    The USDCAD pair had a choppy week which saw it end the week at almost the same price region where it began. There is still a battle for control going on between the bulls and the bears and until that is finalised, we should see the pair moving up and

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  • Colin First
    Colin First

    DAX Index Fundamental Analysis – week of February 19, 2018

    It was a bullish week for the DAX index in the week passed but it is clear that it is not out of the woods as yet. Considering the size of the fall that we had seen in the market in the week before, the correction of the fall that

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  • Colin First
    Colin First

    GBP/USD Fundamental Analysis – week of February 19, 2018

    It was a volatile week for the GBPUSD pair with it moving higher and lower in an alternating manner for much of the week before settling down just above the support region to close the week. We had mentioned that the region around 1.4 would likely be a very strong

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  • Colin First
    Colin First

    EUR/USD Fundamental Analysis – week of February 19, 2018

    It was another week that the euro tried to gain in strength and break through the highs of its range but ultimately it failed to do so again. It has been trying to break through for the past few weeks and despite two or three attempts, it has failed to

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  • James Hyerczyk
    James Hyerczyk

    S&P 500; US Indexes Fundamental Weekly Forecast – Investors Expected to Remain Cautious Ahead of CPI Report

    The major U.S. stock indexes were down sharply for a second consecutive week, bringing them down to levels not seen since early December. The lows reached in the futures markets extended into levels not seen since the Fall.In the cash market, the blue chip S&P 500 Index settled at 2619.55,

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  • James Hyerczyk
    James Hyerczyk

    USD/JPY Fundamental Weekly Forecast – U.S. Consumer Inflation Report Could Fuel Volatile Reaction

    The Dollar/Yen posted a volatile two-sided trade last week in reaction to surging U.S. Treasury yields and wild stock market swings. The dollar was supported throughout the week by Treasury yields which rose to near 4-year highs. It retreated against the Yen when yields dropped in reaction to increased demand

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Favorites

SymbolLast PriceChange
EURUSD
EUR/USD
1.2296
-0.0028
-0.23%
GBPUSD
GBP/USD
1.3971
+0.0021
+0.15%
XAUUSD
Gold
1328.9
-1.2800
-0.1%
CL
Crude Oil
63.575
+0.9550
+1.53%
SPX
S&P 500
2747.0
+34.250
+1.26%
DAX
DAX 30
12539.2
+37.750
+0.3%
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