Natural Gas and Oil Forecast: US-China Demand Spurs Energy Demand

Arslan Ali
Published: Mar 8, 2024, 05:59 GMT+00:00

Key Points:

  • U.S. and China's heightened demand and Federal Reserve's rate cut hints spur oil price rally.
  • Natural Gas steadies at $1.85; resistance ahead at $1.92 and $2.06, with bullish EMA signals.
  • UKOIL's cautious rise to $83.38 faces tests at $83.47 resistance, bullish above pivot $82.97.
Energy Recap

In this article:

Rising Demand and Federal Reserve’s Dovish Stance Fuel Oil Rally

Oil prices have surged, with demand spikes in key markets like the U.S. and China, and positive signals from the Federal Reserve on potential rate cuts bolstering the outlook. U.S. fuel inventories are declining sharply, hinting at robust demand, which may intensify as the American driving season approaches.

Meanwhile, China and India are showing increased oil consumption linked to strong industrial activities. However, this year’s demand growth in China may lag behind 2023’s surge. The softened stance of the Federal Reserve on interest rates, coupled with a weaker U.S. dollar, has also underpinned oil’s ascent.

Additionally, the temporary shutdown of TC Energy’s Keystone pipeline, which has since resumed, offered brief support to prices.

Natural Gas Price Forecast

NG Price Chart
NG Price Chart

Natural Gas (NG) ticked down marginally to $1.85, registering a decline of 0.11%. Today’s trading positions the pivot point precisely at $1.85, suggesting a market at equilibrium but with potential for movement.

Resistance levels are pegged at $1.92, $1.98, and $2.06, each a test for the commodity’s upward momentum. Meanwhile, supports are established lower at $1.79, $1.73, and $1.68, where declines may find a floor.

The 50-Day and 200-Day Exponential Moving Averages stand at $1.91 and $1.99, respectively, indicating a slender bullish inclination above the current price. A sustained stance above $1.85 may continue the bullish narrative; conversely, slipping below could lead to accelerated selling pressure.

WTI Oil Price Forecast

WTI Price Chart
WTI Price Chart

About the Author

Arslan, a webinar speaker and derivatives analyst, has an MBA in Finance and MPhil in Behavioral Finance. He guides financial analysis, trading, and cryptocurrency forecasting. Expert in trading psychology and sentiment.

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