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Silver Price Forecast: Will Ceasefire Uncertainty Drive the Next Big Move?

By
Muhammad Umair
Updated: Apr 12, 2026, 07:32 GMT+00:00

Key Points:

  • Silver remains highly sensitive to oil prices and geopolitical developments, with the US-Iran ceasefire driving a rebound to above $75.
  • Strong industrial data from China and the US supports silver demand, reinforcing its dual role as both a precious and industrial metal.
  • The long-term trend remains bullish above $50, with the potential for further upside if macro conditions stay stable.

Silver (XAG) price turned into a pure macro trade during the US-Iran war. As the conflict pushed oil sharply higher, the market began to discount increased inflation pressure, tighter financial conditions and greater pressure on growth assets. That was a greater hurt to silver than to gold, since silver is not a precious metal only. It is also an industrial metal that is associated with manufacturing, electronics, solar demand and risk appetite.