As the Fed mulls rate hikes, Dow Jones, S&P 500, and Nasdaq Composite face cautious headwinds.
Wall Street indices dipped at the start of the week, with investors poised for key economic data that could signal the duration of the Fed’s heightened interest rates. The Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq Composite saw modest declines, highlighting market caution.
At 15:11 GMT, the blue chip Dow Jones Industrial Average is trading 34231.54, down 51.56 or -0.15%. The benchmark S&P 500 Index is at 4396.35, down 18.89 or -0.43% and the tech-weighted Nasdaq-100 Index is at 13715.43, down 82.68 or -0.60%.
S&P 500 earnings per share have rebounded, marking the first growth since last year, excluding a slump in the energy sector. Health Care drags, yet overall earnings forecasts remain unchanged, with Goldman Sachs projecting steady growth through 2025.
Stock movements varied, with V.F., Illumina, and Boston Properties driving S&P losses, while Boeing surged on a massive Emirates order. Tyson Foods experienced a drop after reporting lower-than-expected revenue and a flat sales outlook.
Moody’s recent comments on the U.S.’s fiscal health and partisan gridlock have slightly affected Treasury yields, yet the AAA credit rating stands firm. JPMorgan warns that equities could struggle if yields rise above 5%, with defensive stocks potentially weathering the storm.
The market’s attention turns to the U.S. budget and consumer data, with the looming CPI report being the focal point. The fiscal deficits and budgetary challenges weigh on investors’ minds, influencing sentiments and future investment decisions.
The E-mini S&P 500 Index, currently positioned at 4412.00, is trading above both the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, set at 4365.95 and 4282.11, respectively.
This placement indicates a bullish sentiment from a technical standpoint, as the index sustains above these key levels, suggesting an overall positive trend in the market.
Despite a minor retreat from the previous close, the index’s stance above these averages typically reflects ongoing investor confidence and could imply continued upward momentum if other market conditions remain favorable.
James Hyerczyk is a U.S. based seasoned technical analyst and educator with over 40 years of experience in market analysis and trading, specializing in chart patterns and price movement. He is the author of two books on technical analysis and has a background in both futures and stock markets.