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EUR/USD Daily Price Forecast – The Fiber Bulls Awakened over Bond Yield Enhancements

By:
Nikhil Khandelwal
Updated: Apr 30, 2019, 08:44 UTC

The EUR/USD pair hovers above yesterday’s high 1.1180 levels. The USD remains dwarf this time. EU T-bonds were paving the way ahead for the pair. The massive flow of today’s calendar events may impact. Significant 200-days SMAs traveled below the pair.

euro-427533_1280

The EUR/USD pair opened near 0.1184 levels and continued yesterday’s struggle to climb up. In the Asian session, the pair crossed over 90 pips thereby making a satisfactory look for the traders. During 03:15 GMT, the pair was floating around 0.1193 levels.

Yesterday’s US economic data failed to provide similar support and USD weaken.  While the data for the previous week, the US GDP and the Durable Goods Orders reported helped appreciating the American Dollars. The upcoming Wednesday’s Fed’s Interest Rate Decisions may remain crucial to watch.

On the last day, the EUR/USD pair appeared as star currency following the enhancement of European government bond yields. While in the political arena there was no conclusion over the UK’s Brexit and the US-China trade deal. These deadlocks hardly surprised the market today.

EUR/USD Impacting Events

The economic calendar weighs pretty high on numerous events (Euro & USD) lined up for the day.

Euro Events

06:00 GMT

The German March Consumer Confidence Survey Index  – The consensus estimates the index to come around  10.4 points.

07:00 GMT

The KOF Swiss April Leading Indicator – The market stays bearish on the figures, to the previous 97.4 points.

07:55 GMT

The German April Unemployment Change figures – A lower number is always considered bullish for the EUR/USD. And, the street analysts expect the figures to come 1K  below the previous negative 7K.

09:00 GMT (High Volatile)

EMU GDP Q1’19 figures – The QoQ GDP numbers are expected to report 0.1 percent higher to the previous 0.2 percent. On the other hand, the market remains in-line on the YoY GDP numbers.

12:00 GMT (High Volatile)

The German April YoY HICP – The consensus expects the HICP index to report as 1.7 percent, compared to the earlier 1.4 percent.

US Events

13:00 GMT

Feb YoY S&P/ Case-Shiller Home Price Indices – The analysts take a bearish stance on the index expecting it to come around 3.2 percent.

13:45 GMT

Chicago April PMI – This time, the market believes the number of growing with 0.3 percent.

14:00 GMT

US March (Both MoM & YoY) Pending Home Sales – The index is awaited to report 1.5 percent higher than the previous negative 1 percent.

Technical Analysis

EURUSD 30 Min 30 April 2019
EURUSD 30 Min 30 April 2019

The EUR/USD was on track to recovery. The pair was hovering near the upper vicinity of the Bollinger Bands (BB) showing uptrend signals. The significant 200-days SMA recently crossed the 50-days SMA, moving below it. However, the fiber was trading well above all the major SMA revealing bullish legs. The BB was bit contracted, preparing for a burst to the north. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) remained near the over-bought position.

About the Author

Nik has extensive experience as an Analyst, Trader and Financial Consultant for Global Capital Markets. His vision is to generate Highest, Consistent and Sustained Risk-Adjusted Returns for clients over long term basis and providing them world-class investment advisory services.

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