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European Equities: German Wholesale Inflation in Focus Following the Monday Rout

By:
Bob Mason
Published: Jul 19, 2021, 22:29 UTC

After a Monday's sell-off, wholesale inflation figures from Germany will be in focus going into the European open. Another spike could test support once more...

Cac 40 negative.

In this article:

Economic Calendar

Thursday, 22nd July

Eurozone Business Confidence

ECB Interest Rate Decision

ECB Press Conference

Eurozone Consumer Confidence Flash

Friday, 23rd July

French Markit Manufacturing PMI Flash

French Markit Services PMI Flash

German Markit Services PMI Flash

German Markit Manufacturing PMI Flash

Eurozone Markit Services PMI Flash

Eurozone Markit Manufacturing PMI Flash

The Majors

It was particularly bearish start to the week for the majors on Monday.

The EuroStoxx600 fell by 2.30%, with the DAX30 and the CAC40 ending the day down by 2.62% and by 2.54% respectively.

There were no major stats to provide the majors with direction, leaving the markets to respond to the fresh spike in new COVID-19 cases.

While Europe and the U.S remain open for business, low vaccination rates across other key economies and rising cases have led to a reintroduction of containment measures.

These measures have raised concerns over the pace of the economic recovery. Ahead of the latest spike, the markets had come under pressure after a string of disappointing numbers from Germany and China in particular.

All of this has been coupled with a continued pickup in inflationary pressures, another negative for the majors.

The Stats

There were no major stats from the Eurozone to provide the majors with direction at the start of the week.

From the U.S

There were also no stats from the U.S to guide the European majors late in the European session.

The Market Movers

For the DAX: It was a particularly bearish day for the auto sector on Monday. Continental slid by 3.08% to lead the way down, with BMW and Daimler falling by 2.95% and by 2.96% respectively. Volkswagen ended the day with a 2.55% loss.

It was also a bearish day for the banks. Deutsche Bank and Commerzbank ended the day down by 2.05% and by 3.17% respectively.

From the CAC, it was a particularly bearish day for the banks. Soc Gen and BNP Paribas slid by 4.58% and by 4.19% respectively, with Credit Agricole falling by 3.09%.

It was also a bearish day for the French auto sector. Stellantis NV and Renault ended the day down by 3.60% and by 3.67% respectively.

Air France-KLM declined by 2.89%, with Airbus SE tumbling by 6.38%.

On the VIX Index

It was a 3rd consecutive day in the green for the VIX on Monday, marking a 4th gain in 7-sessions.

Following an 8.47% increase from Friday, the VIX jumped by 21.95% to end the day at 22.50.

The Dow slid by 2.09%, with the NASDAQ and the S&P500 ending the day down by 1.06% and by 1.59% respectively.

VIX 200721 Daily Chart

The Day Ahead

It’s a quiet day ahead on the economic calendar. German wholesale inflation figures for June are due out ahead of the European open.

With market sensitivity to inflationary pressures unlikely to abate any time soon, expect the numbers to influence.

Later in the day, economic data from the U.S includes housing sector numbers that should have a muted impact on the majors.

Away from the economic calendar, COVID-19 will continue to be an area of focus.

The Futures

In the futures markets, at the time of writing, the Dow Mini was up by 69 points.

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

About the Author

Bob Masonauthor

With over 20 years of experience in the finance industry, Bob has been managing regional teams across Europe and Asia and focusing on analytics across both corporate and financial institutions. Currently he is covering developments relating to the financial markets, including currencies, commodities, alternative asset classes, and global equities.

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