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Oil News: Crude Oil Futures Pause as Traders Await Trump’s Next Move

By
James Hyerczyk
Updated: Jul 15, 2026, 12:50 GMT+00:00

Key Points:

  • Crude oil futures trade inside Tuesday's range as traders await Trump's next move on Iran and Gulf exports.
  • Iran's threat to two oil chokepoints keeps WTI and Brent supported despite a pause after the short-covering rally.
  • Weak API inventory data failed to shake crude oil as geopolitical supply risks remained the market's top driver.
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Iran Doubles the Chokepoint Risk for Crude

The conflict between Washington and Tehran just opened a second front on global crude supply. Iran’s Revolutionary Guard warned Wednesday that if Iranian exports are blocked, allied Houthi forces could shut down traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb alongside the Strait of Hormuz, putting two critical energy chokepoints at risk at the same time. The U.S. responded by imposing a full naval blockade on all Iranian ports and launching another round of strikes against Iranian military capabilities. Emergency crude reserves have been drawn down to levels not seen in over four decades, and the cushion that absorbed previous supply shocks is nearly gone. Two chokepoints threatened, a depleted reserve, and an escalation that keeps widening.