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Gold Fundamental Analysis – week of September 12, 2016 – Forecast

By:
Barry Norman
Published: Sep 10, 2016, 07:05 UTC

Gold closed the week down 0.75% as more and more Federal Reserve members took a bullish tone ahead of the September meeting. Gold ended the week at

gold weekly bns

Gold closed the week down 0.75% as more and more Federal Reserve members took a bullish tone ahead of the September meeting. Gold ended the week at 1331.65 and is a strong buy moving into the new week as traders will buy up the cheaper commodity.

Gold prices fell again on Friday as hawkish comments on U.S. interest rates from a top Federal Reserve official helped lift the U.S. dollar, and as buyers continued to cash in on this week’s price rally.

The metal stayed on track for a second successive weekly gain. Gold was 0.5 percent higher on the week, having jumped 1.8percent to $1,352.65 an ounce on Tuesday.

Soft jobs and services data this week have dented expectations that ultra-low interest rates, a key support for non-yielding gold, will rise this year. But investors remained uncertain on the outlook for rates, however, with Fed officials recently taking a more hawkish tone.

“Gold and silver really came under pressure on renewed expectation that the Fed is actively pursuing an interest rate hike. Before it seemed like more of a long shot,” said a senior market strategist for RJO Futures in Chicago.

FxEmpire provides a wide variety of analysis on a daily, weekly and monthly basis ranging from our exceptional technical analysis as well as our in-depth fundamental analysis along with our daily news and market updates. To get the best understanding of each asset it is important to review the short term daily analysis with the longer term monthly reports. To get email notification when each of these are posted please sign up for our daily newsletter.

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This Week’s Economic Events That You Should Be Monitoring:

Date Country Name Volatility Previous Consensus
9/13/2016 GBP Core Consumer Price Index 3 1.3 1.4
9/13/2016 GBP Consumer Price Index (YoY) 3 0.6 0.7
9/13/2016 EUR ECB President Draghi’s Speech 3
9/13/2016 EUR ZEW Survey – Economic 3 4.6 6.7
9/14/2016 NZD Gross Domestic Product (YoY) 3 2.8
9/15/2016 AUD Employment Change 3 26.2 15
9/15/2016 AUD Unemployment Rate 3 5.7 5.7
9/15/2016 CHF SNB Interest Rate Decision 3 -0.75 -0.75
9/15/2016 CHF SNB press conference 3
9/15/2016 GBP BoE Asset Purchase Facility 3 435 435
9/15/2016 GBP BoE Interest Rate Decision 3 0.25 0.25
9/15/2016 GBP Monetary Policy Summary 3
9/15/2016 GBP BOE MPC Vote Cut 3 9 0
9/15/2016 GBP BOE MPC Vote Unchanged 3 0 9
9/15/2016 GBP BOE MPC Vote Hike 3 0 0
9/15/2016 GBP Bank of England Minutes 3
9/15/2016 USD Retail Sales (MoM) 3 0 0
9/16/2016 USD Consumer Price Index (YoY) 3 0.8 1
9/16/2016 USD Consumer Price Index ECORE 3 2.2 2.2
9/16/2016 USD Michigan Consumer Sentiment 3 89.8 91

Government Bond Auctions

Date Time           Country               Auction

Sep 12 11:30 Germany Eur 2bn Mar 2017 Bubill

Sep 12 13:00 Norway Details of bond auction on Sep 14

Sep 13 11:00 Netherlands Eur 2-3bn 0% Jan 2022 DSL

Sep 13 11:10 Italy Holds bond auction

Sep 14 11:05 Norway Holds bond auction

Sep 14 11:30 UK 0.125% 2046 I/L Gilt

Sep 14 11:30 Germany Eur 1bn 2.5% Jul 2044 Bund

Sep 15 10:30 Spain Holds bond auction

Sep 15 11:03 Sweden Holds I/L bond auction

Sep 15 11:50 France Holds bond auction

 

 

 

 

 

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