Crude oil markets initially tried to rally on Thursday but gave up the gain as we continue to consolidate in both grades of crude that I follow.
The West Texas Intermediate Crude Oil market has rallied a bit during the early hours on Thursday but gave back gains near the $100 level. The $100 level is a large, round, psychologically significant figure that people have seen act quite a bit important multiple times. All things being equal, the market gave back enough gains to form a bit of a shooting star, so at this point, I think it’s probably that we are going to test the $95 level from a 200 day EMA perspective.
If we can break above the $100 level, it’s possible that we could test the 50 Day EMA just above the $103 level and is dropping. Ultimately, this is a market that I think you have to continue to fade signs of rallies as a dropping GDP in the United States should continue to put downward pressure here.
Brent markets have given up some of the gains on the $104 level to turn things around and show a bit of a shooting star. At this point, the market is likely to continue to see a lot of volatility and choppiness, but we are clearly in a significant consolidation area. All things being equal, the market is likely to continue to see a lot of choppiness, with the 200 Day EMA underneath showing signs of support, right along with the $95 level.
Looking at this chart, it’s likely that we continue to see more back-and-forth so short-term traders will more likely than not favor range-bound trading systems, at least until we get some type of clothes outside of this $9.00 range we have been stuck in.
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Chris is a proprietary trader with more than 20 years of experience across various markets, including currencies, indices and commodities. As a senior analyst at FXEmpire since the website’s early days, he offers readers advanced market perspectives to navigate today’s financial landscape with confidence.