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EUR/GBP Fundamental Analysis January 9, 2015 Forecast

By:
Barry Norman
Published: Jan 8, 2015, 12:06 GMT+00:00

Analysis and Recommendations: The EUR/GBP eased by 21 points to trade at 0.7813 as the euro continues to fall to its lowest level in many years on worries

EUR/GBP Fundamental Analysis January 9, 2015 Forecast

eurgbp thursday bns
Analysis and Recommendations:

The EUR/GBP eased by 21 points to trade at 0.7813 as the euro continues to fall to its lowest level in many years on worries over Greece and expectations from the ECB. Euro and pound continued to slide lower, with the euro trading lower at 1.1727 and pound at 1.5066. The euro declined by 0.4 percent yesterday and hit fresh nine-year lows against the dollar after data showing that consumer prices in the euro area fell in December for the first time in more than five years. Further, data added to expectations that the ECB could implement quantitative easing soon at its next meeting on January 22nd.

Sterling has slumped to a 17-month low against the dollar after a closely-watched economic survey suggested growth in the UK slowed to just 0.5pc in the final quarter of the year. An influential gauge of the services sector showed expansion had slowed to its lowest level in 19 months. Services account for almost 80pc of the UK’s economic output.

FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more up to the data analysis and information in our weekly reports.

Today’s economic releases actual vs. forecast:

Cur.

 

Event

Actual

Forecast

Previous

 

  AUD

 

Building Approvals

7.5%

-3.5%

11.5%

   

  EUR

 

German Factory

-2.4%

-0.7%

2.9%

   

  GBP

 

Halifax House Price

0.9%

0.3%

0.5%

   

  GBP

 

Halifax House Price

7.8%

7.6%

8.1%

   

  EUR

 

Retail Sales (MoM)

0.6%

0.1%

0.6%

   

  GBP

 

BoE QE Total (Jan)

 375B

375B

375B

 

 

  GBP

 

Interest Rate Decision

 0.50%

0.50%

0.50%

 

 

  USD

 

Initial Jobless Claims

 

290K

298K

   

 

EURGBP(15 minutes)20150108120607

Upcoming Economic Events that you should be monitoring:

Friday, January 9th

Cur.

 

Event

Actual

Forecast

Previous

  NZD

 

Building Consents (MoM)

 

 

8.8%

  AUD

 

Retail Sales (MoM) (Nov) 

 

0.2%

0.4%

  CNY

 

CPI (MoM) (Dec)

 

 

-0.2%

  CNY

 

CPI (YoY) (Dec) 

 

1.5%

1.4%

  CNY

 

PPI (YoY) (Dec)

 

-3.1%

-2.7%

  EUR

 

German Industrial Production

 

0.4%

0.2%

  EUR

 

German Trade Balance (Nov)

 

20.7B

20.6B

  GBP

 

Industrial Production (MoM)

 

0.2%

-0.1%

  GBP

 

Manufacturing Production 

 

0.3%

-0.7%

  GBP

 

Trade Balance (Nov)

 

-9.40B

-9.62B

  CAD

 

Housing Starts (Dec)

 

194.0K

195.6K

  USD

 

Nonfarm Payrolls (Dec) 

 

240K

321K

  USD

 

Unemployment Rate (Dec) 

 

5.7%

5.8%

  CAD

 

Building Permits (MoM) (Nov)

 

1.0%

0.7%

  CAD

 

Unemployment Rate (Dec)

 

7.0%

6.6%

Government Bond Auction

Date                                    Country               Auction

  Jan 13

EUR

 

Spanish 10-y Bond Auction

 
 

USD

 

10-y Bond Auction

 
 

JPY

 

30-y Bond Auction

 

Jan 14

USD

 

30-y Bond Auction

 

Jan 15

GBP

 

30-y Bond Auction

 

 

 

 

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