Corporate Earnings To Drive Sentiment

By:
Lukman Otunuga
Published: Oct 19, 2021, 08:47 UTC

Asian shares were up on Tuesday morning, drawing strength from the tech-driven Wall Street rally overnight. It seems like solid corporate earnings have soothed concerns around inflationary pressures, with the improving risk sentiment elevating equity markets. European markets have opened marginally higher with US futures looking healthy. The Dollar Index (DXY) declined to a one-month low amid the risk-on sentiment while gold is on the move, gaining roughly 0.7% as of writing.

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This will a big week for equity markets as the third-quarter earnings season gets in full swing. Since corporate results officially kicked off last week, the reports have painted a positive picture with major US banks smashing analyst forecasts. Big names like Netflix, Tesla and Intel among many others will be under the spotlight this week as investors pay close attention to their earnings.

The key questions on the minds of investors will be what impact higher inflation, supply chain disruptions and labour shortages have on third quarter numbers. Should we have another solid week of results, this may inject S&P500 bulls with enough confidence to venture into uncharted territory beyond its all-time high.

Currency spotlight – GBPUSD

It has not been a great start to the week for sterling which has weakened against most G10 currencies. Bulls struggled to draw inspiration from Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey’s hawkish remarks over the weekend with expectations rising over the Bank of England raising interest rates at its November meeting. However, concerns around economic growth and stagflation fears continue to weigh on the pound. All eyes will be on Governor Bailey’s speech this afternoon which could provide more hints on interest rate moves.

Looking at the technical picture, the GBPUSD is up this morning on the back of a weaker dollar. Prices are approaching the 100-day Simple Moving Average around 1.3810. A strong move above this point could push the GBPUSD towards the 200-day Simple Moving Average around 1.3850.

Commodity spotlight – Gold

Gold prices are advancing this morning, gaining roughly 0.7% thanks to a weaker dollar and lower Treasury yields. The precious metal is likely to be influenced by conflicting forces this week as investors juggle growth concerns and inflation fears amid prospects of tighter monetary policy.

Should the dollar continue to weaken, gold has the potential to rechallenge $1800, a level just above the 100-day and 200-day Simple Moving Average. In the meantime, intraday bulls seem to be in the driving seat with the first level of interest at $1784. If the 50-day Simple Moving Average offers resistance and weakens bullish momentum, prices could decline back towards $1760.

By Lukman Otunuga Senior Research Analyst

Disclaimer: The content in this article comprises personal opinions and should not be construed as containing personal and/or other investment advice and/or an offer of and/or solicitation for any transactions in financial instruments and/or a guarantee and/or prediction of future performance. ForexTime (FXTM), its affiliates, agents, directors, officers or employees do not guarantee the accuracy, validity, timeliness or completeness, of any information or data made available and assume no liability as to any loss arising from any investment based on the same.

About the Author

Lukman Otunuga is a research analyst at FXTM. A keen follower of macroeconomic events, with a strong professional and academic background in finance, Lukman is well versed in the various factors affecting the currency and commodity markets.

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