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Oil Fundamental Forecast – June 29, 2016

By:
Barry Norman
Updated: Jun 28, 2016, 10:56 UTC

Crude Oil gained 87 cents reversing yesterday’s declines as speculators played games in the market trying to push prices up to dump. WTI is trading at

Oil Fundamental Forecast – June 29, 2016

Crude Oil gained 87 cents reversing yesterday’s declines as speculators played games in the market trying to push prices up to dump. WTI is trading at 47.60 while Brent Oil added 82 points Brent oil is trading at 49.13. Both crude benchmarks slumped a day before, adding to sharp losses from Friday when investors realized that Britain voted to leave the European Union.

That sparked uncertainty and panic on global markets, as it marks the first time any member state decided to drop out of the bloc.

Economists are now trying to estimate economic consequences for the UK and the global economy, sparking worries that demand for crude oil may weaken in the coming months. However, analysts say the slowdown will be minor.

Even if UK economic growth suffered a 2% drop due to Brexit, the country’s oil demand would likely be reduced by only 1%, or 16,000 barrels per day, analysts at Goldman Sachs said.

Appetite for the commodity grew on Tuesday as the US dollar paused from its recent rally, and was down about 0.5%. A weaker greenback makes dollar-priced oil cheaper in other currencies and so more attractive.

News that about 750 Norwegian workers on seven oil and gas fields could strike starting Saturday helped to boost the overall mood as well, as the commodity usually grow amid fears over supply disruptions. Workers in Norway are trying to agree on a new wage deal, with the deadline set for Friday.

FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each asset we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more up to the data analysis and information in our weekly reports, which covers the current week and are published by Sunday before the new week begins. Daily we share any new events, forecasts or analysis that affect the current day. To achieve a full accurate understanding it is important that you study all of our data and analysis as a whole.

crude oil
Crude Oil Correction

WEEKLY

This Week in Petroleum
Release Schedule: Wednesday @ 1:00 p.m. EST (schedule)

Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update
Release Schedule: Monday between 4:00 and 5:00 p.m. EST (schedule)

Weekly Petroleum Status Report
Release Schedule: The wpsrsummary.pdf, overview.pdf, and Tables 1-14 in CSV and XLS formats, are released to the Web site after 10:30 a.m. (Eastern Time) on Wednesday.

Wednesday, June 29, 2016

Country Name Volatility Previous
Japan Large Retailer’s Sales 2 -0.8
Japan Retail Trade (YoY) 2 -0.8
Japan Retail Trade (MoM) 2 0
Australia HIA New Home Sales (MoM) 2 -4.7
Germany Consumer Confidence Survey 2 9.8
U.K. Financial Stability Report 2
U.K. Consumer Credit 2 1.287
U.K. Mortgage Approvals 2 66.25
Eurozone Economic Sentiment Indicator 2 104.7
Eurozone Business Climate 2 0.26
Eurozone Industrial Confidence 2 -3.6
Eurozone Consumer Confidence 2
Eurozone Services Sentiment 2 11.3
U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditures – Price Index (YoY) 2 1.1
U.S. Core Personal Consumption Expenditure – Price Index (MoM) 2 0.2
U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditures – Price Index (MoM) 2 0.3
U.S. Personal Income (MoM) 2 0.4
U.S. Personal Spending 2 1
U.S. Core Personal Consumption Expenditure – Price Index (YoY) 2 1.6
U.S. Pending Home Sales (MoM) 2 5.1
U.S. Pending Home Sales (YoY) 2 4.6

Government Bond Auctions

Date Time       Country           Auction

Jun 27 11:10 Italy Holds zero-coupon/BTPei auction

Jun 27 11:30 Germany Eur 1.5bn Jun 2017 Bubill

Jun 27 17:20 Italy Details of bond auction

Jun 28 N/A UK BoE Brexit referendum market liquidity operation

Jun 30 11:10 Italy Holds bond auction

 

 

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