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Gold Price Forecast: XAUUSD Breakdown Risk Grows as Dollar Clears 100

Gold Price Forecast: XAUUSD Breakdown Risk Grows as Dollar Clears 100

By
Muhammad Umair
Published: Jun 19, 2026, 09:45 GMT+00:00

Key Points:

  • Gold remains under pressure as the US dollar breaks above key resistance and Fed rate expectations support a tighter policy outlook.
  • Rising Treasury yields and stronger dollar momentum continue to weaken short-term demand for XAUUSD.
  • Gold must break above $4,500 to ease bearish pressure and restore bullish momentum.
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Gold (XAUUSD) price remains under pressure as the US dollar breaks above the key 100.50 level, supported by hawkish Fed. The breakout in the US dollar has strengthened the bearish case for gold while the rise in the 2-year Treasury yield shows markets are pricing a tighter Fed path. Kevin Warsh kept rates unchanged but he focused on price stability. This article discusses the US dollar outlook after the breakout, Fed rate signals, technical levels and market risks that may define the next major move in gold