Introduction: The Australian dollar still isn’t in its good old days, but the performance is definitely improving. Resistance lines tend to work in a
Introduction: The Australian dollar still isn’t in its good old days, but the performance is definitely improving. Resistance lines tend to work in a smoother manner than support lines, but they also work well. The pair move well together, not much volatility, but easy to chart and easy to trade with low risk factors
Weekly Analysis and Recommendation:
The AUD/USD ended the week, down, at 1.0404 after such a positive start just the week before the Aussie was firmly in the 1.05 level looking to make 1.06 when it just fell apart. Even with the weak USD, the AUD could not make headway this week
Date |
Last |
Open |
High |
Low |
Change % |
Aug 24, 2012 |
1.0404 |
1.0433 |
1.0443 |
1.0376 |
-0.28% |
Aug 23, 2012 |
1.0433 |
1.0508 |
1.0545 |
1.0422 |
-0.71% |
Aug 22, 2012 |
1.0508 |
1.0468 |
1.0518 |
1.0414 |
0.37% |
Aug 21, 2012 |
1.0469 |
1.0450 |
1.0520 |
1.0449 |
0.19% |
Aug 20, 2012 |
1.0449 |
1.0436 |
1.0469 |
1.0426 |
0.12% |
There was little data in OZ except for some very positive comments from Glenn Stevens, director of the RBA.
The Chinese HSBC data seems to be weighing very high on the Aussie as the Australian economy, in fact the entire region is dependent on its trade with China.
This coming week we will see housing and construction data, hopefully showing positive growth.
FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more up to the data analysis and information in our weekly reports.
Major Economic Events for the week of August 20-24, 2012 actual v. forecast for Yen, the Aussie, the Kiwi and USD
Date |
Currency |
Event |
Actual |
Forecast |
Previous |
Aug. 21 |
NZD |
Inflation Expectations (QoQ) |
2.3% |
|
2.4% |
Aug. 22 |
JPY |
Trade Balance |
-0.33T |
-0.46T |
-0.32T |
|
USD |
Existing Home Sales |
4.47M |
4.52M |
4.37M |
Aug. 23 |
CNY |
Chinese HSBC Manufacturing PMI |
47.80 |
|
49.30 |
|
USD |
Initial Jobless Claims |
372K |
365K |
368K |
|
USD |
Continuing Jobless Claims |
3317K |
3300K |
3313K |
|
USD |
New Home Sales |
372K |
365K |
359K |
|
NZD |
Trade Balance |
15M |
33M |
287M |
Aug. 24 |
USD |
Core Durable Goods Orders (MoM) |
-.04 |
0.5% |
-1.4% |
|
USD |
Durable Goods Orders (MoM) |
4.2 |
2.4% |
1.3% |
Historical:
Highest: 1.1080USDon Jul 27, 2011
Average: 0.9126 USD over this period
Lowest: 0.6007USD Oct 27, 2008
Economic Highlights of the coming week that affect the AUD, JPY, NZD and USD
Date |
Time |
Currency |
Event |
Previous |
Aug. 28 |
15:00 |
USD |
65.9 |
|
|
02:30 |
AUD |
5.5% |
|
Aug. 29 |
23:45 |
NZD |
5.7% |
|
|
00:50 |
JPY |
0.2% |
|
|
02:30 |
AUD |
-2.5% |
|
Aug. 30 |
02:30 |
AUD |
6.1% |
|
Aug. 31 |
00:30 |
JPY |
-0.6% |
|
|
00:50 |
JPY |
0.4% |